Luis Sattelmayer

Abstract

New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵

"Ungeklärt ist etwa, ob man Betroffenen bereits beim zweiten oder erst ab dem dritten Meldeversäumnis die Leistung komplett, also zu 100 Prozent, kürzen kann." blau markiert, Screenshot der Rheinischen Post.

Das ist so kaputt. Aktuell wird darüber verhandelt, ob beim 2. oder 3. Terminversäumnis vollsanktioniert werden soll? Das wird jene hart treffen, die ohnehin nix zu lachen haben: Depressionen, Phobien, Krankenhausaufentahlt, usw. Bis dagegen erfolgreich geklagt werden könnte, würden Jahre vergehen.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Herzlichen Glückwunsch!!

How to Make Beautiful Tables in R Make your results show up beautifully with these packages to make tables in R.

pour la prochaine fois : rfortherestofus.com/2019/11/how-...

Les jeunes femmes votent-elles plus à gauche et les jeunes hommes plus à droite ? Avec Nonna Mayer & @anjadurovic.bsky.social nous avons analysé cette question pour les législatives 2024 en France. Les résultats sont parus cet été dans @rfsp.bsky.social : shs.cairn.info/tap-cqmzyu1b...
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🚨New working paper 🚨

Excited to share my new working paper on rural discontent with climate policies in Europe.

As the climate backlash materialises, especially in rural places, I ask: why do people oppose the green transition in rural areas?

A quick 🧵

The paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Sur les deux côtés, graphique en forme de réseau dont les noeuds sont des icônes symbolisant des textes, des conversations, des pipelines, des outils, des idées, des tendances... Texte au milieu : CSS - Computational social sciences

Des méthodes computationnelles : pour quoi faire ? 🧐 - Collecter des données, souvent textuelles (scraping) - Préparer les données (nettoyage, découpage des données scrapées ; transcription automatique d'entretiens enregistrés) - Analyser, mesurer, classer. Par exemple : * mesurer la présence, la fréquence d'utilisation dans un large corpus d'un concept bien défini, grâce aux méthodes supervisées * laisser un modèle proposer une classification des données en regroupant les éléments par niveau de similarité (approches non supervisées)

Avec quels outils ? 🛠️ - Des langages de programmation : R, Python - Des grands modèles de langage (LLM) : BERT, GPT, LLaMA - Le code partagé par des collègues, sur GitHub, dans des methods papers - Des applications utilisant l'IA : pour automatiser les transcriptions, générer du code

Quels prérequis ? - Bien définir le concept à mesurer - Avoir des notions de base de programmation et de statistiques - Ces méthodes ne sont pas réservées à des data scientists : le "coût d'entrée" a diminué - Et des cours existent, comme celui donné par nos doctorants à l’Ecole de la recherche.

🔎Au CEE, la science politique fait parler les données massives.

Création de grands corpus, analyse grâce au machine learning et aux LLM : entretien avec Meryem Bezzaz, @malojan.bsky.social, @selmasarenkapa.bsky.social, @luissattelmayer.bsky.social, doctorant·es.

👉 www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...

Dua Lipa as a symbolic policy
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doi.org/10.31219/osf...

A green divide? Climate policy support and its rural geography in Europe Opposition to the green transition is often attributed to the direct costs of climate policies, with particularly vulnerable individuals perceived as more resistant. While recent studies suggest ru...

Excited to share that my first single-authored article is now published in @wepsocial.bsky.social!

In light of the current backlash to climate policy, I explore the (rural) geography of support for climate policies in Europe.

🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Ist Carsten Linnemann ein Feigling? Die Zeit hat den CDU Genralsekräter mit den Ergebnissen unserer Studie konfrontiert

Carsten Linnemann steht regelmäßig an vorderster Front wenn es darum geht, Bürgergeldbeziehende zu diffamieren & Unwahrheiten zu verbreiten. Damit schiebt er die Debatte immer weiter und gezielt nach rechts. Die ZEIT hat ihn mit den Ergebnissen unserer Studie konfrontiert. Die Antwort?

Congratulations Franziska!!

Femmes et extrême droite : l’effacement du genre, pas des idées — Enflammé.e.s Depuis 2012, le vote des femmes pour l’extrême droite ne se distingue plus de celui des hommes. Pour Enflammé.e.s, le 06/06/2025, Nonna Mayer et Noémie Piolat reviennent sur cette disparition du « gen...

