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Lea Kaftan

@dielea.bsky.social

Big fan of democracy, political and data science. Part of MEDem (medem.eu) and GESIS. @Lea23459981@sciences.social

562 Followers  |  455 Following  |  36 Posts  |  Joined: 04.10.2023  |  2.1241

Latest posts by dielea.bsky.social on Bluesky

About one week left to submit proposals for our #AKWahlen conference in Mainz.

No fee, open topic, nice people & city!

More here: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a...

Cc: @sgarritzmann.bsky.social @conradziller.bsky.social @dvpw.bsky.social

23.01.2026 14:23 — 👍 7    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 1

‼️ Mit Blick auf die erwartete Programmentscheidung der @epssnet.bsky.social hat der Programmbeirat die Anmeldefrist für Chairs, Discussants & Vortragende bis zum 8. Februar 2026 verlängert!

👉 meine.dvpw.de

#3LT #Dreiländertagung #DACH #PoWi #Politikwissenschaft #Europa #Zukunft #Bodensee

30.01.2026 12:13 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Logo for the European Journal of Political Research displaying the text "EJPR European Journal of Political Research" in cream letters on a blue background, accompanied by the hashtag "#OpenAccess".

Logo for the European Journal of Political Research displaying the text "EJPR European Journal of Political Research" in cream letters on a blue background, accompanied by the hashtag "#OpenAccess".

#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social -

Voices of the party base: How supporters want established parties to respond to new parties - https://cup.org/4q1M0ET

- Dominik Duell, @dielea.bsky.social, @sopro.bsky.social, Jonathan B. Slapin & @chriswratil.bsky.social

#FirstView

29.01.2026 13:20 — 👍 11    🔁 9    💬 0    📌 0
Promotional graphic for International Love Data Week featuring the event title "Elevating your Research’s Impact and Visibility with ORCID and DataCite." The event is scheduled for February 10, 2026, with time zones listed. Includes a QR code and the logos of ORCID, SPARC, and DataCite.

Promotional graphic for International Love Data Week featuring the event title "Elevating your Research’s Impact and Visibility with ORCID and DataCite." The event is scheduled for February 10, 2026, with time zones listed. Includes a QR code and the logos of ORCID, SPARC, and DataCite.

How can you link and track research outputs & activities to save time and elevate impact?
ORCID iDs and DataCite DOIs work together to make this possible! Find out how on 10 February at our webinar in honor of Love Data Week.
datacite.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
@orcid.org #LoveData26

19.01.2026 10:36 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1
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"Wenn man die Lage Polens auf dem Globus anschaut, sind die vom Deutschen Reich gestellten Fragen übrigens nachvollziehbar."

Was für ein wahnsinnig gefährlicher Trottel!

18.01.2026 08:33 — 👍 5927    🔁 1557    💬 301    📌 115
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We are happy to announce the call for papers for the third WhoGov Mini-Conference on Political Elites!

It will be held on August 20-21st, 2026 in Oslo. We welcome research on political elites broadly understood and not just papers using WhoGov.

You can find the call here: bit.ly/whogovminico...

09.01.2026 14:53 — 👍 49    🔁 26    💬 1    📌 4

*Computational Text Analysis with R* by @dielea.bsky.social & @jwaeckerle.bsky.social

🗓️ 13 – 15 April 2026
🏢 Online
🌐 t1p.de/TextAnalysisR

08.01.2026 14:50 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Last day 📢📢📢

05.01.2026 09:05 — 👍 10    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0

Die nächsten PRÜF-Demos sind am 10.01. in Hamburg, München und Düsseldorf, jeweils um 14 Uhr!
Mehr Infos gibts bei @pruef-hh.bsky.social @pruef-by.bsky.social und @pruef-nrw.bsky.social #pruef

03.01.2026 19:02 — 👍 115    🔁 58    💬 6    📌 5
Menschenmenge hinter dem Front-Banner auf einer PRÜF-Demo in Hamburg 

