@eliemichel.bsky.social
Political Scientist - Université de Lausanne & FORS Elections | Political Behavior | Parties | Public Opinion
Importantly, mainstream candidates followed public issue salience more closely, while challenger strategies diverged - most notably with Marine Le Pen behaving more like a mainstream candidate, and Emmanuel Macron largely avoiding politicization of the war.
12.01.2026 06:52 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0The paper examines how candidates adapted their campaign issue emphasis after the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, and whether these adjustments followed voter issue salience. It shows that while the crisis briefly reshaped the agenda, economic issues quickly regained dominance.
12.01.2026 06:52 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
My article “War in the campaign? Issue emphasis and issue salience during the 2022 French presidential campaign” is now published in Party Politics.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
L'adoption du mode de scrutin proportionnel apparaît aujourd'hui, selon deux politistes, comme une condition nécessaire pour redonner à la démocratie française la capacité de renouer avec des gouvernements représentatifs, stables et opérationnels.
16.12.2025 09:03 — 👍 12 🔁 13 💬 1 📌 1
[OUT] 'The impact of party-voter congruence on affective polarization: evidence from Belgium', new paper by @bjarneck.bsky.social & @emilievh.bsky.social, researchers at SciencePo ULB (Cevipol), with @eliemichel.bsky.social, in JEPOP
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Out in the Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties - with @bjarneck.bsky.social and @emilievh.bsky.social.
We show that actual differences in policy positions between voters and parties are important predictors of how voters sympathize with other voters (horizontal affective polarization)
"Political Life" most salient issue among French citizens in 2025. Ahead traditional most important problems like purchasing power, law and order, immigration, or the environment.
03.12.2025 10:55 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Special issue on “Wartime Europe” in the @jeppjournal.bsky.social
With @bjarneck.bsky.social, we examine public opinion on the war in Ukraine, and on supporting Ukraine. And we find little evidence of war fatigue…
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
D66 n'a pas exactement remporté les élections. Ils sont arrivés en tête, avec un peu moins de 17% des voix. Cela leur donne simplement la primauté de la tentative de former coalition - dans un parlement qui compte 15 partis !
31.10.2025 12:39 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Very much looking forward to this workshop organized by @linerenn.bsky.social and Oscar Mazzoleni at @unil.bsky.social !
22.10.2025 08:15 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
#CNES took the floor at the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org as Olga Gyarfasova presented our activities to the #DemocracyResearch community 💡 #CNES is a proud partner of @medem.bsky.social and we look forward to a continued collaboration with this emerging European #ResearchInfrastructure 🚀
29.09.2025 16:42 — 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Lorenzo De Sio presents at the 3rd MEDem Conference 2025, standing beside a projection of the MEDem Service Gateway Hub. The slide shows tools including MEDem ATLAS, METEOR, AmCAT, and HarDIS, which support comparative democracy research.
Next at the #MEDemConference – @LorenzoDeSio presents his vision for the #MEDemServiceGatewayHub 🌐 – featuring #ATLAS, our living encyclopedia designed to make democracy data findable, comparable, reusable, and linkable. Discover more about our #MEDemTools 👉 link in bio!
29.09.2025 14:09 — 👍 10 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
Sarah de Lange presents at the 3rd MEDem Conference 2025. Behind her, a slide shows the book “The Normalization of the Radical Right” and a quote on how radical-right behavior grows when previously hidden views become socially acceptable.
Simon Munzert speaks at the 3rd MEDem Conference 2025 on the past, present, and future of democracy research.
🚀 Kicking off day 1 of the 3rd #MEDemConference at @gesis.org! From @sldelange.bsky.social discussing radical-right normalization 🗳️ to calls to consolidate democracy data by @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social 📊 — keynotes spotlight why #MEDem matters for democracy.
29.09.2025 13:23 — 👍 18 🔁 8 💬 1 📌 3📊 New Dataset Release: Belgian Electoral Panel Survey 2024 🇧🇪
We’re excited to announce the release of a new dataset from a 4-wave panel survey conducted during the 2024 Belgian elections!
📥 Download the dataset now:
www.sodha.be/dataset.xhtm...
Antoher thorough demonstration that geography can mirror politics - but does not produce political preferences in itself!
30.08.2025 14:24 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Important roundtable on academic freedom at #ecprgc25.
Insightful (but grim) presentation by @isaliba.bsky.social on attacks on academic freedom globally and also in Europe.
🚨 We're hiring!
Join our CSES Team @gesis.org Cologne as a Senior Researcher. If you’re into comparative electoral research and love diving into data, this is your moment.
Come shape global democracy with us! 🌍📊
www.gesis.org/en/institute...
Glad to share a symposium on my book "How the Radical Right Has Changed Capitalism and Welfare" with SER: academic.oup.com/ser/advance-....
Featuring @alexandreafonso.bsky.social, @vapunkt.bsky.social, @ankehassel.bsky.social, @danielk24.bsky.social, @gscheiring.bsky.social, & rejoinder by myself 👇
New publication with @bjarneck.bsky.social on public opinion toward supporting Ukraine in Europe out in @jeppjournal.bsky.social
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social
#VendrediLecture
New paper out @eliemichel.bsky.social & Sylvain Brouard @cevipof.bsky.social on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
OPEN ACCESS
Particularly, negative and positive (updates of) evaluations of health policy are associated, respectively, with electoral punishment and reward for incumbents, unlike economic policy evaluation.
In short, Trump's defeat in 2020 is due to his mismanagement of the covid-19 pandemic...
We adopt a constraining research design based on panel data to address issues of reverse causality and endogeneity in the study of vote choice.
We find that policy evaluation of the governments’ response to the pandemic has influenced vote choice for incumbents.
New paper out (with Sylvain Brouard) on the effect of crises on electoral behavior: "Retrospective voting in times of pandemic: comparative evidence from panel data" in Political Science.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
@forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @cevipof.bsky.social
New paper out in @bjpols.bsky.social, co-authored with Emilien Paulis.
Using survey data from 13 European democracies, we show that electoral winners are less supportive of referendums, especially when they are affectively polarized. 1/6
Paper: doi.org/10.1017/S0007123425000365
Fichier cumulatif de près de 50 ans d'une enquête électorale nationale de grande qualité !
@asso-afsp.bsky.social @spsr.bsky.social
Very useful cumulative file of a benchmark national election study !
@nesconsortium.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social
Great afternoon at the GREC workshop in Lausanne @forsresearch.bsky.social @sspunil.bsky.social @unil.bsky.social with @lacic.bsky.social @matthiasenggist.bsky.social @eliemichel.bsky.social @lukaslauener.bsky.social @anketresch.bsky.social and many others
02.05.2025 13:52 — 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Steven Levitsky on why the U.S. is now a competitive authoritarian regime and can't be considered a democracy.
www.npr.org/2025/04/22/n...
