Gameweek rank of 15,198
And thats back to back to back +100-point gameweeks!
@aaronwarburton.bsky.social
Sports Data Analyst & Storyteller | Crafting unique, data-driven sports content for PR, Media & Brands
Gameweek rank of 15,198
And thats back to back to back +100-point gameweeks!
Thanks Glasner! 
Very good start to the FPL weekend
Small Update before Night 3 tomorrow!
I'll post a thread tomorrow with more details about the points needed for the playoffs!
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Oche Index' 
Darts stats, tournament projections, and analysis to prepare you for every Major event! This includes an analysis of the Premier League every week!
HERE - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/subscribe
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Matchday Digest' 
Premier League stats, projections, and analysis to keep you ahead of the game every matchday. Plus get updates on my future projects!
HERE - thematchdaydigest.beehiiv.com/
A green arrow so far! 
Very lucky with the Trent clean sheet...
Decent start to GW25
15.02.2025 23:45 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 024 points is now most likely once again! 
With a more balanced and competitive field, we could expect this to keep dropping as the tournament progresses. How many points do you think will be needed for playoffs?
Points needed for playoffs comes down slightly to 24.7
14.02.2025 14:07 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Luke Littler is now expected to have 4.3 Nightly Wins...
Could he get 5 wins and break the record?
UPDATED Premier League Darts Before Night 2! π―
π§΅Thread includes, Player Projections and Points likely for Playoffs!
Still looks like 25 points needed for playoffs!
13.02.2025 18:48 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0UPDATED Premier League Darts Before Night 2! π―
13.02.2025 18:48 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Small red arrow for me! Time to start rolling my transfers to cover the GW29 blank!
12.02.2025 23:27 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0FA Cup Update after 5th Round Draw, Man City clear favourites now.
10.02.2025 23:07 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Oche Index' 
Darts stats, tournament projections, and analysis to prepare you for every Major event! This includes an analysis of the Premier League every week!
HERE - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/subscribe
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Matchday Digest' 
Premier League stats, projections, and analysis to keep you ahead of the game every matchday. Plus special case studies on the FA Cup or my Models projections each week.
HERE - thematchdaydigest.beehiiv.com/
UPDATED Premier League Darts After Night 1! π―
08.02.2025 00:19 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0If you liked this content and want to see more of my breakdown, check out my FREE darts Newsletter 'The Oche Index', covering all the big events and each night of this year's Premier League!
FREE here - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/
Finally we can take this one step further to show the points distribution of how many points the player in 4th finished on. 
So its currently 
25, 18.8% of the time
24, 17.4% of the time
26, 15.8% of the time
The big question is, how many points will be needed for playoffs?
Position 4, currently is averaging 24.9 +/- 2.2 points. 
So rounding up we can say it currently looks to be 25 points...
This shows each player's average points in the league phase and the standard deviation (+/- bit)
Therefore we can see the bottom 5% and top 95% points achieved by each player. Also is the average nightly wins...
UPDATED Premier League Darts Graphic! π―
The one yesterday was not how I wanted it so made a different version! 
Follow this thread to see each player's point probabilities and the breakdown of the points needed for 4th! π§΅
First look at my Premier League Darts Model! π―
Displaying each player's position probabilities, playoff chance, and average points.
The average points achieved by position 4 was 24.8... 
Further analysis tomorrow on my FREE darts newsletter - 
theocheindex.beehiiv.com/
Darts Premier League Model should be ready for tomorrow! 
How many points will be needed for playoffs this year?
Updated look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters after the Quarter-Finals! π― Who do you think will win?
πChampion %
π₯ΆHumphries - 49.4% 
π΄σ §σ ’σ ·σ ¬σ ³σ ΏClayton - 27.7%
π³π±Noppert - 14.8%
π§πͺVDB - 8.0%
Updated look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters after the Second Round, probabilities will be updated during the event! π―
πChampion %
β’οΈLittler - 43.5% 
π₯ΆHumphries - 19.2% 
π«Bunting - 15.6% 
π¦πΊ Heta - 6.4%
Updated look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters after the first round, probabilities will be updated during the event! π―
πChampion %
β’οΈLittler - 31.5% 
π₯ΆHumphries - 15.4% 
π’MvG - 13.6%
π«Bunting - 12.5%
Here is a first look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters starting today, probabilities will be updated during the event! π―
πChampion %
β’οΈLittler - 26.9%
π₯ΆHumphries - 13.4%
π«Bunting - 10.9%
π’MvG - 10.8%
Manchester City vs Real Madrid or Bayern Munich in the Knockout Phase!
29.01.2025 23:20 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0