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Daniel P. Gross

@danielpgross.bsky.social

Prof at @DukeFuqua, formerly @HarvardHBS @UCBerkeley. Studying how crisis R&D, tech policy, automation affect firms & economies. http://dpgross.com

1,834 Followers  |  300 Following  |  21 Posts  |  Joined: 20.09.2023  |  1.9725

Latest posts by danielpgross.bsky.social on Bluesky

Confirmed participants include #PhilippeAghion, @s-stantcheva.bsky.social, @johnvanreenen.bsky.social; @heidiwilliams.bsky.social will lead an illustrious policy panel discussing how research is used in govt fiscal analysis.

Conference on 19-20 Mar; submission deadline 30 Nov. Mark your calendars!

24.09.2025 13:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ“’ Conference announcement!

Paolo Surico and I are excited to be organizing this @cepr.org conference on Public Policies for Innovation.

If you work in the #Economics of #Innovation and #InnovationPolicy, please submit + spread the word. Non-presenting attendees also invited.

24.09.2025 13:48 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Proud to have worked with this crew, especially Justin Walthier and Hana Ryan, who are both legal prodigies. Thanks to @prmalone.bsky.social, Nina Srejovic, and @stanfordlaw.bsky.social for support, and to @patentscholar.bsky.social for making this happen. We hope the court finds the brief helpful.

23.06.2025 22:52 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Tagging @fgaessler.bsky.social. I remember this paper from its early days - happy to see this out! Congrats

19.05.2025 14:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Also find it hard to believe a complex paper like this was made up from whole cloth... but could be wrong. Retraction + expulsion clearly points to major misconduct of some kind. I prefer facts over speculation--we'll get them eventually. For now the key thing to do is just to stop citing the paper!

18.05.2025 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is a thoughtful take worth a full read. Despite all the hot takes I find it hard to have a point of view over the specific faults or appropriate remedies (individual to the author, or systemic) until we know more about what happened.

18.05.2025 20:49 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Good news is that next time we can have GPT adjudicate. Happy to submit to binding AI arbitration. πŸ€–

17.05.2025 00:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

^ This guy gets it (in my impartial opinion)

16.05.2025 23:59 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Fantastic thread on an important paper. Andrew's previous paper ("The Returns to Government R&D: Evidence from U.S. Appropriations Shocks") also worth a read.

16.05.2025 20:40 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Reviewing the history of US indirect cost recovery policy, presenting new data on indirect cost recovery rates, modeling the effects of a 15 percent cap at the NIH, and evaluating tradeoffs across reform options, from Azoulay, Gross, and Sampat https://www.nber.org/papers/w33627

05.04.2025 15:00 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump’s Science Policies Pose Long-Term Risk, Economists Warn (Gift Article) Since World War II, U.S. research funding has led to discoveries that fueled economic gains. Now cutbacks are seen as putting that legacy in jeopardy.

Tariffs get all the attention, but ask economists what they're really worried about and many will point to the Trump administration's cuts to federal support for the sciences, including canceling grants and revoking student visas.
#EconSky
www.nytimes.com/2025/03/31/b...

31.03.2025 15:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1226    πŸ” 547    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 40

Slightly less poetically perhaps. You're dating yourself w Joni Mitchell instead of the Counting Crows... Meanwhile everyone younger than us is wondering both who and what are those 🀷

31.03.2025 18:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Looks like the cat is out of the bag. Good post by @stuartbuck.bsky.social on indirect cost recovery citing new joint work with @sampat.bsky.social and @pierre-azoulay.bsky.social.

Find it here: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/g8792...

29.03.2025 23:38 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A graph of government-funded patents per R&D dollar, overall and by agency.

Though federal spending on research and development has been a pillar of US innovation since World War II, the level and composition of that funding shows significant variation over time. This column introduces a comprehensive, open-access dataset identifying government-funded patents from 1900 to 2020, collected from administrative records of the US Patent and Trademark Office. The authors discuss how these data – which include a much larger set of publicly funded patents than was previously known – can be used in future research, consider their limitations, and document long-run patterns in US patent policy.

A graph of government-funded patents per R&D dollar, overall and by agency. Though federal spending on research and development has been a pillar of US innovation since World War II, the level and composition of that funding shows significant variation over time. This column introduces a comprehensive, open-access dataset identifying government-funded patents from 1900 to 2020, collected from administrative records of the US Patent and Trademark Office. The authors discuss how these data – which include a much larger set of publicly funded patents than was previously known – can be used in future research, consider their limitations, and document long-run patterns in US patent policy.

@danielpgross.bsky.social & @sampat.bsky.social introduce a comprehensive, open-access #dataset identifying US government-funded patents from 1900-2020. The government's share of patented innovations reached its zenith during WWII - comprising 11% of all US filings.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

17.02.2025 10:26 β€” πŸ‘ 25    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 2
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The US WW2 medical research and development effort catalyzed postwar science, modernized drug discovery, and fueled the postwar National Institutes of Health β€” reshaping biomedical innovation for decades, from Daniel P. Gross and Bhaven N. Sampat https://www.nber.org/papers/w33457

15.02.2025 16:00 β€” πŸ‘ 22    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Is the U.S. Civil Service really broken? What the research says about bureaucratic efficiency and reform - Haas News | Berkeley Haas The Trump administration is pursuing sweeping changes to the federal workforce, aiming to increase political control over civil servants and reduce the size of the bureaucracy. The new Department of G...

