Patrick M Kuhn's Avatar

Patrick M Kuhn

@pmkuhn.bsky.social

Political Scientist at Durham University in the Centre for Institutions and Political Behaviour | Researching the politics of political and economic development | PI of 19th-Century Election Violence Project

813 Followers  |  633 Following  |  44 Posts  |  Joined: 17.11.2024  |  2.0347

Latest posts by pmkuhn.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The US Shuts Down (Again): The Politics Behind the 2025 Government Shutdown

🎧 Just dropped: In this new episode of Politics in the Rearview Mirror, @pmkuhn.bsky.social speaks to Dr David Andersen and Dr Neil Visalvanich to unpack the mechanics and meaning of the US government shutdown
open.spotify.com/episode/4i6l...

14.10.2025 13:25 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

Has always been and will always be…und can ignore it for a while, but economics will eventually come back and bite.

04.10.2025 18:54 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Wohnungsnot trifft Raumüberfluss – das grosse Paradox der Schweizer Einfamilienhäuser Neue Zahlen zeigen: Mehr als die Hälfte der Wohngebäude in der Schweiz sind Einfamilienhäuser. Und mehr als die Hälfte davon wird nur von einer oder zwei Personen bewohnt.

Viele halbleere Einfamilienhäuser: Davon wird es nach Abschaffung #Eigenmietwert noch mehr geben.
Und nochmals mehr, falls die vom Bund angedachte neue Grundstückgewinnsteuer kommt.
Gaga-Steuerpolitik.
www.nzz.ch/wirtschaft/n...

29.09.2025 06:42 — 👍 13    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
y pushing for such a hardline policy, Reform may have over-reached and handed a powerful weapon to their political opponents, who can attack a potential Farage government as a clear and present danger to the rights and security hundreds of thousands of decent hard-working migrant families, including friends, neighbours and workmates. After years of making the running on immigration, Farage may this week have handed the initiative back to his opponents.

y pushing for such a hardline policy, Reform may have over-reached and handed a powerful weapon to their political opponents, who can attack a potential Farage government as a clear and present danger to the rights and security hundreds of thousands of decent hard-working migrant families, including friends, neighbours and workmates. After years of making the running on immigration, Farage may this week have handed the initiative back to his opponents.

@robfordmancs.bsky.social argues that the unpopularity of Reform's proposals offer the government an opportunity - but I'd add that they will squander that if they introduce what just looks like a watered-down version of those proposals.

25.09.2025 10:10 — 👍 47    🔁 12    💬 4    📌 1
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🚨📢 I am hiring a PhD candidate /research assistant in Swiss Politics and/or Comparative Politics (100%)!

🚨📢 Je recrute un·e assistant·e diplômé·e en science politique en politique suisse et comparée!

Please join me @unil.bsky.social, Switzerland!

Thanks for sharing! polisky @sspunil.bsky.social

19.09.2025 08:07 — 👍 48    🔁 43    💬 2    📌 0
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Sunday afternoon at the lake -Afagato weather with view…

31.08.2025 12:57 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Google Scholar Is Doomed Academia built entire careers on a free Google service with zero guarantees. What could go wrong?

Since search is dead, how soon do you think Google Scholar is headed for the Google Graveyard? I'm betting it's soon, and academia is NOT prepared

13.08.2025 01:28 — 👍 725    🔁 338    💬 48    📌 102
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Die Schweiz ist Weltmeisterin bei Immobilienschulden. Ändert die Abschaffung des Eigenmietwerts etwas daran? Laut dem Bundesrat wäre ein Systemwechsel bei der Besteuerung von Wohneigentum gut für die Finanzstabilität. Doch das Argument steht auf wackeligen Beinen.

"Werden Häuser noch teurer?", fragt der Tagi bezüglich #Eigenmietwert.
Meine Antwort: Selbstverständlich.
Wenn man Steuern senkt auf ein inelastisch angebotenes Gut, dann steigt dessen Marktpreis.
Wie stark wäre der Preisschub?
Eine grobe Schätzung.
🧵 1/
www.tagesanzeiger.ch/eigenmietwer...

22.08.2025 06:57 — 👍 19    🔁 8    💬 3    📌 2

This is shocking…

04.08.2025 06:29 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Electoral Violence in England and Wales, 1832–1914* Abstract. This article analyses over 19,000 articles from newspapers and parliamentary commission reports to reveal endemic electoral violence in England a

From the current issue:

“Electoral Violence in England and Wales, 1832–1914”

by Luke Blaxill (@oxhistoryfaculty.bsky.social), Gary Hutchison (@edinburgh-uni.bsky.social), @pmkuhn.bsky.social, @gidoncohen.bsky.social, Nick Vivyan (@durham-university.bsky.social)
#OpenAccess

doi.org/10.1093/past...

31.07.2025 16:21 — 👍 12    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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Motherfucking wind farms…

30.07.2025 17:02 — 👍 46998    🔁 17690    💬 1149    📌 2380
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New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

07.07.2025 09:49 — 👍 651    🔁 253    💬 14    📌 32

From the current issue: “Electoral Violence in England and Wales, 1832–1914”

by Luke Blaxill (@oxhistoryfaculty.bsky.social), Gary Hutchison (@edinburgh-uni.bsky.social), @pmkuhn.bsky.social, @gidoncohen.bsky.social, Nick Vivyan (@durham-university.bsky.social)

#OpenAccess

doi.org/10.1093/past...

