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Lucy Jones

@drlucyjones.bsky.social

Seismologist in Southern California. Viol player. Founder of Tempo: Music for Climate Action

8,334 Followers  |  84 Following  |  76 Posts  |  Joined: 07.02.2024
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Posts by Lucy Jones (@drlucyjones.bsky.social)

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#EQHistory: 1971 M6.6 San Fernando. The event killed 65. In the aftermath Caltech seismologist Clarence Allen went to Sacramento with a message: geologists know where active faults are and we can prevent building on them. His testimony helped the passage of the Alquist-Priolo Act. buff.ly/Yzs6NPt

09.02.2026 19:53 β€” πŸ‘ 35    πŸ” 11    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Volcano's producers sent the script to Caltech to ask if they could use Caltech name. Caltech lawyers asked me and Kate Hutton for our opinions because the seismologists seemed based on us. Permission was denied. "Rachel" dies in the lava. "Amy" falls in love with the OES guy. Who's the worst fate?

01.02.2026 23:34 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

"Normal" aftershock sequence in California is a wide range - 95% of sequences range over a factor of a thousand (from 1 of a particular size to 1000 of that size). So this sequence is higher than the mean but still completely normal

21.01.2026 17:51 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

That was actually the Joshua Tree earthquake of April 1992. Just 10 km or so west of today's quake. He now has his own PhD and his own little boy

20.01.2026 03:58 β€” πŸ‘ 16    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Well, in Joshua Tree, you are likely to be feeling more tonight. This is a moderately active aftershock sequence. But remember the number falls off rapidly with time, with the second day having half as many aftershocks as the first day.

20.01.2026 03:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Tonight's M4.9 north of Indio is the largest quake in SoCal since the M5.2 near Julian last April.

20.01.2026 02:43 β€” πŸ‘ 56    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

To those with long memories, this looks similar to the beginning of the 1992 Joshua Tree sequence. However, 1992 was west of this event and thus closer to the San Andreas.

20.01.2026 02:37 β€” πŸ‘ 37    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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A M4.9 quake occurred this evening north of Indio. It is east of the San Andreas fault, far enough away to not change the likelihood of a quake on the San Andreas. It's located very near the minor EW-striking Blue Cut fault
earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

20.01.2026 02:35 β€” πŸ‘ 80    πŸ” 28    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Getting Through It Science Podcast Β· Updated Monthly Β· In this broadcast, Dr. Jones shares how the world works, why you might feel the way you do about a particular disaster, and how you can manage the chaos around you ...

I’m releasing a few new episodes of my podcast to discuss the science around wildfires podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/g...

31.12.2025 02:06 β€” πŸ‘ 32    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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As a fellow not-"really"-geologist, how about lithified or perhaps metamorphosed fault gouge? When I was doing rock mechanics experiments on fault gouge almost 50 years ago, a real geologist gave me this specimen and said it was from an exhumed fault. Looks pretty similar.

26.12.2025 21:55 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Again, Kyle and Judith provide a great summary of the science around this earthquake

09.12.2025 03:54 β€” πŸ‘ 44    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
This Land Is Your Land
YouTube video by delreyjones This Land Is Your Land

Sometimes, music is the only tool I have for coping with the world. youtu.be/2Xj0KSgD24k?...

02.12.2025 04:20 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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I love xkcd

11.11.2025 04:32 β€” πŸ‘ 187    πŸ” 30    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

(2 of 2) 3. The shallow depth suggests it is at the top part of the subduction zone that moved in the 2011 M9 3/11 disaster. By our standard definitions, this would be classified as aftershocks of 2011.

10.11.2025 00:21 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

1. Earthquakes occur in sequences, so this is one sequence that happens to have a lot of both foreshocks and aftershocks. 2. The focal mechanism shows a thrust fault, suggesting this is on the subduction interface. ... (1 of 2)

10.11.2025 00:21 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Lucy Jones: Seismology, ShakeOuts, and String Quartets | Making Los Angeles What do Chinese literature, medieval string instruments, and earthquake drills have in common? In Los Angeles, the answer is Lucy Jones. Often called β€œL.A.’s earthquake queen” β€” a nickname she’s not e...

