Carlow Weather

Very mixed Sunday with lovely sunshine for some but heavy rain in North and also heavy showers in South and West with strong winds. Good sunny spells for most tomorrow and Tuesday but feeling fresh in biting wind.

Yellow wind warnings issued for Sunday now.

Sunday looking rather windy so if you were planning to put up Christmas decorations then maybe hold off. Not because of the weather but because it’s still November 😆

Cloud and rain moving in from West along with some milder air. Rain will slowly move East but won’t reach Eastern areas until around 8-9pm.

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Down to -5.3c at my station and as high cloud moves in we could see a nice colourful sunrise in the East. Allow extra time to defrost the car this morning.

Still a lot of uncertainty around Sunday’s forecast but models continue to show risk of strong winds. The GFS model that wasn’t showing the low system developing at all has now come more inline with other models.

Spot the snow in parts of Northern Ireland, England and Scotland

The bad news is the rain is coming tomorrow Friday but the good news is the worst of it for most areas will be overnight. Over 5mm for most with over 10mm for a few spots, rain will arrive in the West around 4-5pm and move across the country.

Sun rising over @blacknight.social HQ here in Carlow on a frosty morning.

Temperatures ranging from -3c to 6c with highest temperatures on the coast. A frosty start so allow extra time to clear the ice.

Ice forming on the cars so allow some extra time for the clearing the windscreen in the morning.

Still huge uncertainty on the models for the weekend forecast. The GFS model doesn’t develop the low system really at all but other models do and bring us wind and rain. The UKMO model is the worst case scenario at present with very strong winds early Sunday.

Nice blue skies for many but scattered showers in North or West with a biting windchill.

A lot of uncertainty around the weekend but risk of low system Saturday night that could bring some strong gusts, highest risk for Southwest at present but one to keep an eye on.

A chilly Wednesday morning with windchill making it feeling even cooler but some nice sunny spells ahead. Also scattered showers in North and Northwest with some falling as snow.

Still huge uncertainty around Saturday so take any forecast with a pinch of salt for now

Risk of some icy patches tonight and Wednesday morning

Showers mainly dying out here but plenty of snow showers for Scotland as radar shows. Pink is snow and rain is green.

Interesting times ahead for weather watching as some longer term signals show increased risk of colder weather in December. Impossible to call what impacts it will have here in Ireland but certainly interesting to follow.

The UK Met office have a number of snow and ice warnings out, including Northern Ireland tomorrow. Most of the snow will be on higher ground but the odd shower could fall at lower levels for a time.

Land is saturated but also much warmer than normal with soil temperatures in Carlow 3.8c above normal but soil temperatures will drop back a little this week.

Sunny spells and showers today with Northerly wind increasing and once the showers clear South the real cold air moves in with a bitter windchill and some showers turning wintry. Main risk of snow is on high ground in North and Northwest.

Rain likely moving in from West Friday but timing little uncertain. Most likely late afternoon before it really hits but stay tuned if you have plans outdoors Friday

Good sunny spells for many Monday morning but you might want to bring the big coat😁

Colder and clearer air moving down from North with a big change in our weather arriving today.

Showers Tuesday but mainly rain here with snow in parts of Scotland. We could see some wintry showers here Wednesday and Thursday but mainly on high ground in Northern areas

Some interesting signals for longer range weather showing increased risk of blocking for December and possibly stratospheric warming. These increase the chances of colder weather but do NOT guarantee it. We are well overdue a white Christmas though😉

Some patchy rain to start but good sunny spells moving down the country. Colder air also moving in, as you can see it has already arrived in Scotland.

Windchill forecast for midday Wednesday shows 0 to -4c🥶