Shaun Harrigan

LA Fires Credit: Getty Images

The 2024–2025 State of Wildfires report shows a paradox: less land burned, but record carbon released.

ECMWF scientists analysed what drove wildfire events and generated air-quality datasets.

➡️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

Two job opportunities on new @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social contract until 30/06/28. Both looking at aspects of data rescue and preparation and provision of global historical land meteorological data. Looking to fill ASAP. First job is for a senior postdoctoral position: my.corehr.com/pls/nuimrecr...

The @wmo-global.bsky.social Global State of the Water Resources 2024 Report includes a contribution from #ECMWF. We provided data from both ECMWF’s ecLand and Copernicus EMS GloFAS, and 10 other global hydrological modelling systems, to build a global picture of changing river discharge in 2024.🧵

Meet the team behind a decade of global climate updates, from scientists to analysts and technical experts. These are the people transforming climate data into actionable insight in the monthly #C3S Climate Bulletin.
Read the article climate.copernicus.eu/ten-years-c3...

Anomalies and extremes in the average surface air temperature between 17 June and 2 July 2025. The extreme categories (‘coolest’ and ‘warmest’) are based on rankings of average temperatures for the same 16 days during 1979–2024. The other categories describe how the temperatures compare to the distribution of these temperatures during the 1991–2020 reference period. ‘Much cooler/warmer than average’ - cooler/warmer than 90% of temperatures. ‘Cooler/warmer than average’ - than 66% of temperatures. ‘Near average’ - within the middle 33%. Credit: C3S/ECMWF

🌡️ June 2025 was the 3rd warmest June globally

🥵 June 2025 saw an exceptional #heatwave impact large parts of western Europe

🌊 This heatwave was made more intense by record ocean temperatures.

#climate change means heatwaves are:
🌞more frequent,
📈 more intense &
🌍 impact more people

🧪⚒️

We have taken the ensemble version of the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (#AIFS) into operations!

It will run side by side with the traditional physics-based Integrated Forecasting System (IFS).

Find out more here
➡️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

💧Northern & central Europe saw drier-than-average conditions in May, wetter-than-average in southern Europe & western Russia. March to May 2025 saw Europe's lowest spring river flow since records began in 1992.
Get the details in the #C3S Climate Bulletin 🔗 climate.copernicus.eu/sea-ice-cove...

HEPEX, the Hydrological Ensemble Prediction EXperiment, is now on Bluesky! Find it at @hepexorg.bsky.social

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Learn more about how climate conditions impacted rivers and flooding in Europe in the #ESOTC2024. The distinct east-west contrast in climate conditions in 2024 was also clear in river flow data across Europe, and the year saw widespread flooding. #C3S
https://bit.ly/42t0unK

Is Europe experiencing more flooding? Yes!

2024 saw the most widespread flooding since 2013, with 30% of European rivers exceeding the 'high' flood threshold and 12% exceeding the 'severe' flood threshold

For more @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social check out: climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2024/f...
🌏🛰️🧪⚒️🌊⛈️

The @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social and @wmo-global.bsky.social European State of the Climate Report is launched today

🌐 more than 40 datasets
👩‍🔬 over 100 scientists
🗺️ > 130 charts and graphics

Check it out: climate.copernicus.eu/ESOTC

🌏🌡️🧪⚒️🌊🛰️

Europe is fastest warming continent noted in @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social report & greenhouse gas heating +changing wind patterns are driving excess warming, particularly in winter, while less solar shading from declining aerosol particle pollution is adding to summer warmth: doi.org/10.1038/s416...

The #ESOTC2024 report is out! Explore the contrasts across Europe, from the dry and often record-warm conditions in the east to warm but wet conditions in the west. #ESOTC2024 is a joint effort between #CopernicusClimate and @wmo-global.bsky.social, together with over 100 scientists. bit.ly/3G9MdEX

Anomalies in surface air temperature and precipitation for March 2025 with respect to March averages for the period 1991-2020. The precipitation anomalies correspond to the total precipitation for the month expressed as a percentage of the average for 1991-2020. Data source: ERA5. Credit: C3S/ECMWF.

Monthly global surface air temperature anomalies (°C) relative to 1850–1900 from January 1940 to March 2025, plotted as time series for each year. 2025 is shown with a dark red line, 2024 with a dark orange line, 2023 with a yellow line, and 2016 with a light orange line. All other years are shown with thin grey lines. Data source: ERA5. Credit: Copernicus Climate Change Service /ECMWF.