This was a fun interview. It ended up being quite a retrospective on how seismology has changed over the 4 decades I have been in Pasadena. making-l-a.simplecast.com/episodes/luc...

02.09.2025 16:32 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Only the Rialto events are aftershocks to the July 31 M4.3. The Lytle Creek events are near the San Andreas but not necessarily on it. We often see small events around the San Andreas but some analyses suggest they are on small faults not the main surface that will move in the big quakes.

06.08.2025 22:56 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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In the last 24 hours, we have seen several M3s in 3 locations. The events near Ontario are at the western end of the Fontana trend. The Lytle Creek events are near the San Andreas & the Rialto events are where the Fontana trend intersects the San Andreas. Last week's M4.3 was at the Rialto location

06.08.2025 22:56 β€” πŸ‘ 76    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

The New York - Philadelphia - Wilmington urban corridor has felt small earthquakes roughly every 2-3 years. Moderately damaging earthquakes strike somewhere in the urban corridor roughly twice a century. So infrequent but not weird

03.08.2025 02:32 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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On the M4.3 on the Fontana trend

31.07.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 79    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Looks like a small swarm in the Fontana trend. This M4.2 had a few foreshcoks including a M3.0. The Fontana trend is a NE-striking lineation of earthquakes under the sediments of the San Bernardino Vslley. We believe it is one of the left-lateral striking faults that are south of the San Gabriels.

31.07.2025 16:41 β€” πŸ‘ 80    πŸ” 20    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

I’m seeing lots of questions about whether the rate of great earthquakes is changing or whether climate change affects earthquakes. The answer is no. The long term rate of these big events is about 1/decade. But the distribution is random. The last one was 2011 in Japan

30.07.2025 15:19 β€” πŸ‘ 71    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The 7/29/2025 M8.8 looks like a repeat of an earthquake in 1952

30.07.2025 15:19 β€” πŸ‘ 63    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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In addition to many M7+ earthquakes, this boundary has also hosted half a dozen M8+ earthquakes. Red circles mark the epicenter above the site where fault rupture began, and yellow shows the area on the megathrust fault that ruptured.

16.07.2025 23:12 β€” πŸ‘ 55    πŸ” 12    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Not obviously. Quakes are many kms below the surface so surface impacts rarely make a difference. Water table depletion can reduce the pore pressures (pressure in the water at depth) and that can slightly reduce the risk (just like fracking-related injection increases the pressure causing quakes)

16.07.2025 16:09 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is normal behavior. We expect most M4.3's to have some aftershocks. Quakes in the Imperial Valley tend to have more aftershocks than other places.

12.07.2025 03:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I once had a M2.7 directly under my house that felt so strong I went to work without waiting for a page (in pre-Internet days). It's a good reminder that how strong the shaking feels has much more to do with how close you are to the event. Duration of shaking is better for guessing magnitude.

24.06.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 52    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Even very small quakes can be felt if you are nearby (and a shallow quake is closer to people on the surface). But there is not much to be said about an M2.7 except that it happened
earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

24.06.2025 19:32 β€” πŸ‘ 50    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 2
Icelandic Independence Day #nordic #comedy #denmark #iceland #history #language
YouTube video by Γ“lafur Waage Icelandic Independence Day #nordic #comedy #denmark #iceland #history #language

Most births in Iceland are in the summer.

www.youtube.com/shorts/oRw8d...

17.06.2025 21:41 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

In Dante’s Peak, the volcanologist has to choose between his first chance for sex in 5 years or tracking down a geochemical anomaly and he goes after the anomaly. That’s as realistic as it gets

10.06.2025 05:14 β€” πŸ‘ 41    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0