Text:
“Demo für die Prüfung rechtsextremer Parteien
10.01.
14 Uhr, Hamburger Innenstadt”

Oben rechts das Logo “PRÜF HEUTE, SCHÜTZ MORGEN”

Menschenmenge hinter dem Front-Banner auf einer PRÜF-Demo in Hamburg Text: “Demo für die Prüfung rechtsextremer Parteien 10.01. 14 Uhr, Hamburger Innenstadt” Oben rechts das Logo “PRÜF HEUTE, SCHÜTZ MORGEN”

Save the date schonmal vor den Feiertagen: Am 10.01. gehen wir wieder gemeinsam auf die Straße!

📅 10.01.2026 (Samstag)
⏰ 14 Uhr
📍 Hamburger Innenstadt (genauer Ort folgt)

#pruef

20.12.2025 19:56 — 👍 159    🔁 56    💬 3    📌 3
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Long ago, in a study of the democratic attitudes in Germany, Dalton raised the possibility of “Fragebogendemokraten” (questionnaire democrats): people who hesitate to express their sincere dislike for “democracy” in surveys, providing instead the “socially desirable” response (1)

12.09.2025 13:20 — 👍 19    🔁 12    💬 2    📌 1
Danger

🗃️ New data is in it, too!
As part of the DANGER project, we collected new data on the position of 387 parliamentary parties and 30 electoral alliances competing in 130 elections of 25 interwar European democracies. This data is published along with the AIEEDA dataset: lnkd.in/eAwbbQqC
(4/4)

22.08.2025 11:59 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

3️⃣ Measures of polarization that integrate multiple policy dimensions outperform unidimensional measures of polarization.
4️⃣ While separately measuring polarization and fragmentation, we can analyze their distinct effects, which was not possible with most common polarization indices.
(3/4)

22.08.2025 11:59 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Our key findings are:
1️⃣ Too high levels of polarization were counterproductive for the survival of democracies in interwar Europe, but so were too low levels of polarization.
2️⃣ Low levels of fragmentation aggravated the negative effects of too little and too much polarization.
(2/4)

22.08.2025 11:59 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
LinkedIn This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

📄 🚨 New Research on Polarization, Fragmentation, and Democracy in @democratization.bsky.social

Nils-Christian Bormann and I explore the impact of ideological polarization and fragmentation on the democratic systems of interwar Europe: lnkd.in/erjJr9qF
#polarization #democracy #data #history (1/4)

22.08.2025 11:59 — 👍 16    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 0

Some thoughts on the strategic rationale behind the "Brandmauer” – the cordon sanitaire vis-à-vis the AfD – and the challenges associated with maintaining it. Seems pertinent, given that senior CDU/CSU figures regularly float the idea of ditching it and exploring avenues for closer cooperation.

17.04.2025 09:18 — 👍 71    🔁 29    💬 8    📌 8

My sabbatical leave allowed me to reflect on my professional life.

As I’ve stepped into more senior roles in academia (plus gotten a bit older), I often get asked:

“How do you keep writing academic articles, policy work, opinion pieces, while juggling everything else?”

My answer: skillpower

🧵

16.04.2025 10:39 — 👍 233    🔁 40    💬 10    📌 19
Preview
Introducing the Archive of Interwar Europe Election Data & Assemblies (AIEEDA) Scientific Data - Introducing the Archive of Interwar Europe Election Data & Assemblies (AIEEDA)

We finally published the Archive of Interwar Europe Election Data and Assemblies (AIEEDA)! 🗳️💽🤓 Find out more about party positions, cabinet formation, and parliamentary elections in 25 European democracies between 1919 and 1939! We also collected geo-referenced data for 6 countries! 🗺️📍
rdcu.be/ehRgD

15.04.2025 15:43 — 👍 19    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 1
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MEDem has applied for ESFRI Roadmap 2026: Shaping the Future of European Democracy Research - Monitoring Electoral Democracy MEDem has applied for inclusion on the ESFRI Roadmap 2026: Shaping the Future of European Democracy Research On April 8, 2025, MEDem (Monitoring Electoral Democracy) took a major next step toward shap...

