Santa Traugott

I think this result is just endogenous to candidates. Using the ANES panel instead of pooling, a basic vote choice model shows anti-system folks in 2016 were not more likely to support Trump over Harris in 2024. But if you use contemporaneous values in 2024 and 2016 you get associations.

High school? Try 4th grade, if that.

Will you please cite the 2025 study?

Bondi Tightens Trump Administration’s Grip on D.C. Police

"To enforce President Trump's immigration crackdown" my ass.

If you think this is about illegal immigration rather than a concerted effort to establish control over law enforcement and create a military presence in DC so as to hold on to power after losing an election, think again.

Gift link.

Why are no headlines focusing on the unconstitutional and dictatorial nature of this action?

I know there's a lot going on, but the Secretary of Homeland Security declaring that federal troops are in California and Los Angeles to "liberate" the state and city from its duly-elected leaders really is a fourteen-alarm fire.

Your lede ought to make it clearer that the children didn’t ’flee alone’ because their parents wanted it that way: it was because the British government, egged on by the same anti-refugee prejudices that animate the right today, refused to let them in.

This is a President who skipped a World War One commemoration because it was raining talking to one who has stood in front of a fresh mass grave of his own people.

Couldn’t be more than I do!

Not out of the question, I fear.

I doubt there will be elections to Congress in 2026. As the destruction of federal programs hits home, voters, will be after R incumbents with pitchforks. Why would Musk let that happen?. Fighting in the streets, then Insurrection Act, then no elections. Talk me off the cliff.

Trump faces Truth Social backlash over AI video of Gaza with topless Netanyahu and bearded bellydancers Users of president’s own social media site criticise video showing reimagined Gaza featuring Trump and Israeli PM sipping cocktails

trump's degree of depravity has already gone beyond anything imaginable; it'll only get worse. No word ever conceived by a human mind gets close to describe how revolting this is. It's the equivalent of making a fun fair at Auschwitz. @pscupdates.bsky.social
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

Michelle Beutler cleared 67 trees off a U.S. Forest Service road in two days. It was the spring of 2023, after a record-breaking winter in the Stanislaus National Forest in California’s Sierra Nevada. Beutler, 59, worked alone with a chain saw to remove every fallen tree on a 10-mile stretch of road between the town of Long Barn in Tuolumne County and the popular Hull Creek Campground. She single-handedly finished the work so the road could open in time for Memorial Day. As a recreation technician based out of the Summit Ranger Station in the Stanislaus National Forest, Beutler’s job was to clean toilets, pick up trash and maintain recreation sites and campgrounds up and down Sonora Pass. She’d typically drive her Forest Service truck 100 miles a day. She sprayed pit toilets with a fire hose. She wiped away graffiti and removed thousands of pounds of house trash, old furniture and useless stuff that people dumped in the forest. She extinguished hundreds of abandoned and illegal campfires. She assisted law enforcement during emergency accidents, helping officers navigate a swath of rugged forest land that she grew up on and knows intimately.

When OMB head Russ Vought talks about deliberate efforts to put federal employees "in trauma" and make them quit their jobs, he's talking about people like Michelle, recently fired by Musk/Trump.

www.sfgate.com/california/a...

Gretchen Whitmer.

Several conversations today w people in the key executive departments. And while the particulars are hard to pin down my impression is that the Musk take over stuff is considerably worse than is being presented in the press. By this I don’t necessarily things they *done* yet but the level of …

We’re gonna have to march.

It even beats Brexit.

Lee Atwater had a pungent and famous quote about how once conservatives could no longer use the n-word they used things like “states’ rights” to invoke the same spirit.

I don’t think it’s an exaggeration any more — if it ever was — to say they use DEI as the n-word.

It is simply not enough for universities to say, “Our grants & research offices are looking into how research will be affected by the latest directive.”

University leaders must actively and very publicly make the case for the kind of work many of us do. The silence on this front is deafening.

I’m glad you said this. I had almost the same thought about an hour ago, and doubted myself. But if he was actually trying to stir up confrontation that would lead to him “having” to seize control, these are logical steps to take.

I’d so like to be on a similar trip. My Pierce ancestors lived on an estate called New Park, near Axminster. It’s very near the Dorset border.

I wonder what the real incidence is of PTSD and TBI among vets who have seen combat. Years ago I read David Finkel’s Thank You for Your Service. It’s haunting. We’re still failing these veterans.

It’s happened to me countless times. Like saying out loud “I wish my eyebrows would grow back” (after chemo) and then seeing repeated ads for eyebrow products on FB. Weird and eerie.

I lived across the street from a woman who spent decades in an iron lung because of polio. My brother got polio in 1953 before the Salk vaccine. I remember vividly our fear of polio and how relieved we were when the Salk vaccine was announced. The outcry against the vaccine is dangerous lunacy.