Très heureuse de voir publié cet entretien dans Les Enflammées, où je discute avec Nonna Mayer des résultats d’un article co-écrit avec @anjadurovic.bsky.social (à paraître dans la RFSP). On parle de genre, de sexisme, de jeunesse, et de vote pour l’extrême droite: www.enflammees.com/actualites/p...

Glückwunsch!!

DLF: Maskenbeschaffung in der Corona-Pandemie Grünen-Gesundheitspolitiker Dahmen wirft Ex-Gesundheits-minister Spahn Fehlverhalten vor

1/ In die Milliarden-Masken-Affäre von Spahn kommt neue Bewegung. Spoiler: Es tun sich Abgründe auf. Ein seit Monaten vorliegender Aufklärungsbericht wird im BMG unter Verschluss gehalten. Dazu, und was das alles mit dem Sohn von Helmut Kohl zu tun hat – ein längerer Thread 🧵

@ehouardvial.bsky.social est une cause perdue 😞

Linus Westheuser: "Die SPD muss bereit sein, sich mit den ökonomischen Eliten anzulegen" Hat die SPD die Arbeiter verloren, weil sie zu viel über das Bürgergeld redet? Unsinn, findet der Soziologe Linus Westheuser. Die SPD brauche ein völlig anderes Konzept.

Interview bei ZEIT ONLINE:

Hat die SPD die Arbeiter verloren, weil sie zu viel über das Bürgergeld redet? Unsinn, findet der Soziologe Linus Westheuser. Die SPD brauche ein völlig anderes Konzept. Sie muss bereit sein, sich mit den ökonomischen Eliten anzulegen.

www.zeit.de/politik/deut...

Opinion | Why We’re Rooting for Germany’s Conservative Chancellor

The article in question

www.nytimes.com/2025/05/17/o...

Well I would love to see the research supporting the claims made in that article. Or to find out more about the individual expertise that the member of the Editorial Board have. Surely they must have information we don't have.

This whole #nyt opinion piece is so wrong, bad, apologetic towards racist policies. It defends the mainstreaming of the far right and the undermining of democratic norms. It’s as if the goal was to wrongly oppose every different strand of research on the far right that says the opposite

We’re in 2025 and it’s horrible that mainstream parties are still making racist claims about immigration to “win back” voters. But the fact that today’s @nytimes.com opinion section propagates such insane stupidities is mind boggling to me. This assessment couldn’t me more wrong and more odious

🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar.

We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads.

What we find is disturbing:

osf.io/preprints/os...

Sorry, but this stuff drives me absolutely crazy. I’m sorry economists & journalists are just discovering the field of international political economy. But we’ve been studying & publishing about this stuff for 50 years now. There’s no new age of anything & “geoeconomics” has been around forever.

Populism remains an important necessary concept to understand current political transformations. But analysts need to move away from it as the main focus. Authoritarian nativism, white supremacy, racism, sexism and fascism are the ideologies at the core of the current erosion of liberal democracy 1/

Der Content, für den ich hier bin

Thrilled to have presented my research on how legacy news media give a voice to far-right parties at #COMPTEXT2025. Grateful to the fantastic organizers, colleagues, and all who made it such a stimulating conference — here’s to many more!

Framing the Domestic Economy: Media, Policy, and Public Perception Time: Friday, 25/Apr/2025: 10:45am - 12:15pm · Location: SR 04 Session Chair: Matilde Ceron, University of Salzburg Discussant: Hugo Subtil, University of Zurich Hidden barriers to open competition: Using text mining to uncover corrupt restrictions to competition in public procurement Eszter Katona1,3, Mihály Fazekas2,3 1Eötvös Loránd University, Hungary; 2Central European University; 3Government Transparency Institute From Prices to Politics: Framing the Causes of Inflation at the Federal Reserve (1970-2023) Benjamin Braun1, Jérôme Deyris2, Monica DiLeo3 1London School of Economics; 2Sciences Po, France; 3Hertie School, Berlin Salience and anti-elitism of wealth elites in UK newspapers Michael Kevin Vaughan London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom Shifting Priorities: How the New Economic Reality Influences Youth Perspectives in Türkiye Ayşe Zeynep Zülfikar1, Ubeyd Öktem1,2 1Koç University, Türkiye; 2Bilgi University, Türkiye

