Jozsef Feiler's Avatar

Jozsef Feiler

@jfeiler.bsky.social

Climate & security. Ex climate-negotiator, analyst, MSc, MIA, MMAA - European Climate Foundation, beekeper, tweets in private capacity Born at 326 ppm CO2

276 Followers  |  548 Following  |  47 Posts  |  Joined: 30.12.2023  |  2.125

Latest posts by jfeiler.bsky.social on Bluesky

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๐Ÿ†• Several Earth system components may be closer to destabilisation than previously thought. Crossing key temperature thresholds could trigger feedback loops, pushing the planet toward a โ€œHothouse Earthโ€ trajectory. Study by @oregonstate.edu, @iiasa.ac.at & PIK: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

11.02.2026 16:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 817    ๐Ÿ” 500    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 35    ๐Ÿ“Œ 56

It is a good news that CIMP7 is finally coming... Badly needed. Hopefully this framework will handle better extremes and carbon cycle feedbacks and ocean thermodynamics. Regrettably social processes are prone to compound effects. On ECS we will wait and see the dice casted.

12.02.2026 05:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Incredible: ~2500mm (78 inches) in 20 days - 1.5X the normal yearly rainfall in Grazalema, Spain and itโ€™s only February. How? A 5000 mile Tropical Atmospheric River lifted by terrain in Southern Spain. H/T Nahel Belgherze #europe #flood #spain #weather

10.02.2026 06:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 81    ๐Ÿ” 36    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6

It is fine just to call them by their accustomed name, concentration camps... you know the innovation from the Cuban and Boer wars...

10.02.2026 07:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Southern Ocean may store less carbon than climate models assume - ACEAS New research led by ACEAS PhD researcher Annika Oetjens and colleagues at the University of Tasmania reveals that the Southern Ocean may be storing less carbon than climate models assume โ€“ with import...

๐ŸŒŠ An important new study led by ACEAS PhD researcher Annika Oetjens from @imas-utas.bsky.social at @utas.edu.au shows the Southern Ocean may be storing 40 to 60 per cent less carbon at certain depths than many climate models assume.

Learn more โ–ถ๏ธ antarctic.org.au/southern-oce...

10.02.2026 05:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

It came fast :(

19.01.2026 16:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Two Years to 1.7ยฐC: the โ€œPrediction Gameโ€ We Canโ€™t Afford to Lose Australiaโ€™s sweltering through another early-summer heatwave, and Iโ€™m trying to decide whether to write about the weather outside my window - or the bigger climate system weโ€™re reengineering on this p...

This week, Professor James Hansen and colleagues published projections that the global temperature record could reach +1.7ยฐC by 2027.
And if that number lands in your gut the way it landed in mine, good. It should.
#climatecrisis #auspol www.lyrebirddreaming.com/post/two-yea...

20.12.2025 12:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2972    ๐Ÿ” 1288    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 183    ๐Ÿ“Œ 105
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State of Climate Action 2025 The State of Climate Action 2025 provides the most comprehensive roadmap yet for closing the global gap in climate action to help keep the Paris Agreement goal within reach, as well as grades collecti...

The State of Climate Action 2025 report finds that global efforts to combat climate change are โ€œwell off trackโ€ and require significant acceleration to meet the 1.5ยฐC limit. Deforestation, coal phase-out, and climate finance are particularly concerning areas where progress is lacking.

29.10.2025 19:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 52    ๐Ÿ” 24    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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The ocean is a carbon toilet. Marine heat waves are clogging it. Tiny poops are supposed to sink to the seafloor, locking away carbon. But scientists have found that heat waves are disrupting that flushing.

The ocean is a carbon toilet. Marine heat waves are clogging it.

Tiny poops are supposed to sink to the seafloor, locking away carbon. But scientists have found that warm spells are disrupting that flushing.

grist.org/climate/the-...

#Heat #Oceans #Science #Climate #Seas #Poop

14.10.2025 18:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Just saw this on terrestial carbon sinks (while new study on AMOC is also increasing the chance of positive feedback driven rachet

12.10.2025 18:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This Is Fascism

12.10.2025 01:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 30132    ๐Ÿ” 12629    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 694    ๐Ÿ“Œ 763

Natural emission related tipping points and albedo related tipping points can be also triggered or being triggered before true zero enacted.

12.10.2025 16:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The most prominent systems are sink capacities - we are already seeing reduction of land based sink capacity. Sea based sink capacity is also decreasing because increased acidity and thermohaline stratification concentrating heat in the upper few hundred meter strata of the oceans.

12.10.2025 16:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There is one assumptions here for which it matters WHEN the true zero emission level happens: if Eart system elements reach bifurcation points and pushed towards new equilibrium before CO2 emission stops then the statement is false. Returning to the original state would require more effort.

12.10.2025 16:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Balkonkraftwerke: Boom des Balkonstroms Balkonkraftwerke erleben einen enormen Boom. Im August waren bei der Bundesnetzagentur 1,12 Millionen dieser Steckersolargerรคte gemeldet, ein Anstieg von 65 Prozent binnen eines Jahres. Kรผnftig kรถnnen...

