Éric Grenier

A new Mainstreet poll shows federal Liberals at 51% support. Could Canada be heading for a snap election with that kind of lead? Polling experts @ericgrenier.bsky.social and @338canada.bsky.social get into the details.

Full analysis: youtu.be/NRc6VCMg6r4

YouTube video by Éric Grenier The Writ Podcast: Carney's bump, Poilievre's challenge and the NDP's choice

A new pollster panel on The Writ podcast with @ericgrenier.bsky.social. We had a great discussion on the NDP's crossroads (can they get back blue collar votes?), why Carney's favourables are rising, and why Poilievre should heed Eminem's guidance.

youtu.be/zZWRLuvbLsQ?...

The Writ Podcast: Carney's bump, Poilievre's challenge and the NDP's choice The Pollster Panel is back to break down the state of public opinion in federal politics.

The Writ Podcast is back with the former party pollsters. We break down the state of the race between Carney and Poilievre, plus we discuss the lanes that are (or aren't) open for the NDP and whether Carney should or should not call a snap vote. www.thewrit.ca/p/the-writ-p...

#EveryElectionProject: Quebec Capsules on Quebec's elections from The Weekly Writ

Every week, I profile an election or leadership race from Canada's history. Here's some of the ones I've written about provincial campaigns in Quebec: www.thewrit.ca/p/everyelect...

Weekly Writ 2/5: Conservatives and Liberals set fundraising records in 2025 Conservatives outraised the Liberals again, but the post-election gap has gotten smaller.

Breaking down the fundraising figures from 2025, plus the game of musical byelection chairs that is coming over a few federal and provincial seats in Toronto: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers: Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls Mark Carney's Liberals move back into majority territory as Conservatives give a vote of confidence to Pierre Poilievre.

Poilievre leadership review, widening gap in the polls and Lewis as NDP front runner. We break it all down on The Numbers this week! All the ways to watch or listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls Mark Carney's Liberals move back into majority territory as Conservatives give a vote of confidence to Pierre Poilievre.

Poilievre leadership review, widening gap in the polls and Lewis as NDP front runner. We break it all down on The Numbers this week! All the ways to watch or listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

(VIDEO) Poilievre prevails in Calgary but trails in the polls | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Poilievre leadership review, widening gap in the polls and Lewis as NDP front runner. We break it all down in The Numbers this week! Join here to watch or listen right away, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/149851...

What we said about Poilievre's potential leadership score last week, ahead of the results coming in. You can listen to our hot take from the morning after on what 87.4% means by joining the Patreon here: www.patreon.com/posts/live-i...

Avi Lewis has wide lead in NDP fundraising Fundraising to the end of 2025 shows Lewis well ahead of his rivals

Avi Lewis raised the most money up to the end of 2025, suggesting that he is currently the front runner to be the next leader of the NDP. www.thewrit.ca/p/avi-lewis-...

Live(-ish) from the Conservative Convention | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

What do we make of Pierre Poilievre's 87.4% score in his leadership review? And what's the mood like at the Conservative convention? Philippe reports from Calgary in this members-only episode. Join now to listen or watch here: www.patreon.com/posts/live-i...

Live(-ish) from the Conservative Convention | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

What do we make of Pierre Poilievre's 87.4% score in his leadership review? And what's the mood like at the Conservative convention? Philippe reports from Calgary in this members-only episode. Join now to listen or watch here: www.patreon.com/posts/live-i...

Avi Lewis has wide lead in NDP fundraising Fundraising to the end of 2025 shows Lewis well ahead of his rivals

Avi Lewis raised the most money up to the end of 2025, suggesting that he is currently the front runner to be the next leader of the NDP. www.thewrit.ca/p/avi-lewis-...

Weekly Writ 1/29: Setting the bar for Poilievre's leadership review Plus, a look at Mark Carney's post-Davos bump in the polls.