Discourses On Group Identities and Their Measurement Time: Saturday, 26/Apr/2025: 4:30pm - 6:00pm · Location: SR 06 Session Chair: Marvin Stecker, University of Vienna Discussant: Camilo Cristancho, Universitat de Barcelona Politicians’ discursive use of social identities and citizens’ self-identification Naama Rivlin-Angert1, Yael R. Kaplan2, Guy Mor-Lan3 1The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel; 2The Open University of Israel; 3The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel Is social group construction susceptible to crises? Selma Sarenkapa Sciences Po Paris, France SocialNER - A general method to detect social groups in computational text analysis Jonas Buettner, Pascal Jürgens, Nils Schwager Trier University, Germany Using LLMs to Detect Group Appeals in Parties’ Election Manifestos Will Horne1, Alona O. Dolinsky2, Lena Maria Huber3 1Clemson University; 2VU Amsterdam; 3MZES, University of Mannheim

Politics in Data, oven-ready: A Showcase Of New Datasets Time: Friday, 25/Apr/2025: 5:00pm - 6:15pm · Location: BIG Hörsaal lecture hall Session Chair: Christian Rauh, WZB Berlin Social Science Center Analyzing Sentiments towards the European Union in Slovak Parliamentary Speeches (1994–2023) Jakub Szabo Comenius University in Bratislava, Slovak Republic EuroParlBase: A Linked Database of European Parliament Data Verena Kunz University of Mannheim & GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences, Germany ParlLawSpeech Jan Schwalbach1, Lukas Hetzer2, Proksch Sven-Oliver2, Rauh Christian3, Sebők Miklós4 1Gesis Cologne; 2University of Cologne; 3WZB Berlin, University of Potsdam; 4Centre for Social Sciences Budapest The US Congressional Speeches Dataset, 1879-2022 Segun Aroyehun University of Konstanz, Germany The Weimar Parliament Database Benjamin Rohr1, John Levi Martin2, Jan Kamlah1, Julius Diener1, David Schweizer1 1University of Mannheim, Germany; 2University of Chicago, USA Group Appeals in Historical Perspective—Comparing Over 50 Years of Parties’ Election Campaign Communication with Social Groups. Alona O. Dolinsky1, Lena Maria Huber2, Will Horne3 1VU Amsterdam; 2MZES, University of Mannheim; 3Clemson University PartySoMe: Measuring party behavior and issue attention in 25 countries on Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and YouTube Luis Sattelmayer, Malo Jan SciencesPo Paris, France

Shaping Politics: Constituency Influence, Parliamentary Debates, and Voter Priorities through Data-Driven Insights Time: Saturday, 26/Apr/2025: 4:30pm - 6:00pm · Location: SR 04 Session Chair: Alex Hartland, University of Saarland Discussant: Nicolai Berk, ETH Zurich Representing Prestige and Debt: How Local Attributes Influence Saliency and Ideology in Higher Education Discourse Sarah King University College Dublin, Ireland Discourse about the Left and Right in a Postcommunist Context: The Czech Case Štěpán Jabůrek, Jan Vondráček, Vojtěch Pohanka, Tomáš Kremla Charles University, Czech Republic Different priorities, different phrasing: Exploring gender differences in open-text responses to the ‘most important issue’ question. Louise Luxton1, Ceri Fowler2 1University of Manchester; 2St Hilda's College, University of Oxford United We Stand, Divided We Fall: Mainstream Party Agreement and Vote Switching to Far Right Competitors Luis Sattelmayer SciencesPo Paris, France Meanings of "The West" in Central and Eastern European Party Rhetoric Silvia Porciuleanu European University Institute, Italy

3 young scholars from our centre present at #COMPTEXT2025 in Vienna on Fri & Sat:

@jdeyris.bsky.social on Fed discourses
@selmasarenkapa.bsky.social on social group constructions
@luissattelmayer.bsky.social on party positions

#TextAsData
cc @comptext.bsky.social @edr-sciencespo.bsky.social

En plus d'internaliser cet effet incitatif, taxer / interdire ce genre de comportements a probablement des effets symboliques intéressants : rendre plus acceptables les politiques climatiques
@theodoretallent.bsky.social @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social

osf.io/qjg85/downlo...