Éric Grenier

The Numbers: Could a polarized electorate be the new normal? The Liberals and Conservatives look like they're tied — again. Is it a new normal?

This episode has everything: federal polls, NDP leadership, Nfld & Lab election, BC polls and Conservative infighting, New Brunswick byelection, Quebec numbers... www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

Could a polarized electorate be the new normal? | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Will the two parties being tied somewhere around 40% going to be the new normal? Plus, what the numbers say about John Rustad and the B.C. Conservatives, and where things stand ahead of next week's election in Newfoundland & Lab. Join to listen now, ad-free! www.patreon.com/posts/could-...

Election Writ 10/6: Will it be a Red Tide in Newfoundland and Labrador? A poll conducted in August suggests the Liberals would win a landslide. But August was a long time ago.

If the Narrative poll conducted in August reflects the results in next week's election, what would Newfoundland and Labrador's seat map look like? I break it down, plus much more from the campaign: www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...

Election Writ 10/6: Will it be a Red Tide in Newfoundland and Labrador? A poll conducted in August suggests the Liberals would win a landslide. But August was a long time ago.

If the Narrative poll conducted in August reflects the results in next week's election, what would Newfoundland and Labrador's seat map look like? I break it down, plus much more from the campaign: www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...

Contrarian Hot Takes | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

We had a little fun this week trying to argue for the (deliberately) contrarian hot takes from our members. Would Jean Charest have won where Pierre Poilievre didn't? Was Jagmeet Singh a better NDP leader than Jack Layton? We do our best to make the (flimsy) cases. www.patreon.com/posts/contra...

Contrarian Hot Takes | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

We had a little fun this week trying to argue for the (deliberately) contrarian hot takes from our members. Would Jean Charest have won where Pierre Poilievre didn't? Was Jagmeet Singh a better NDP leader than Jack Layton? We do our best to make the (flimsy) cases. www.patreon.com/posts/contra...

Weekly Writ 10/2: Has the Liberal path to a majority changed? The Liberals made up ground in unexpected places in the last election, potentially giving them more paths to a majority government

The Liberals made inroads in new parts of the country in the 2025 election while they fell back in some traditional strongholds. Has their path to a majority changed? Plus, a new NL poll! (Sort of?) www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

Weekly Writ 10/2: Has the Liberal path to a majority changed? The Liberals made up ground in unexpected places in the last election, potentially giving them more paths to a majority government

The Liberals made inroads in new parts of the country in the 2025 election while they fell back in some traditional strongholds. Has their path to a majority changed? Plus, a new NL poll! (Sort of?) www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers: Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties? Leadership numbers in the polls don't match voting intentions.

This week on The Numbers, we dissect the latest polling numbers that suggest the Liberals might be slumping, but also that Poilievre's numbers remain a problem for him. Plus, we chat about the NL election and a rather shocking Alberta poll (and more!). www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties? Leadership numbers in the polls don't match voting intentions.

This week on The Numbers, we dissect the latest polling numbers that suggest the Liberals might be slumping, but also that Poilievre's numbers remain a problem for him. Plus, we chat about the NL election and a rather shocking Alberta poll (and more!). www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

Are Carney and Poilievre a boost or a drag on their parties? | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

The leadership and vote intentions numbers don't quite line up. What to make of that? Plus, we chat about the Newfoundland and Labrador election and some wild poll numbers out of Alberta.

Members get early, ad-free access to all episodes. Join and listen here: www.patreon.com/posts/are-ca...

Election Writ 9/29: Full slates in Newfoundland and Labrador For the first time since 2015, voters in all 40 districts will have at least three options on the ballot.

A look at the candidate slates for the three parties (and Independents) and the latest from the campaign trail in an election where font choices might be the biggest point of differentiation. Plus, The Writ’s Campaign Bus heads to Central Newfoundland. www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...

Election Writ 9/29: Full slates in Newfoundland and Labrador For the first time since 2015, voters in all 40 districts will have at least three options on the ballot.

A look at the candidate slates for the three parties (and Independents) and the latest from the campaign trail in an election where font choices might be the biggest point of differentiation. Plus, The Writ’s Campaign Bus heads to Central Newfoundland. www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...

What's at stake in Newfoundland and Labrador's election Amanda Bittner and Sarah Smellie discuss the ongoing election campaign in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Joined by @bittner.bsky.social and @sarahsmellie.bsky.social Sarah Smellie on The Writ Podcast to break down the Newfoundland and Labrador provincial election. www.thewrit.ca/p/ep-146-wha...

What's at stake in Newfoundland and Labrador's election Amanda Bittner and Sarah Smellie discuss the ongoing election campaign in Newfoundland and Labrador.

