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Aaron Moniz

@amoniz.bsky.social

Football fan, co-host and owner of @devilsitdpod.bsky.social. he/him

2,240 Followers  |  206 Following  |  380 Posts  |  Joined: 11.11.2024  |  1.8103

Latest posts by amoniz.bsky.social on Bluesky

I'm not a huge believer in mid-season sackings unless: a) highly coveted coach becomes available mid-season, b) team is untenably underperforming. Neither is true. Amorim will be coach unless/until this is a bottom half team or United sign better players (midfielders especially) but don't get better

30.11.2025 14:35 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Yep. I also just think that... all coaches are prone to odd decisions/selections. It's part of being a coach. It just looks worse when you're choosing between bad players

30.11.2025 14:26 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

United are like the 7-8th best team in the PL with the 7-8th best squad and sit 6th. 4 pts off 2nd, 10 clear of 18th. By most bottom line metrics (expected/actual GD and Pts) they are projected +15-20 pts and +6-10 league positions on last year. I don't get the hate. The team is fine. Change my view

30.11.2025 14:13 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

McTom Hojlund Dorgu in one game. Crazy

21.11.2025 15:32 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Striker on pace to score 40 vs defence on pace to concede 20 like a statistical experiment except it’s the actual Premier League season

09.11.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Leafs won big tonight while everyone was distracted 😭

02.11.2025 04:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Honestly I went from actively disliking baseball a few weeks ago to being mesmerized for like 3 hours tonight, and the team I was rooting for lost. What an outstanding game

02.11.2025 04:35 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

2 of the most dangerous players in the league last season not featuring

25.10.2025 17:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Not gonna overreact but Cunha is literally peak Pogba and Martial in one player

25.10.2025 16:55 β€” πŸ‘ 20    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Not gonna gloryhunt baseball, however,,,

🍁

21.10.2025 03:03 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fly to Toronto.

20.10.2025 21:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Wow that actually sucks. Pool and the Mariners losing is great though

20.10.2025 03:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The things that are very funny to you are actually sources of pain for me (shoutout Toronto FC winning MLS though)

20.10.2025 03:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Sacrificed your best goat for a Mariners win, I know your game

19.10.2025 17:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
🚨 TWELVE DAY SPEAKER ALERT! 🚨 We're happy to announce our second speaker at Twelve day! Stephen Russell is a PhD candidate in Computer Science at Manchester Metropolitan University Institute of…... 🚨 TWELVE DAY SPEAKER ALERT! 🚨 We're happy to announce our second speaker at Twelve day! Stephen Russell is a PhD candidate in Computer Science at Manchester Metropolitan University Institute of Spor...

You guys should check this out www.linkedin.com/posts/twelve...

08.10.2025 18:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe – actually haven’t thought about it enough because I’ve been so focused on the defensive stuff. In the aggregate United are a bottom 5 side in the league from SPs

07.10.2025 16:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I’m not sure Amorim will last long enough at United to prove me right that he’s at least competent tactically in open play – the culture is too toxic, the club doesn’t recruit players properly, and the set pieces are bad – but I see my role as gathering evidence and outputting what it suggests

07.10.2025 15:54 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I don’t post much anymore for many reasons, but IMO we’re hitting a level on the podcast we’ve never hit before. We disagree in many ways with most of the public United discourse and big voices in the space ab Amorim. I think if you’re interested in my work / United you should tune in

07.10.2025 15:49 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Glad you enjoyed!

06.10.2025 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Btw I don’t think GA-PSxG is a fraud stat but I do think:
a) the commonly sourced public models are worse than the ones from lockdown (Statsbomb data unavailable now)
b) the sample size needs to be huuuuuuuge

05.10.2025 02:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Did you see him make like 5 saves from Messi last week? I was in the stands cheering like a madman

05.10.2025 02:17 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Beatles 12 is Abbey Road, end of conversation, pack it in

05.10.2025 02:13 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The general consensus is that this is the 7th/8th best squad, with a bottom 5 midfield, and the evidence so far this season is that they are… probably the 7th/8th best team in the league.

So for United’s board… you chose to keep Amorim last summer… why would you choose to sack him now?

04.10.2025 16:27 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hear me out:
– United have played 3 of last year’s T4 so far
– They have 10 points from 7
– They will sit ~10th on Monday
– Their xGD is a bit skewed, but they will sit roughly 5th/6th on xGD

After they play Liverpool next week, they have a run of 13 matches with no T4 opposition (1/2)

04.10.2025 16:25 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Didn’t have a chance to submit my Top 10 this year, but you should really tap into SCOUTED if you haven’t yet. Substantive, high-effort, knowledgeable football coverage is not easy to come by on the internet these days

01.10.2025 17:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

We all finally stopped taking the bait with Sunderland signing under-the-radar young talent from other leagues to try and survive the PL, only for them to get over 30% of the points they need in their first 6 games

27.09.2025 18:39 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Had an ice pack on in the stands

20.09.2025 17:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The real deadline day win

05.09.2025 19:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Very true actually. Originally my main reason for saying it was that Frank just hasn’t done yet in the Premier League what they’ll need to do consistently to really be a Top 6 side again, so I’m interested to see what he comes up with

30.08.2025 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Said to a buddy of mine who supports them this week: I want to see what happens when the time comes to be proactive and outplay teams that are good

30.08.2025 14:56 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

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