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tim frye

@timfrye.bsky.social

Political Science at Columbia, Editor Post-Soviet Affairs, Autocracy, democracy, and the NBA. Most recently, Weak Strongman: The Limits of Power in Putin's Russia and Workplace Politics: How Politicians and Employers Subvert Elections.

8,009 Followers  |  1,889 Following  |  247 Posts  |  Joined: 16.08.2023  |  2.3258

Latest posts by timfrye.bsky.social on Bluesky

Man, 2025 has been rough.

16.11.2025 16:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Celebrating Recent Work by Timothy Frye | Event Workplace Politics: How Politicians and Employers Subvert Elections by Timothy Frye, Ora John Reuter, and David Szakonyi In many countries, politicians rely…

Looking forward to this event today. Better in person but a recording will also be made available. sofheyman.org/events/celeb...

14.11.2025 16:13 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Proud to serve on the Advisory Council of the new Kennan Institute which launched yesterday. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/10/u...

11.11.2025 12:14 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Book Talk. "Post-Soviet Graffiti" Please join the Harriman Institute for a book talk byΒ Alexis Lerner. Moderated byΒ Timothy Frye.

Look forward to hosting this event tomorrow with Alexis Lerner at the Harriman Institute. Register today to attend. harriman.columbia.edu/event/book-t...

10.11.2025 12:26 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Celebrating Recent Work by Timothy Frye Please join the Harriman Institute, the Institute for Social and Economic Research, The Society of Fellows and Heyman Center for the Humanities, and the Department of Political Science for a celebrati...

Looking forward to discussing our new book with John Huber, Jessica Pisano @awhf.bsky.social @pagefortna.bsky.social on Friday, Nov. 14th at 12:15. The event is both in person and on zoom. Hope you can make it. harriman.columbia.edu/event/celebr...

06.11.2025 19:57 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Tyler Glasnow and the oompah loompahs have the same barber.

02.11.2025 01:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Graph showing life expectancy trends in 23 higher income countries between 1980 and 2024. Life expectancy increased over time in all countries. In 1980, the US is in the middle of the pack, but their life expectancy gains were slower than that of other countries, and by around 2002, the US had the lowest life expectancy of all countries. Over the next 20 years, US life expectancy increasingly tracks away from the trajectories of other countries, as their life expectancy stalls while other countries life expectancy continues to climb

Graph showing life expectancy trends in 23 higher income countries between 1980 and 2024. Life expectancy increased over time in all countries. In 1980, the US is in the middle of the pack, but their life expectancy gains were slower than that of other countries, and by around 2002, the US had the lowest life expectancy of all countries. Over the next 20 years, US life expectancy increasingly tracks away from the trajectories of other countries, as their life expectancy stalls while other countries life expectancy continues to climb

This graph never fails to be shocking: "The US has experienced the earliest and greatest slowdown in life expectancy improvements among higher-income countries, reported Eileen Crimmins. β€œWe have horrible life expectancyβ€”and it’s getting worse and worse”"

www.prb.org/resources/se...

31.10.2025 19:08 β€” πŸ‘ 540    πŸ” 266    πŸ’¬ 26    πŸ“Œ 42

As signing bonuses decline; regions will likely increase coercion to meet draft quotas and this too will be unpopular.

29.10.2025 10:59 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Prosecuting the Powerful Historical data shows putting leaders on trial is a healthy democratic practice.

Sarkozy is going to jail but he’s not the first one. In our new dataset we track modern leaders who have been prosecuted by their own states. There are 215 of them. Turns out leader prosecution is a common & healthy practice in democracies. Full access link: foreignpolicy.com/2025/10/28/d...

28.10.2025 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 776    πŸ” 263    πŸ’¬ 10    πŸ“Œ 20
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How formal equality reproduces hierarchy: the role of international law in Russian imperialism What role does international law play in Russian imperialism? Several scholarly works have demonstrated that Russia’s position in the world order is defined both by its marginal status among other ...

New article on Russian foreign policy and international law and order from Joakim Bratvoll. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

24.10.2025 17:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Managing multiple audiences: dual-track signals and the silencing of Russia’s globalized elites before the invasion of Ukraine Why did Russia’s globally integrated elites – technocrats, oligarchs, and policy professionals – remain passive and unprepared before the 24 February 2022 invasion of Ukraine, despite escalating be...

Interesting take here from Mikhail Troitskiy on elite politics in Russia prior to the full scale invasion of Ukraine. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

21.10.2025 15:39 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Elected Leaders and Informal Tax Contributions: Natural Experiment Evidence from Village Elections in Kazakhstan Please join the Harriman Institute for a lecture by Masaaki Higashijima. Moderated by Timothy Frye.

