Ryan Israelsen

Ryan Israelsen

@israelsen.bsky.social

Finance Professor at Michigan State University | Visiting Fellow at EUI | Michigan & Utah State Alum https://ryan.israelsen.com

1,831 Followers 401 Following 44 Posts Joined Dec 2023
2 weeks ago
YouTube
Broad Research Spotlight: Ryan Israelsen - Broad College of Business YouTube video by MSU Broad College of Business

MSU Broad featured my recent JFE publication with @nandinigupta.bsky.social and Eitan Goldman, "Political Polarization in Financial News". We find that politics flavors the reporting and coverage of financial news, leading to more disagreement and trading. Video: youtu.be/Sxkn8OUNA-M.

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1 month ago

All I see is some sick rail slides on my snowboard.

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2 months ago

Congrats!

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11 months ago
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Does political partisanship shape how people react to banking crises?

At our latest 'Finance in the Tuscan Hills' seminar, @israelsen.bsky.social presented research showing that Republican-leaning areas were more likely to trigger bank runs during the SVB collapse. 🏦📉

fbf.eui.eu/events/?id=5...

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11 months ago

That’s reassuring

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11 months ago

What about your calf?

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11 months ago
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Here’s what it looked like before it washed away.

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11 months ago

This is the dock from the Florence rowing club as it is washing away from the torrential rains in the Arno River. It’s probably in the Tyrrhenian Sea now. The boathouse is under the Uffizi Galleries. I’ve been able to row there with the EUI.

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11 months ago
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I guess I won’t be rowing again any time soon. There goes the Florence Rowing Club’s dock in the rising waters of the Arno.

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1 year ago

Congratulations! Love that paper.

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1 year ago

It is. Thanks.

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1 year ago

Incredible! My last attempt was interrupted by an urgent phone call.

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1 year ago
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1 year ago
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Competing narratives from ‘61

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1 year ago

Welcome @alexchinco.bsky.social to BlueSky! Alex is one of the best writers in finance academia. I don't know if he'll post regularly, but I'd encourage everyone to follow him.

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1 year ago
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1 year ago

Good idea. Using sentiment analysis @israelsen.bsky.social, eitan goldman and I found that the same corporate financial news is covered differently in the NYT vs WSJ based on corporations’ politics www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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1 year ago

Thanks. It really shows that the impact is heterogenous.

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1 year ago

… and soft-core ones.

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1 year ago

Thanks for sharing!

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1 year ago

Bring it on the ski lift.

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1 year ago
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For reference, here is the future 12 month return of the Russell 3000 index over that period. It is rarely negative over a year.

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1 year ago

Incredible that the number has only ever been above 50% one other time.

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1 year ago

LLM‘s use random seeds. If you feed it the prompt 100 times it will give you slightly different answers. You could try that and then see how close the essays are on average.

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1 year ago

Unfortunately, I don't know of any such free service. Depending on where you live, you may be able to access databased like Refinitiv, Bloomberg, FactSet, etc. at a public library.

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1 year ago

Stock price is correct if you look at the original unadjusted prices in the CRSP database. BTW, I just checked the first two stocks and the dividends per share (annual) look pretty much like the first number.

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1 year ago

My guess is the first set of numbers is a dividend yield (though I haven't checked), the 2nd number is the P-E ratio (rounded to integer), the 3rd number is volume (in hundreds) -though CRSP shows a higher number. Not sure about "u". maybe it has to do with what happened to prices near the close?

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1 year ago

Also, the 2nd company ACF Industries had 1978 (GAAP?) earnings of 4.72 per share which makes their P/E 7.36

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1 year ago

Fiscal year 1978 (street) earnings per share were 2.48. I think that is what would be used in the P/E Ratio. 1979 wouldn't have been announced yet. That would make it 16.63

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1 year ago

What date is the article from? That might help.

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