27.06.2025 08:31 — 👍 9    🔁 9    💬 0    📌 0
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The UK's Military Makeover: Assessing the Strategic Defence Review Politics in the Rearview Mirror · Episode

Thanks to @pmkuhn.bsky.social for inviting me onto our departmental podcast to talk about the UK Strategic Defence Review, the space dimensions of it in particular and some wider issues in UK defence.

open.spotify.com/episode/52UK...

13.06.2025 09:50 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1

Check out the forthcoming JCR article by Anouk Rigterink and my PhD student @wangyinzhao.bsky.social 👇

08.06.2025 08:55 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Check out the forthcoming JCR article by Anouk Rigterink and my PhD student @wangyinzhao.bsky.social 👇

08.06.2025 08:55 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

b), you can do a) when you are 50, 60, or 70.

07.06.2025 08:27 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Explore incidents of election violence in 19th Century England and Wales on our interactive map at victorianelectionviolence.uk/interactive-....

Read short descriptions, see how violence changed over time, and follow the historical newspapers sources to discover more.

29.05.2025 12:26 — 👍 26    🔁 16    💬 2    📌 0

We discovered a lot of "fun" local electoral history bits that have been hidden. Some of the buildings and public houses involved are still standing.

29.05.2025 19:50 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Explore incidents of election violence in 19th Century England and Wales on our interactive map at victorianelectionviolence.uk/interactive-....

Read short descriptions, see how violence changed over time, and follow the historical newspapers sources to discover more.

29.05.2025 12:26 — 👍 26    🔁 16    💬 2    📌 0
Preview
Electoral Violence in England and Wales, 1832–1914* Abstract. This article analyses over 19,000 articles from newspapers and parliamentary commission reports to reveal endemic electoral violence in England a

From current issue: “Electoral Violence in England and Wales, 1832–1914”

by Luke Blaxill (@oxhistoryfaculty.bsky.social), Gary Hutchison (@edinburgh-uni.bsky.social), @pmkuhn.bsky.social, @gidoncohen.bsky.social, Nick Vivyan (@durham-university.bsky.social)

#OpenAccess

doi.org/10.1093/past...

28.05.2025 07:17 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 2
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A new method to estimate treatment effects on long-term outcomes that uses intermediate outcomes to correct for selection bias, relaxes assumptions of popular surrogate estimators, from Susan Athey, Raj Chetty, and Guido Imbens https://www.nber.org/papers/w33817

25.05.2025 17:00 — 👍 27    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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Mad or Method? A Closer Look at the Madman Theory Politics in the Rearview Mirror · Episode

📣 New episode alert!
CIPB member @pmkuhn.bsky.social explores the Madman Theory—can presidential unpredictability, from Nixon to Trump, really win concessions? Tune in for the data-driven verdict: open.spotify.com/episode/0cov...

23.05.2025 19:43 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

📢📢📢 JOBS: 4 postdocs 📢📢📢

Uni Münster has opened a call for 4! postdoc positions. I'm involved in one hiring and really hope that suitable candidates (in particular quants) apply!

Why would you apply? Check out @thiloalbers.bsky.social FAQ!

sites.google.com/site/tnhalbe...

20.05.2025 12:33 — 👍 34    🔁 38    💬 1    📌 3
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Assistant Professor of Political Science Assistant Professor of Political ScienceThe Institute of Political Science at the Faculty of Social Sciences at Leiden University is currently looking for at least two (2) assistant professors in Poli...

We're hiring!

Two tenure-track openings for Assistant Professors in Political Science or International Relations.

Sharing = 🙏❤️

www.universiteitleiden.nl/vacatures/20...

20.05.2025 12:30 — 👍 76    🔁 100    💬 0    📌 2
Image from the Financial Times, placing Keir Starmer next to Enoch Powell.

Image from the Financial Times, placing Keir Starmer next to Enoch Powell.

Starmer's language was deplorable.

It was grotesquely offensive, accusing people who have brought their gifts to this country of doing "incalculable" "damage"; & politically foolish, in endorsing Farage's claims of an establishment conspiracy.

But bad analogies with Powell miss the key problem. 🧵

14.05.2025 10:50 — 👍 911    🔁 369    💬 40    📌 99

Happy to share a new paper now out in EJPR w/ @jeyalizade.bsky.social , @fabioellger.bsky.social and @mgruenewald.bsky.social exploring gendered effects of political violence on political supply.

https://ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1475-6765.70017

A 🧵 with findings

08.05.2025 12:56 — 👍 39    🔁 14    💬 3    📌 3

Our article providing the first systematic view of the extent of election violence in England and Wales between 1832 and 1914 is out in print! 👇

Come for the cool charts and read the fascinating story about roughs, an actor so far largely ignored in historical research on 19thC election violence.

07.05.2025 19:47 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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"I'm going to govern in econometrics" is a winning campaign slogan for the ages.

29.04.2025 02:59 — 👍 1390    🔁 270    💬 20    📌 52

The reason why parents would rip the country apart is because there is no widely available and accepted apprentices routes into many white collar jobs. Setting those up and shifting the culture takes time and money, things the UK does not have.

14.04.2025 07:48 — 👍 0    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

@pmkuhn is following 20 prominent accounts