Joined by @bittner.bsky.social and @sarahsmellie.bsky.social Sarah Smellie on The Writ Podcast to break down the Newfoundland and Labrador provincial election. www.thewrit.ca/p/ep-146-wha...

Weekly Writ 9/25: The fight for the soul of the NDP begins Plus, two provincial leaders hold on after unremarkable leadership review scores.

The NDP leadership is getting going, but new numbers suggest the party has some work to do as the Liberals beat the NDP in the last election among supporters of its own provincial cousins. Plus leadership reviews, a new direction for the BC Greens and the latest polls: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

Weekly Writ 9/25: The fight for the soul of the NDP begins Plus, two provincial leaders hold on after unremarkable leadership review scores.

The NDP leadership is getting going, but new numbers suggest the party has some work to do as the Liberals beat the NDP in the last election among supporters of its own provincial cousins. Plus leadership reviews, a new direction for the BC Greens and the latest polls: www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers: What's the leadership review magic number? Marit Stiles and John Rustad get middling results in their leadership reviews. What number does Pierre Poilievre need to survive?

This week on The Numbers, we're talking leadership reviews. First Bonnie Crombie, now Marit Stiles and John Rustad and Pierre Poilievre next. What's the magic number to stay on as leader? Watch or listen here now! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: What's the leadership review magic number? Marit Stiles and John Rustad get middling results in their leadership reviews. What number does Pierre Poilievre need to survive?

This week on The Numbers, we're talking leadership reviews. First Bonnie Crombie, now Marit Stiles and John Rustad and Pierre Poilievre next. What's the magic number to stay on as leader? Watch or listen here now! www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

(VIDEO) What's the leadership review magic number? | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

This week on The Numbers, we're talking leadership reviews. First Bonnie Crombie, now Marit Stiles and John Rustad and Pierre Poilievre next. What's the magic number to stay on as leader? Join now to get early, ad-free access to this episode! www.patreon.com/posts/139558...

Election Writ 9/22: Is the urban/rural divide coming to Newfoundland & Lab.? The federal election points to a new emerging trend in the province.

Every Monday during the Newfoundland and Labrador campaign, I'll have a special edition newsletter on the election. Today, I'm looking at the emerging rural/urban divide in NL, plus the open seats that could be harder for the Liberals to hold onto. www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...

Yes, good point. I meant it more in terms of the Liberal/Conservative urban/rural divide we see in the rest of the country.

Election Writ 9/22: Is the urban/rural divide coming to Newfoundland & Lab.? The federal election points to a new emerging trend in the province.

Every Monday during the Newfoundland and Labrador campaign, I'll have a special edition newsletter on the election. Today, I'm looking at the emerging rural/urban divide in NL, plus the open seats that could be harder for the Liberals to hold onto. www.thewrit.ca/p/election-w...

The Numbers Mailbag #24 | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Our members-only mailbag episode is now live! Join to listen/watch right here: www.patreon.com/posts/number...

The Numbers Mailbag #24 | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Our members-only mailbag episode is now live! Join to listen/watch right here: www.patreon.com/posts/number...

Weekly Writ 9/18: Budget in November, a new record in December? How a new record could be set if the budget doesn't pass. Plus, where things stand in the polls and the writ is dropped in NL.

If the budget does not pass this fall, it could set us up for the shortest interval between federal elections — ever. I ran the numbers, plus a lot more this week! www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

Weekly Writ 9/18: Budget in November, a new record in December? How a new record could be set if the budget doesn't pass. Plus, where things stand in the polls and the writ is dropped in NL.

If the budget does not pass this fall, it could set us up for the shortest interval between federal elections — ever. I ran the numbers, plus a lot more this week! www.thewrit.ca/p/weekly-wri...

The Numbers: Who will prop up Carney's minority government? Mark Carney's Liberals will face a test of confidence before the year is up — will it pass the test?

The budget date has been set for November 4. Looking at the polls today, who has the incentives (or disincentives) to ensure it passes and avoid an election this fall? We break it down on the podcast (plus much more) this week: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

The Numbers: Who will prop up Carney's minority government? Mark Carney's Liberals will face a test of confidence before the year is up — will it pass the test?

The budget date has been set for November 4. Looking at the polls today, who has the incentives (or disincentives) to ensure it passes and avoid an election this fall? We break it down on the podcast (plus much more) this week: www.thewrit.ca/p/the-number...

(VIDEO) Who will prop up Carney's Liberals? | The Numbers / Les chiffres Get more from The Numbers / Les chiffres on Patreon

Now up early (and ad-free) for our members! This week on The Numbers, we go through the incentives (and disincentives) each party has to force an election this fall. Does it make sense for anyone? Join to watch/listen now: www.patreon.com/posts/139034...