🎉 Big step for #MEDem! We’ve officially applied for the #ESFRIroadmap2026— backed by 15 governments, 1,000+ researchers & 100+ institutions/associations.
One more milestone toward building Europe’s infrastructure for comparative #DemocracyResearch ✅
Read more on our #MEDemBlog 👉

10.04.2025 08:58 — 👍 38    🔁 16    💬 3    📌 7
European Commission - Have your say European Commission - Have your say

Do you care about democracy in the EU? @ec.europa.eu wants to hear your views on disinformation, information manipulation, elections, free media, civil society, societal resilience, citizen participation and engagement.
Researchers - share your evidence!
Deadline 26 May
ec.europa.eu/info/law/bet...

07.04.2025 13:08 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Japan: Das Märchen von den vielen Hundertjährigen Viele Medien berichten immer wieder, dass auf Okinawa in Japan so viele Hundertjährige leben sollen wie nirgends. Doch das stimmt nicht.

Leben auf Okinawa in Japan so viele Hundertjährige wie nirgends sonst auf der Welt? Nö. Medien behaupten das trotzdem immer wieder. Jetzt ohne Paywall lesen: uebermedien.de/103765/japan...

31.03.2025 06:37 — 👍 60    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 0

Quick reminder: Join us on August 1, 2025 for a short online conference discussing your research ideas! 😎

27.03.2025 15:23 — 👍 5    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

📣 Last Chance to join!
#GESISworkshops

27.03.2025 14:50 — 👍 3    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
HarDIS - Harmony in the Democratic Ideological Space | OSCARS In today’s democracies, the relationship between political parties and voters plays a critical role in shaping political outcomes. However, research on this interaction, including party responsiveness...

Earlier this month, Paul Bederke had the opportunity to attend the 1st OSCARS Annual Meeting in Rome (March 3–4, 2025), where he represented our HarDIS project – Harmony in the Democratic Ideological Space.
oscars-project.eu/projects/har...

19.03.2025 11:18 — 👍 14    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1
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In about a month, we submit our application for the ESFRI Roadmap 🇪🇺
Help us reach 1,000 researchers by showing your support here: forms.gle/dm8K4xFgXD9b...
⚙️ Regardless, we’re sure you’ll find MEDem’s tools & services useful once they’re live. We’re already working on first prototypes this year! 🏗️📊

03.03.2025 09:49 — 👍 25    🔁 22    💬 0    📌 5

The actual datasets are now also available online via the Harvard Dataverse: 🕵‍♀️ doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

26.02.2025 15:05 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

Also, this is the first election that I have heard several non-political scientists talk about strategically voting for Die Linke, with the goal of supporting the “left-wing” in the Bundestag - also from people who have never considered voting for Die Linke, before. Exit polls will be interesting!

21.02.2025 15:07 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Basierend auf einer Vielzahl von Datenquellen zeigen wir in unserem Research Brief eine Sache: Verluste an die radikale Rechte sind nur marginal relevant für die elektorale Krise der Sozialdemokratie. Anders gesagt: heutige Wähler von radikal rechts sind keine früheren Sozialdemokraten.

21.02.2025 14:59 — 👍 51    🔁 21    💬 2    📌 1

This overview deserves another share, important to be informed of the extent of the authoritarian actions of the Trump administration

21.02.2025 11:57 — 👍 23    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Data Spotlight #7 As dedicated data curators, we're excited to showcase curated data collections that will hopefully ignite your research interests. Today we present you: Thematic Data Collection on Elections and Political Attitudes With the Bundestag elections on

#GESISblog #blog
Data Spotlight #7 on the GESIS blog: Dr. Alex Jedinger and Dr. Christina Eder introduce a thematic data collection on elections and political attitudes:

blog.gesis.org/data-...

21.02.2025 10:00 — 👍 6    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

@dielea is following 20 prominent accounts