Baseball's Not Dead

There's something weird with the special blend projections where every pitcher has an ERA under 3 and then you can fix that with a custom combination, but then for some reason it doesn't rank a starting pitcher in the top 100.

The most downvoted comment

The second highest comment on the Reddit thread when Rendon signed with the Angels 5 years ago. Shows you never know.

I don't know if I'd enjoy that because I sometimes miss out on the jokes and I don't think I'd... OWWW.

It's been 7 years since this...

Getting them used to the carriers they'll be in for an upcoming 20 hour car ride.

Brewers in the 2,564 games since trading for CC Sabathia...

1340-1224 (0.522%), 8 playoff appearances, 5 division titles.

Brewers in the 2,564 games before trading for CC Sabathia...

1180-1384 (0.460%), 0 playoff appearances, 0 division titles.

That one move changed the franchise.

With the "Come and take it" avatar, to randomly interjecting complaints about race, to then bringing up China and Russia on a video about baseball, it's hard to believe this isn't satire.

Note that this doesn't include draft and international signing bonuses, which adds another $0.5B, or player benefits which is another $0.6B.

Sir Jamison Jones?

Players drafted in rounds 15+ in the MLB draft in 2023 and 2024 that had signing bonuses over $400K. See if you can see a trend...

I didn't realize Jerome Williams was signed for the next 893 years with the Cardinals. Talk about manipulating the luxury tax.

But I still thought like 80% chance of a draw.

I tuned in about 10 minutes before the blunder happened. I saw Ding was so down on time and still taking 3 minutes a move, so if a blunder was going to happen, it was going to be soon.

That or we might see something similar to Carlson v Ian game 6.

I already compiled every arbitration extension and free agent contract over $100 million and analyzed them using the same system.

I'm considering taking the plunge and adding every FA contract under $100 million and have a complete ranking of every contract ever signed.

Thought a mistake was more likely than most in that situation, but still a little surprising.

YouTube video by Baseball's Not Dead Grading Recently Completed Large Contracts

New video today! youtu.be/YhynXlwC5es?...

Oh yeah... I forgot Bluesky doesn't punish posts that link to outside sources.

New video today! Grading Recently Completed Large Contracts

WAR needed age 26-40 for Soto's contract to rate in value as...

The Best of All-Time: 83.5 bWAR
The Worst of All-Time: 27.5 bWAR

Soto would need ~51 WAR age 26-40 for the contract to net out as even. Value versus expected is Soto plays like "X" age 26-40...

Bonds: +$654M
Chipper: +$195M
ARod: +$185M
Beltre: +$175M
Pujols: +$117M
Votto: +$49M
Jeter: -$29M
Griffey: -$70M
Guerrero: -$102M
Longoria: -$180M

I'm on the fence if I should drive on up to Dallas for the Winter Meetings tomorrow.

If Soto's 15 year, $730 million dollar contract rumors are true and no deferrals, I want to put that in perspective...

All my past contract analysis still has ARod's 2008 contract as the largest ever at $330.8 million in 2022 dollars.

Soto's would be $471.5 million under a similar analysis.

Bob Nightengale just blocked me on BlueSky. Weird.

If you take out a car loan to buy a $20K car for 5 years at 5%, you end up paying ~$26K in total. You wouldn't phrase that as "the car loan saves you $6K for sales tax purposes."

That's why these two are much much better.

If I ever want a laugh, I look at how bad Ryan Braun's 2007 defensive stats are at third base. Played in only 113 games yet led the league in errors and had an .895 fielding %... and he also had terrible range.

Rolen played fewer innings at 3B that year, but had 89 more putouts+assists.

SJS was 12-6 in conference play... with 6 forfeits. Basically, a .500 team costed into the conference finals because teams refused to play them.

Doesn't that incentivize other teams to have trans athletes on their roster so they can do the same?

The CBA does state 5% to be used unless the prime rate is above 7%.