I have been studying bureaucracy my entire career. Here are some insights from my research about the ongoing efforts to transform the US federal bureaucracy newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/is-the-u-s-c...

14.02.2025 17:55 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Woot!!! Amazing to hear it's official. A huge win for everyone at Duke.

06.02.2025 14:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

A good summary of what's gone on with NSF funding, and some interesting new tidbits.

I'm really pleased they chose to end with @wytham88.bsky.social and a link to our paper:
β€œGrants don’t just generate knowledge or output now, they’ve become a way that we support the training of future scientists.”

04.02.2025 02:07 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
VSIEG 2025 Winter Schedule: Wednesdays at 12 noon - 1pm Eastern Time. February 5th - Dan Gross (Duke) "The Therapeutic Consequences of the War: World War II and the 20th Century Expansion of Biomedicine ...

Full thread coming soon. If you want a break from current events, come see the talk at the Virtual Seminar on Innovation and Economic Growth this Wednesday 12pm ET! sites.google.com/view/v-s-inn...

Kudos to Alex and Murat for creating a new seminar πŸ’ͺ

03.02.2025 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Perhaps the last (but not least) WW2-related paper I'll write w/ @sampat.bsky.social

#Econsky
@scientificdiscovery.dev
@dkthomp.bsky.social
@alecstapp.bsky.social
@calebwatney.bsky.social
@jamespethokoukis.bsky.social
@heidiwilliams.bsky.social
@pierre-azoulay.bsky.social

03.02.2025 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Suddenly, It Looks Like We’re in a Golden Age for Medicine (Published 2023) We may be on the cusp of an era of astonishing innovation β€” the limits of which aren’t even clear yet.

Paper highlights the potential long-run impacts of integrated, cross-sectoral biomed. R&D policy focused on solving problems--complementing traditional NIH approach of funding undirected science. Echoes in the Covid era, which may have heralded a new golden age: www.nytimes.com/2023/06/23/m...

03.02.2025 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
VSIEG 2025 Winter Schedule: Wednesdays at 12 noon - 1pm Eastern Time. February 5th - Dan Gross (Duke) "The Therapeutic Consequences of the War: World War II and the 20th Century Expansion of Biomedicine ...

Full thread coming soon. If you want a break from current events, come see the talk at the Virtual Seminar on Innovation and Economic Growth this Wednesday 12pm ET! sites.google.com/view/v-s-inn...

Kudos to Alex and Murat for creating a new seminar πŸ’ͺ

03.02.2025 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ”ŠπŸ”ŠNew WP: "The Therapeutic Consequences of the War: World War II and the 20th-Century Expansion of Biomedicine"

How WW2 transformed biomed. science, triggered a golden age of drug discovery, and fueled the postwar NIH. Insights for biomed R&D today. πŸ’‰

Link: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/fuhc8...

03.02.2025 22:32 β€” πŸ‘ 21    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

It's such a weird thing to hear the news and think "that's bad, but also I have a paper about (an aspect) of that"

Funding delays are really not great for people who work in science. Funding delays of > 30 days lead to:

- 40% increase in scientists exiting US labor force
- 20% decrease in wages

23.01.2025 17:42 β€” πŸ‘ 282    πŸ” 115    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 8
Preview
In one of his final actions, Biden urges continued help for left-behind places President Biden urges continued support for struggling "left-behind" communities through an executive order focused on economic recovery and regional development. This order extends a bipartisan agend...

Concern and policy for "left behind places" isn't going anywhere. Anthony Pipa and I comment on Joe Biden's last ec policy order

@aaronsojourner.org @hboushey.bsky.social @emmbadger.bsky.social @jfallows.bsky.social @danielpgross.bsky.social @byheatherlong.bsky.social @neilirwin.bsky.social

23.01.2025 00:12 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Timestamp says 25m so it looks like your long national nightmare is finally over - you made it!

21.01.2025 21:20 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

NBER Innovation Boot Camp is back this summer for a 4th run (thanks open_phil!)! Lectures by Heidi Williams, Pierre Azoulay, Ina Ganguli, Ben Jones, Chad Jones, Kyle Myers, and me, a great policy panel and keynotes, plus attendance at Summer Institute innovation session. www.nber.org/calls-papers...

17.01.2025 01:13 β€” πŸ‘ 31    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
Call for papers for the Munich Summer Institute

Call for papers for the Munich Summer Institute

Looking for things to do in late May? Submit your work on digitization, innovation, and IP to the www.munich-summer-institute.org by Feb 15. Join us for great food, city walks, urban surfing (if you like), and two exciting keynote speakers (@proffionasm.bsky.social and @michelag.bsky.social)

13.01.2025 22:45 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The Long-Run Impacts of Public Industrial Investment on Local Development and Economic Mobility: Evidence from World War II* Abstract. This article studies the long-run effects of government-led construction of manufacturing plants on the regions where they were built and on indi

#QJE Feb 2025, #9, β€œThe Long-Run Impacts of Public Industrial Investment on Local Development and Economic Mobility: Evidence from World War II,” by Garin (@andygarin.bsky.social) and Rothbaum: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

12.01.2025 12:11 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 6    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@danielpgross is following 20 prominent accounts