Paul Sinning

HCSS Publieksmonitor Winterpeiling: Maatschappelijke stabiliteit blijft broos, interne spanningen domineren dreigingsbeeld - HCSS Volgens de Winterpeiling van de HCSS Publieksmonitor krijgt de maatschappelijke stabiliteit in Nederland een krappe voldoende (6.1) . Binnenlandse spanningen, dalend vertrouwen in de overheid en…

🚨De resultaten van de HCSS Publieksmonitor Winterpeiling zijn zorgwekkend: vertrouwen daalt, verdeeldheid groeit en extremistische invloeden winnen terrein. Beleidsmakers kunnen deze signalen niet negeren.

Who wants to join us?

❗New Research❗

We are so pleased to see this report on "Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks" published! It was excellent working with @hcss.bsky.social on the report and we think it's an absolute must-read!

Read
hcss.nl/report/asses...

New report

Journal of Contemporary China | Friso Stevens: A Revanchist Chinese Foreign Policy, with Xi Jinping’s Politics in Command - HCSS In an article for the Journal of Contemporary China, HCSS senior fellow Friso M. S. Stevens uses Steve Tsang’s concept of Party-state Realism to explain how Xi Jinping’s ideology drives China’s…

How does Xi Jinping aim to reshape the regional order by 2049?

HCSS senior fellow Friso Stevens breaks down China’s military build-up, indirect coercion, and the Party-state worldview behind it.

Read his new article in the Journal of Contemporary China:

Dag van Progress 2025 | Key Takeaways HCSS & Clingendael - HCSS Op 13 november organiseerden The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies en The Clingendael Institute in samenwerking met het Ministerie van Buitenlandse Zaken en Ministerie van Defensie de jaarlijkse Dag…

“Hoe kan Europa zijn soevereiniteit versterken in een veranderende wereldorde?”

Op 13 november organiseerden denktanks Clingendael en HCSS in samenwerking met de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse Dag van Progress.

Lees hier de Key Takeways:

The Netherlands: A gradual decline – GIS Reports Once innovative and influential, the Netherlands is now gripped by stagnation amid political deadlock, economic pressures and a weakening international position.

From innovator to bystander?

In an op-ed for GIS Reports, HCSS founder Rob de Wijk warns that political paralysis, rising populism and structural shortages are pushing the Netherlands into economic and geopolitical decline.

European Military Fuel Readiness: The Role of Alternative Fuels in Military Logistics  - HCSS What does the energy transition in the military look like? The use of alternative fuels in the military brings challenges and opportunities, but while fossil fuels are slowly phased out, advanced and…

New HCSS report: Do alternative fuels belong on the battlefield?

Fuel has long enabled military power. But as Europe shifts from fossil fuels, can alternative fuels sustain or even enhance operational readiness?

Find our in new report by Irina Patrahau and Ron Stoop:
buff.ly/ULnYkwF

Trump Has a Recipe for War and Corruption, Not Peace Who would benefit from the White House’s 28-point proposal for Ukraine?

This is not a peace plan. It is a proposal that weakens Ukraine and divides America from Europe, preparing the way for a larger war in the future. In the meantime, it benefits unnamed Russian and American investors, at the expense of everyone else.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...

European industry leaders highlight multiple challenges This week European Aluminium’s first ever summit commenced, bringing together industry leaders, academics and technical experts from across the global…

“We can’t take a knife to a gun fight.”

HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley spoke at the European Aluminium summit this week, in a panel that explored the balance between sustainability and economic pragmatism in the EU’s long-term transition strategy.

Annales des Mines | The current state of the European Union’s dependency and its policies - HCSS In an article for Les Annales des Mines, HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley examines how the EU’s efforts to reduce strategic dependencies — from energy to defence — have paradoxically coincided…

China dominates the CRM needed for Europe’s energy transition. The US is moving fast to secure its own supply. Can the EU keep up?

HCSS strategic advisor Peter Handley analyses Europe’s growing vulnerability — and the race for resilience.

Securing Europe’s Clean Tech Future: Supporting Industry Stockpiles of Critical Raw Materials in the Netherlands - HCSS From batteries to hydrogen: Europe’s clean tech future depends on secure, sustainable material supply. A new HCSS report explores how public-private collaboration on voluntary critical raw material…

How can voluntary mineral stockpiles make Europe’s clean tech sector more resilient and sustainable?

A new HCSS report for InvestNL explores how public-private collaboration can secure access to critical raw materials.

