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02.08.2025 14:45 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@statbutler.com.bsky.social
Football Analytics | Data Viz
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02.08.2025 14:45 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Starting next week Iβm going to be posting these graphs for every preseason game on statbutler dot com!
02.08.2025 14:43 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Elite data viz and unique research.
Some preseason notes:
+ 21 teams played their Week 1 starters for less than 5% of snaps in Preseason Week 3
+ No team used their Week 1 starters for more than 35% of snaps in any preseason game last year
+ Itβs about Pre Week 1&2 now
More on approaches by team and when starters/backups/practice squaders enter & exit: open.substack.com/pub/anthonyr...
31.07.2025 12:55 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0New on statbutler dot com: the third week of the preseason is no longer the "dress rehearsal" week.
More below!
Martin Emerson had 15 passes defended in 2022, tied for the sixth most in rookie seasons over the last five years.
(Via @stathead.com @pro-football-reference.com)
My model has 8 WRs in the top 53 by probability, so I personally donβt expect that either. Mike is the expert, so I wouldnβt bet against him!
26.07.2025 16:08 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0Read about it: open.substack.com/pub/anthonyr...
26.07.2025 15:18 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 1ESPN's 32 NFL Nation writers published their 53-man roster projections on Monday. My model disagreed with them 147 times. Here is who I have in my model's top 53 vs who the folks at ESPN went with:
26.07.2025 15:17 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0Pleased to announce that I've joined the brand ambassador program at @pro-football-reference.com! Looking forward to sharing fun stuff from them through this season and beyond!
26.07.2025 13:23 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0I wrote a bit about this graph yesterday! Subscribe (for free!) and you can check out my work earlier open.substack.com/pub/anthonyr...
23.07.2025 13:46 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0T.J. Watt became the fourth player this offseason to sign a market setting non-QB contract
Data: OverTheCap
Made a graph + some commentary about the recent spate of market-setting non-QB contracts
22.07.2025 12:35 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0Have gotten that feedback a few times now!
19.07.2025 13:42 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0On Elkin, all UDFAs get a 3y contract to start with. Daly was brought back with a $167,500 signing bonus in free agency. Specialists are hard, but I think I agree with the model in this case.
17.07.2025 15:26 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Carlson is getting a boost (probably wrongly) from signing to the active roster and then immediately getting placed on IR for the rest of the year. Wilson though has never made a roster and hasnβt even been able to stick on a practice squad. Hard to see where Wilson has a shot imo.
17.07.2025 15:26 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0All 32 teams now available: www.statbutler.com/t/53-man-ros...
17.07.2025 13:59 β π 1 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0I published my final group of 53-man projections this morning! Check out the NFC East in the post below
17.07.2025 13:57 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0My roster projections for the NFC South are now up.
16.07.2025 20:39 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Another set of 53-man roster projections are now available. Link below.
16.07.2025 14:41 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0Just posted my initial 53-man roster predictions for the NFC West! Link below.
16.07.2025 02:02 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0My 53-man roster projections for the AFC west are now live! See next post for more!
14.07.2025 23:42 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Very popular question on the other site as well. Biggest reason (vs most folks expectation) is that it doesnβt know anything about Mitchellβs 2023 season. Another is Ali being a draft pick vs Mitchell UDFA. Mitchell missed more time due to injury as well, which my current model doesnβt like
14.07.2025 17:45 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Also the matter of the Browns reported insurance on his contract. Supposedly the Browns can claw back some cap space due to his achilles injury, but I'd bet he needs to be on the roster during that injury for the claim to hold up.
14.07.2025 16:50 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0