Looking forward to hosting this talk on Thursday at noon. Interesting work from Masaaki Higashijima. Register at this link. harriman.columbia.edu/event/electe...

20.10.2025 14:29 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Nederlandse diensten delen minder informatie met de VS: β€˜Soms vertellen we dingen niet meer’ Het aantal dreigingen dat op Nederland afkomt is groot, zien de hoofden van de AIVD en de MIVD elke dag: niet alleen Russische agressie, maar ook de opmars van China als digitale macht en binnenlands ...

Dutch intelligence suspends sharing arrangements with the US after concluding that high level intel was routinely being shared by the White House with their friends in the Kremlin. www.volkskrant.nl/binnenland/n...

19.10.2025 01:24 β€” πŸ‘ 8258    πŸ” 4601    πŸ’¬ 393    πŸ“Œ 1113
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this rocks. when indiana edu killed the student newspaper, Purdue stepped up, printed the forbidden issue, drove it to Bloomington and stocked the boxes.

18.10.2025 18:27 β€” πŸ‘ 15628    πŸ” 4511    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 2
Balkinization: The Art of Replacing the Law with the Deal A group blog on constitutional law, theory, and politics

I thought I'd put the administration's proposed "compact" with universities in context, so I wrote the blog post below.

It's especially for journalists covering this story!

Many details about how the compact itself works and why the administration has retreated to this strategy.

04.10.2025 22:34 β€” πŸ‘ 549    πŸ” 263    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 57

Thank your sharing. I read their exchange closely and he does a nice job putting it in context

01.10.2025 23:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Poll: Public Confidence in Higher Ed Growing Despite the Trump administration’s ongoing attacks on colleges and universities, American confidence in higher education is growing.

University leaders need to keep pushing back on the "everyone hates higher ed" fallacy. www.insidehighered.com/news/quick-t...

27.09.2025 19:37 β€” πŸ‘ 48    πŸ” 18    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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So many echoes from this article for US politics....

27.09.2025 16:43 β€” πŸ‘ 1059    πŸ” 344    πŸ’¬ 22    πŸ“Œ 43

Looking forward to commenting on this paper.

19.09.2025 23:13 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It is a very nice paper that I assign in my classes

18.09.2025 16:50 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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10 Years of Observing US-Russia Relations Please join the New York University Jordan Center for the Advanced Study of Russia and Harriman Institute at Columbia University for the concluding event in the New York-Russia Public Policy series.

Today at 5:00 on zoom and in person. Tune in if you can. harriman.columbia.edu/event/10-yea...

18.09.2025 14:35 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Economist/YouGov weekly tracker net approval, as of mid-Sept.:

Trump 1st term: -13
Biden: -8
Trump 2nd term: -18

Economist/YouGov weekly tracker net approval, as of mid-Sept.: Trump 1st term: -13 Biden: -8 Trump 2nd term: -18

New Economist/YouGov poll:

– 39% approval/57% disapproval. Both are the worst of Trump's second term
– 35/57 approval on the economy.
– Net approval of -18% is "the second-lowest net approval Trump has received in any Economist / YouGov poll" while president (today.yougov.com/politics/art...)

17.09.2025 00:54 β€” πŸ‘ 109    πŸ” 35    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 6

This is an important point.

04.09.2025 12:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Are the espn tennis announcers paid by the word?

04.09.2025 00:19 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Agreed. Last night I tried to come up with a list of players that would make me root for Djokovic and it was a struggle.

03.09.2025 11:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is what the University of Chicago correctly saw coming down the pike. They had built a world-leading cluster of language and area studies work on funding that is just going to... stop.

02.09.2025 20:24 β€” πŸ‘ 81    πŸ” 38    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 1

This is absolutely catastrophic for U.S. higher education, and for U.S. global leadership. Just the latest in a series of senseless acts of self-sabotage by a malevolent administration bent on making the United States weak and poor.

28.08.2025 11:54 β€” πŸ‘ 618    πŸ” 269    πŸ’¬ 14    πŸ“Œ 7

Americans broadly hate all of this, and we all gotta remember that when it feels like things are spinning out of control

26.08.2025 12:28 β€” πŸ‘ 2277    πŸ” 592    πŸ’¬ 16    πŸ“Œ 71
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Few charts show our current American weakness like this one.

The minute Trump came into office, Putin knew he had the green light to do whatever he wanted and kill as many innocent civilians as he wanted.

25.08.2025 15:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1313    πŸ” 590    πŸ’¬ 59    πŸ“Œ 31

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