What leadership review result does Pierre Poilievre need for it to be good enough? I look at some precedents. Plus, Carney's post-Davos boost in the polls is big, but the Liberals haven't jumped as much. Read here: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

#EveryElectionProject: Saskatchewan Capsules on Saskatchewan's elections from The Weekly Writ

Every week, I profile the history of one of Canada's past elections or leadership races. Here are some of those profiles of provincial campaigns in Saskatchewan: www.thewrit.ca/p/everyelect...

Weekly Writ 1/29: Setting the bar for Poilievre's leadership review Plus, a look at Mark Carney's post-Davos bump in the polls.

What leadership review result does Pierre Poilievre need for it to be good enough? I look at some precedents. Plus, Carney's post-Davos boost in the polls is big, but the Liberals haven't jumped as much. Read here: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back It was a good week in the polls for Mark Carney — not so much for Pierre Poilievre.

Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back It was a good week in the polls for Mark Carney — not so much for Pierre Poilievre.

Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. All the ways to watch or listen here! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

(VIDEO) Carney gets post-Davos bump as Poilievre falls further back | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Mark Carney gets a post-Davos bump while Pierre Poilievre slumps ahead of his leadership review. We break down the polls on The Numbers this week. Join to listen or watch (ad-free) right away! www.patreon.com/posts/149255...

Weekly Writ 1/22: Where Poilievre’s numbers have dropped the most Has the Conservative leader consolidated his base at the expense of growth?

Pierre Poilievre's negative ratings spiked in the last Abacus poll. I took a deep dive to see in which demographic groups those negatives have spiked the most. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers Mailbag #27 | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

In this members-only mailbag episode, we answer questions on where Pierre Poilievre should (or could) run in the next election and who would have their electoral chances improve if they magically learned French. Plus lots more! www.patreon.com/posts/number...

Weekly Writ 1/22: Where Poilievre’s numbers have dropped the most Has the Conservative leader consolidated his base at the expense of growth?

Pierre Poilievre's negative ratings spiked in the last Abacus poll. I took a deep dive to see in which demographic groups those negatives have spiked the most. www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers: Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem? A new poll has Pierre Poilievre's negative rating hitting a new high. Plus, François Legault's resignation shakes up Quebec's election.

This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Plus, what Legault's resignation means for the next election in Quebec. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem? A new poll has Pierre Poilievre's negative rating hitting a new high. Plus, François Legault's resignation shakes up Quebec's election.

This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Plus, what Legault's resignation means for the next election in Quebec. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

(VIDEO) Poilievre's negatives spike. Is it a blip or a problem? | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new polls that show a spike in Pierre Poilievre's negatives. What to make of it? Patreon members get early and ad-free access to episodes every week. Join now to listen or watch right away: www.patreon.com/posts/video-...

Weekly Writ 1/15: Legault goes. What now? François Legault quits as Quebec premier with less than nine months to go before the provincial election.

What's next for the CAQ now that François Legault has resigned. Plus, does Mark Carney have a Quebec problem? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

Les chiffres : Legault démissionne La campagne électorale de 2026 est peut-être déjà commencée. Et tout vient de changer.

📊Les chiffres : Legault démissionne

⚜️Nouvel épisode ↓ www.qc125.ca/p/les-chiffr...

Legault démissionne | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Nouvel épisode du balado "Les chiffres", en primeur et sans publicité, incluant le segment bonus où nous répondons aux questions de nos membres. Disponible dès maintenant ici: www.patreon.com/posts/148294...

Weekly Writ 1/15: Legault goes. What now? François Legault quits as Quebec premier with less than nine months to go before the provincial election.

What's next for the CAQ now that François Legault has resigned. Plus, does Mark Carney have a Quebec problem? www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers: New year, new byelections? Chrystia Freeland's resignation opens up a vacancy in the House and more seats will likely need to be filled soon.

One byelection will happen soon — and maybe more! This week, we break down what the upcoming byelections could mean and what the latest federal polls are saying. Plus, provincial leadership races heat up. Watch, listen here: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...