Michal Onderco

Time is running out to propose a SI to @jird-jour.bsky.social . We are a well-run, pluralist IR journal with broad mind and wide readership. Second to none for your SI.

💡 Valerio Vignoli & @fabrizio-coticchia.bsky.social FIND…💡
a curvilinear support for military aid across the left–right axis. Yet, FdI’s backing constitutes a deviation from this model.

Read the article here 👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Just uploaded a new version of my Job Market paper ahead of the USC HPE workshop.

Comments, concerns, and inquiries welcome!

I look forward to answering any questions about how this does or does not relate to "current events".

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

In the coming days, you'll hear a lot about Steadfast Noon exercise. Until recently, even its name was secret. Want to know why?Pre-order my book coming out with @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org soon. The proofs are already in!

www.cambridge.org/sk/universit...

Not commenting on this action, but if boycotts of Israel continue after it stops killing in Gaza, if they are not tied to a specific demand, the conclusion Israelis draw is “they hate us regardless and there is no point listening to them.”

Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core Representation matters: Technocracy, populism, and attitudes towards international organisations

🆕 Attitudes toward international organisations? 🌍

Exploring #Technocratic & #Populist attitudes, Reinout van der Veer & @profonderco.bsky.social use survey data across five European 🏤 countries to explain how people view IOs

📖 #OA

False Twins: Intergenerational Injustice in Nuclear Deterrence and Climate Inaction Nuclear deterrence and climate inaction wrong future generations by imposing potential existential harm through climate-related disasters and nuclear winter. While increasingly explored in tandem, ke...

So so so proud of my PhD student @franziskastaerk.bsky.social who just published her first dissertation-linked paper on key differences intergenerational injustice in nuclear disarmament and climate action.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

In een ander DG zit ik intussen bijna 2 jaar te wachten op de finale goedkeuring van een rapport (nota bene over de economische kosten van slecht werkende overheidsdiensten).

Good morning from Helsinki, where I am to attend a workshop at @fiia.fi and then the @helsinkisecurityforum.fi . If you want to catch a coffee, shoot me a message.

Congrats to @lydiawachs.bsky.social on this well-deserved award! It’s a great piece that will shape how we think about Russian nuclear doctrine for a long time! Very glad to have it in the SI edited jointly with @tobiasbunde.bsky.social

Does CFSP co-ordination foster convergence? Voting behavior on nuclear weapons at the UN General Assembly Although the European Union (EU) has sought to promote the approximation of the foreign policy positions of member states since it established its Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) with the...

Does #CFSP coordination foster foreign policy alignment among #EU member states? 🤔@valeriovignoli.bsky.social, @profonderco.bsky.social + yours truly revisit this question with fresh evidence from UNGA 🌐voting on #nuclearweapons in @cspjournal.bsky.social 👇
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/ZYNCQ...

Tomorrow (Thu 4 Sept, 11:00–12:45), I’ll be chairing with @albertomiraglia.bsky.social our panel 7.20 “Far-Right Emergence: Yet Another Challenge in the Midst of the Crisis of Multilateralism,” with exciting papers kindly discussed by @profonderco.bsky.social

Wow, this looks super cool!

Weirdly enough, I had a similar experience this summer. 2/3 of the references were made up. I didn’t provide a substantive review, just flagged these references. The piece got rejected. Based on dinner conversations with colleagues, it’s becoming very common.

"Österreichs Neutralität" ist ab sofort im #openaccess Format frei verfügbar: www.transcript-verlag.de/media/pdf/78...

Details zu den 23 Beiträgen des Buches, Fragen & Antworten zur #Neutralität und weiterführende Informationen gibt es unter www.neutralitaet.info

My book has a cover! "Europe's Nuclear Umbrella" coming out in February 2026. Still time to preorder on @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org www.cambridge.org/de/universit...

The Art of Coercion by Reid B. C. Pauly | Paperback | Cornell University Press The Art of Coercion presents a fresh explanation for the success—and failure—of coercive demands in international politics.Strong states are surprisingly bad at coercion. History shows they prevail...

🚨 It’s publication day!

THE ART OF COERCION is finally out.

When do threats work? When they are perceived as credibly *conditional*. Credible and painful punishments are not enough.

Threats fail if targets feel “damned if they do and damned if they don’t.”

shorturl.at/qa4T5

Now out open access in the Journal of Conflict Resolution. @laurensukin.bsky.social, @lanoszka.bsky.social, & I investigate US reassurance efforts in 2023 during Russia's war on Ukraine.

We conducted public opinion surveys in 24 countries on 6 continents.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Good lord.

Pasta al limone dove?

Join IFSH!
We are seeking a Senior Researcher with broad expertise in dual-use technologies and their impact on deterrence, defense, and arms control policies. The position will not focus on cyber topics.
ifsh.de/en/institute...

This work would never be possible without the funding from the Stanton Foundation, as well as @prcp.cuni.cz . I am enormously grateful also to @claudmajor.bsky.social , Gary Marks @eui-schuman.bsky.social , @profsaunders.bsky.social , Vipin Narang and Harald Muller @prif.org for their endorsements!

My book "Europe's Nuclear Umbrella" is now ready to pre-order, coming out February 2026 with @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org ! It explains how European policy-makers navigated the balance between the public asking for disarmament and world growing more dangerous. www.cambridge.org/9781009698672 (1/2)

Once chatted with a someone who invests in Dutch tomato production. Asked why the Dutch tomatoes taste so bland. The answer was - as opposed to weight, color, vitamin or nutrient content, taste cannot be quantifiably measured. So it makes no sense to target it as a metric

"Fighting for their country: How proximate conflict shapes citizens’ attitudes" from @alexsorg.bsky.social, @wolfgangwagner.bsky.social, and @profonderco.bsky.social.

📖 Read in full here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Always wondered when Trump would
a) start threatening individual EU countries with tariffs
b) start mxing the debates on security gurantuees and trade pressure

Guess the answer is now:

Looking forward to this👇

… or on Friday for a panel on defense cooperation! Or just stop by and say hello!

Incredibly happy to be in the summery Thessaloniki for the @eissnetwork.bsky.social Annual Conference! Join us for the incredibly topical roundtable on nuclear coercion tomorrow (incl @sannecjv.bsky.social @laurensukin.bsky.social @lydiawachs.bsky.social and Kristin Ven Bruusgaard) … (1/2)

Trump’s Cease-Fire Announcement Catches His Own Top Officials by Surprise

"Israel has not yet confirmed the cease-fire, and within three hours of Mr. Trump’s announcement, there were fresh attacks from Israel against Iran, raising questions about whether all parties had agreed to it." www.nytimes.com/2025/06/23/w...