Latest from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social shows March 2025 continued to break temperature records

🌡️ Warmest March for Europe

📈 Second warmest March globally, 1.60°C above the pre-industrial level

🌍 20th month in the last 21 months more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial level

#climate 🛰️🧪⚒️🗺️

🔥 Groundbreaking new tool for wildfire prediction
The new 'Probability of Fire' model uses data sources beyond weather to significantly improve the accuracy and reliability of #wildfire predictions - vital to help protect lives in the face of #ClimateChange.
Read more➡️ www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

Group photo of kick-off meeting participants

Kicked off the next phase of the #C3S Water Service at #UFZ last week with an enthusiastic group from #SMHI, #UtrechtUniversity, #Wageningen, #UKCEH, and #ECMWF.
Explore the European system here: cds.climate.copernicus.eu/datasets/sis...
More to come!

The Young Hydrologic Society is on Bluesky now!✨

We, like many other scientific societies, decided to join the Bluesky platform.
The scope of this account will be the same as before:
We'll post updates on conferences, workshops, seminars, webinars, vacancies, etc.

Follow us for updates!
Cheers!

December #Hydrology highlights from the #CopernicusClimate Change Service (#C3S).

December was predominantly dry across western, central, and parts of eastern Europe, and wetter in northern coastal and southeastern region.

Details & global updates👉
bit.ly/3C1vKRo

2024 @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social #climate data out today:

📈 2024 - first year more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial; for ERA5 it was 1.6ºC
🌡️ the past 10 years were the 10 warmest years on record
📈 2024 was warmest year for all continental regions, except Antarctica and Australasia

🌍🌡️🧪⚒️🌊

2024 was the warmest year on record with an average global temperature 1.6°C above pre-industrial level.

It's the first year to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial level, with every month but one since July 23 surpassing this threshold.
Full Global Climate Highlights 2024: https://bit.ly/40kQpcz

💧 Are you working on probabilistic hydro-meteorological forecasting? ☔ Heading to #EGU2025?

Don't miss our session, co-organized with #HEPEX! 🌍

📅 Abstract deadline: Jan 15, 13:00 CET
📎 More info: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU25/sessio...

@annie-yyc.bsky.social

GCH1

GCH2

Mark your calendars.📅
On 10 January 2025, we will release the Global Climate Highlights 2024, presenting the most critical climate data and insights from this year, almost certainly the hottest on record and the first to cross the 1.5°C threshold.

Stay tuned.
#CopernicusClimate

GitHub - ecmwf-ifs/ecland: ecLand ecLand. Contribute to ecmwf-ifs/ecland development by creating an account on GitHub.

ECMWF has made the land-surface model component of our forecasting system (the IFS) open source. It's called ecLand, and can be found here: github.com/ecmwf-ifs/ec....

Weather pattern over Europe

👩‍🎓Want to do a #PhD in hydrological modelling 💦 & flood forecasting 🌊?
Industrial PhD position with KAjO & me on the WeatherGenerator ⛈️ project - deadline to apply 31 Dec 24 ⤵️ #AcademicSky
www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/41...

Interview with Beth Ebert: Forecast Verification, a decade of progress and impact Contributed by Tom Pagano, a former HEPEX guest columnist  Ten years ago, we interviewed Bureau of Meteorology scientist Beth Ebert about the meaning of ‘good forecast verification’ an…

🚨New #HEPEX blog post🚨
An interview with the retiring Beth Ebert, a legend of forecast verification hepex.org.au/interview-wi...

This starter pack (part 2) has been further updated. :) Some good progress during this week.

Have a great weekend! Cheers!

go.bsky.app/8Ed5TJG

Climate data from @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social shows, it is virtual certainty that 2024 will be the warmest year on record and the first calendar year above 1.5°C.
This does not mean the Paris Agreement has been breached, it means ambitious #climateaction is more urgent than ever

🧪⚒️🌏🌡️📈

We are looking for a new cohort of PhDs @UFZ_de The #SEESAW will look at the long-lasting #droughts and rapid transitions to #floods. If you are interested to link #hazards and #impacts while working in the international and interdisciplinary team - apply now😊 Links⬇️