CFBNumbers

The arm pat is killing me man i cant stop rewatching

Explosive rush rate and missed tackles forced per attempt among RBs taken in first two rounds since 2017 + what I believe are the top 3 RBs in this class (Love, Price, Coleman). Jeremiyah Love and Jonah Coleman in good company next to Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker

For a measly $450 on Fanatics you can get Sam Darnold to sign Bo Nix's name on a picture of him holding the Lombardi trophy

Im sad to see the Dakotas get split up (for now) but I am interested to see how fast NDSU can plant themselves in the CFP conversation. They have been one of the best non P4 teams at getting guys drafted high in the past 15 drafts

The annual look at where players on the active rosters for the two Super Bowl teams started in terms of their HS recruit rating. Feels like there is a lot more non blue chip/unranked players than usual

Expected Points added per play from this season and last season among FBS QBs with 150+ plays (and 75+ pass attempts) in each season. Jayden Maiava, Diego Pavia and Joey Fagnano among biggest improvers year over year

Booted up Road to Glory last night...... what is this schedule lmao

yeah idk why that is messed up in the simulator. Im assuming it will be sorted out soon

They do, but it really doesn't take much to get Jerry off track

This was my exact thought process lmao

They need an edge rusher with proving pass rush abilities badly. Watch Poles trade up for Keldric Faulk tho

I could see it. Limited starts and smaller size but some really fun throws on tape

2026 NFL Mock Draft based on my advanced AI model*
*Pure vibes

cfbnumbers.shinyapps.io/spiderapp/

Run their ass out of the stadium

RUN THE BALL

Jets offense in the regular season: -0.172 EPA/Play
Patriots offense in the playoffs: -0.171 EPA/Play

Now that the 2025 season is over we can see where the career QB ratings stand for QBs active in the 2025 season. Jayden Maiava reigns supreme with Julian Sayin and Trinidad Chambliss finishing out the podium

Yeah that was my thought process. Super tough schedule + losing the spine of their defense. They will probably still find a way in tho it is still Ohio State lol

Got shy about upsets tbh

Way too early 2026-2027 CFB bracket for the laughs (at how wrong it will be) and anger. JKS/Cal win ACC Chaos, GJ Kinne finds defense and becomes the hottest coach candidate. No USC-Notre Dame in the regular season? No problem! I am once again saying Texas is back

A big ole QB graph showing how often QBs face "pass downs" (2nd and 7+ yards to go, 3rd and 5+ yards to go) and how efficiency they are on those downs via EPA/Play. Fernando Mendoza doesn't face many of these downs but is efficient when he does

Among FBS Head coaches with 15+ games (that have spreads/point totals), this is how many points they are favored/not favored pregame, and their avg point differential above/below that pregame expectation. Curt Cignetti is on a whole other level

Havent shared my consensus power ratings in a while, so here they are heading into week 10. The B1G holds the top three spots, Ohio State + Indiana are in the top tier (standard deviations) while Oregon is like decimal points off that line

Everyones favorite: Completion Pct Over Expectation by pass depth for some of the top QBs expected in the 2026 NFL Draft class

Expected points added per play divided up by above 50th percentile defense vs. below. Basically bottom right = better against worse defenses, top left better against better defenses

Thought maybe Carson Beck would be dethroned in the QB point rating system, but he narrowly holds onto the top spot. Top 3 highest climbers this season: Gunner Stockton, Jayden Maiava, and the newest in the top 30: Julian Sayin!

Highest Comp Pct Over Expectation in the CFB Playoff era. We still have a pretty small sample size for some of the active players on this list, but for now: Julian Sayin has been every bit of the ultra accurate QB we thought he would be

Updated top 30 QBs in the FBS (Career number not just this year) based on my point rating system. Jayden Maiava and Demond Williams have climbed the most this season. Ty Simpson sitting just outside the top 30 (32). Drew Allar has fallen out of the top 30

Looking at offensive conversion rate paired with the average down they achieve these 1st down conversions (excluding plays in the red zone). I am of the philosophy that the best offenses convert at a high rate and on earlier downs. Its too hard to live and die by 3rd down