🔗

Vandaag organiseren HCSS en Clingendael ism de Ministeries van Buitenlandse Zaken en Defensie de jaarlijkse 'Dag van Progress', met dit jaar als thema:

"Europese soevereiniteit en kennis in tijden van trans-Atlantische spanning."

#DagVanProgress

Bridging Waters: Middle Powers' Cooperation on Maritime Security Join the webinar on maritime security partnerships with emerging middle powers and discover opportunities for collaboration and dialogue.

The Red Sea and South China Sea are vital arteries for global trade. How can 🇳🇱 strengthen maritime partnerships with Egypt, Indonesia, Malaysia & others?

Find out at upcoming HCSS webinar on 18 Nov.
🗓️ 10:00–12:00 CET

🔗 Register now!

Welcome Grace!

Bad and frustrating news indeed!!

Old Players, New Moves: India's Strategy in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation - HCSS As global power dynamics shift toward multipolarity, India’s challenge lies not in adaptation, but in shaping the new order. A new HCSS Snapshot, Old Players, New Moves: India’s Strategy in the…

Can India turn its participation in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) into a tool for shaping, rather than reacting to, the changing global order?

Read the latest HCSS Snapshot by Anna Hoefnagels and Benedetta Girardi to find out!

🔗

A triple planetary crisis now affects every part of the ocean - Oceanographic It's according to the Ninth Copernicus Ocean State Report that every part of the ocean is now affected by the triple planetary crisis.

🌊 A triple planetary crisis now affects every part of the ocean

oceanographicmagazine.com/news/a-tripl...

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En deel 2 van de publieksmonitor!

New and important report: the use of AI in the military domain!

Responsible by Design: Strategic Guidance Report The responsible development and use of AI in the military domain requires informed human decisions and context-specific approaches to designing, testing, and deploying these technologies in ways that…

For the past 2 years, HCSS has had the privilege of serving as the Secretariat of GC REAIM

We are proud to see these collective efforts culminate in the Strategic Guidance Report – a milestone in shaping responsible AI in the military domain.

Welcome Nico!

Iskander Rehman | A Little World War: Lessons from the Spanish Civil War for Contemporary Strategies  - HCSS On 11th September 2025, HCSS welcomed Iskander Rehman, author and Senior Political Scientist at the RAND corporation for a lecture on the Lessons Learnt from the Spanish Civil War (1936-1939) applicab...

I learned a lot from my engagement with members of the Dutch national security community (some of whom preferred not to feature on the group photo) @hcss.bsky.social The insights shared from those with experience in training Ukrainian personnel were particularly informative.

hcss.nl/news/a-littl...

Why the US, Russia and other great powers wage war - Atlantische Commissie Article by the winner of the Netherlands Atlantic Associations Dwight D. Eisenhower Thesis Prize 2025

Why do great powers wage war?

HCSS analyst Markus Iven presents the Grand Strategies in War Dataset (GSWD)—linking grand and military strategy across 38 US & Russian wars since 1945.

Patterns of power, survival & rivalry revealed:

HCSS Publieksmonitor Maatschappelijke Stabiliteit: Hoofdlijnen Najaarspeiling 2025 - HCSS De Najaarspeiling van de HCSS Publieksmonitor laat zien dat maatschappelijke stabiliteit in Nederland broos blijft. Nederlanders beoordelen deze met een 6,1, lager dan in de zomer. Interne spanningen…

📉 Nederlanders geven maatschappelijke stabiliteit een 6,1 – lager dan in de zomer. Groeiende zorgen over interne spanningen, functioneren van de democratie en uitblijven van daadkrachtig bestuur, toont nieuwe #HCSSPublieksmonitor

A must read!

YouTube video by politizane Wealth Inequality in America

Does this make you mad? We get what we elect. No Kings 10/18/25.
youtu.be/QPKKQnijnsM?...

HCSS is very pleased to announce that Markus Iven has joined us as a new Strategic Analyst, focussing on grand strategy, transatlantic security and defence!

buff.ly/CIARlbs

Sven Koopmans joins HCSS as Chair Negotiation and Conflict Resolution - HCSS We are pleased to announce that Sven Koopmans has joined us as Chair Negotiation and Conflict Resolution! An experienced peace negotiation specialist, senior diplomat, former national politician, and…

We are excited that peace negotiation specialist, senior diplomat, former national politician, and international lawyer Sven Koopmans has joined the HCSS team, as Chair Negotiation and Conflict Resolution!