"Anfang Oktober kommt die lange erwartete #VDE -Produktnorm fรผr #Balkonkraftwerke ...Die meisten Anlagen im Handel entsprechen der neuen Norm", schreibt @spiegel.de in Ausgabe 41/25 (Artikel 35/63 www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/b...).

Wir bleiben erwartungsfroh und informieren wenn se soweit ist.

05.10.2025 19:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 30    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Dozens of heatwaves linked to carbon emissions from specific companies Nature - Nearly one-quarter of heatwaves would have been โ€˜virtually impossibleโ€™ without global warming โ€” and can be attributed to the emissions of individual energy producers.

Nearly one-quarter of heatwaves would have been โ€˜virtually impossibleโ€™ without global warming โ€” and can be attributed to the emissions of individual energy producers

go.nature.com/3Kir39u

14.09.2025 12:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 124    ๐Ÿ” 60    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7

Hot off the press: We can provide for the first time a systematic attribution of recent #heatwaves to the emissions of #carbon_majors. Essential new #Nature article coordinated by @yannquilcaille.bsky.social at @ethz.ch, with numerous contributors @usyseth.bsky.social:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

10.09.2025 15:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 206    ๐Ÿ” 106    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11
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๐Ÿ”ฅClimate change made the weather that drove deadly wildfires in Tรผrkiye, Greece and Cyprus 22% more intense.

The study, by @wwattribution.bsky.social, examined weather conditions in the months and days leading up to and during the worst blazes in June and July this year ๐Ÿงต

28.08.2025 09:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 22    ๐Ÿ” 20    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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This Nature article argues that the recent declines in Antarctic sea-ice, ice-sheet, abyssal meridional overturning circulation (MOC), and marine species habitats point to a potential abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment: ๐ŸŒŠ๐Ÿงช๐Ÿฅผโ„๏ธ www.nature.com/articles/s41...

21.08.2025 11:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Ahh... just one more bit of confirmation that we are doomed... while mainstream climate discourse is still mentioning 1,5C and net zero 2050...

26.07.2025 12:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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"The findings could also mean that the land carbon sink โ€“ which normally removes billions of tonnes of COโ‚‚ from the atmosphere each year and is essential for meeting climate targets โ€“ is weakening decades earlier than expected"

26.07.2025 11:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 137    ๐Ÿ” 74    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8

Many NAmerican forest types are experiencing similar demographic declines, with little/no reproduction. Examples include oak forests in CA and the Midwest, whitebark and western white pine in the West, cottonwoods in some dryland settings. Forests of the 'living dead' are all around us.

13.07.2025 04:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 158    ๐Ÿ” 51    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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Soil moisture anomaly foreseen in Europe in the layer 28-100 cm in the coming months
Source: climatestrategies.org/seasonal-cli...

18.07.2025 16:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Experts: Which climate tipping point is the most concerning? - Carbon Brief Carbon Brief asked a wide range of experts at a University of Exeter which tipping point concerns them the most.

Your 'bonus moment of doom' for today ~ tipped

"On the sidelines of the conference, Carbon Brief asked a wide range of delegates which tipping point concerns them the most. These are their responses, first as sample quotes, then, below, in full"

www.carbonbrief.org/experts-whic...

10.07.2025 12:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 127    ๐Ÿ” 45    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
Sunset over a polar seascape with icebergs floating on calm water. The sun is low on the horizon, casting warm hues of orange and pink across the sky and creating a vivid reflection on the water's surface. Dark clouds partially obscure parts of the sunset.

Sunset over a polar seascape with icebergs floating on calm water. The sun is low on the horizon, casting warm hues of orange and pink across the sky and creating a vivid reflection on the water's surface. Dark clouds partially obscure parts of the sunset.

Our researchers have discovered an unexpected change in the Southern Ocean around Antarctica.

Since 2015, it has lost sea ice equal to the size of Greenland. They found surface waters are becoming saltier, causing more melting.

Find out more ๐Ÿ‘‰ tr.ee/gyaW0b

@sotonoceanearth.bsky.social @esa.int

01.07.2025 13:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Average start of day - trying to explain the implications of new research on equilibrium climate sensitivity colleagues living in a net zero 2050 narrative and then glimpse on the phone - notification laconically mentioning Iran attacking Mossad HQ. What a world we are living in..

18.06.2025 07:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Earth's atmosphere 'becoming thirstier' and worsening droughts The study shows that rising atmospheric demand for water is making droughts around the world up to 40 per cent more severe.

Earth's atmosphere 'becoming thirstier' and worsening droughts

08.06.2025 13:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐ŸšจICYMI: yesterday the EU ordered that 44 oil and gas producers must capture and store geologically a specified quantity of CO2 by 2030. This is pretty significant stuff, and could be regarded as a practical "polluter pays" rule. I'll put the relevant annex in the next post.

23.05.2025 15:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 72    ๐Ÿ” 24    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

I am pretty happy with two dual stage GREE inverter air conditioners (aka heat pumps). They can be efficient down till -20 C and pretty price competitive.

16.05.2025 11:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@jfeiler is following 20 prominent accounts