H. Christoph Steinhardt

Ooops. 😁

Anti-Hamas protests in southern Gaza enter third day Protesters were seen in videos calling for an end to the war and the removal of the armed group from Gaza

A brave and important protest that is underreported in international media.

How do voters behave in democracies with unstable parties? In a newly published article in Party Politics, @pward89.bsky.social and I examine South Korea, a textbook case of an “ephemeral party system.” The article is Open Access.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

The implosion of radical right populism and the path forward for social democracy: Evidence from the 2019 Danish national election The collapse of the Danish People's Party (DPP) was pivotal for the Danish 2019 election since a substantial bloc of their previous voters moved to the Social Democratic Party (SDP). This provides an....

And an observational study showing strong and independent effects of populist voters switching because of welfare AND immigration concerns.

(The authors, for whatever reason, misrepresent their massively underpowered interaction effects model.)
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

At least some political science literature tells us that the Danish strategy could indeed have worked. See here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Interesting that Bluesky is certain that UK labor's right turn on immigration is doomed. A sharp right turn on immigration by Danish social democrats (yes, with a left turn on welfare) led them to pulverize the populist right. I do not know it will work, but the determinism in opinions is strange.

Fair enough though. No need to take this further. I am not trying to troll you.

You may not like this on normative grounds, and I may not either. But I think we cannot simply dismiss this as irrelevant and declare that immigration restricting positions by socialist parties are doomed to fail.

When you are a democratic party, shouldn't you be thinking about winning? Denmark may be the only case in Western Europe were a social democratic party not only adopted some anti immigration rethoric, but also enacted relevant policy. Subsequently the populist right was pulverized.

The CDU/CSU adopted some anti-immigration language, but immigration policies remained essentially unchanged. If I were an anti-immigration voter, I would probably not be satisfied.

Sure. I did not claim that. I was wondering if the Danish case should compel us to critically evaluate if a combination of welfare politics + a serious restriction of immigration could be electorally successful.

So what is the winning strategy then?

Perhaps. Why would you say this strategy worked for Danish social democrats?

Okay. What is your recommendation to socialist parties in Europe for winning back the working class, and winning elections again more generally. Honest question.

Blue labor = migration and woke sceptical working class politics?

What are your examples of failure? It worked pretty well for the Danish social democrats, didn't it?

(1/4) It was America and Britain that guaranteed the sovereignty of Ukraine and its borders in return for persuading them to give up their nuclear weapons.

Wow, what an effect.

Destroying America's Brand Losing the world's trust, and a lot of money too

"Destroying America's Brand"

One way to think about this is to say that Trump is doing to America what Elon Musk is doing to Tesla, destroying a valuable brand through erratic behavior and repulsive ideology.

Paul Krugman

What do the useful idiots, also called Trump-fan Chinese pro-democracy dissidents, say by now actually?

Ukraine war latest: Putin 'would accept peacekeepers in Ukraine' as part of ceasefire deal, Trump says Donald Trump is hosting French President Emmanuel Macron in Washington, and has claimed Vladimir Putin would allow European peacekeepers to be stationed in Ukraine. Elsewhere, the UN General Assembly ...

The new sherrif in the US is voting with North Korea, Belarus and Russia in the UN. Welcome to the brave new world. news.sky.com/story/trump-...

Wir müssen wohl eher 10 neue Brigaden aufstellen, die in die Ukraine gehen.

Deal. And I'll show you how to write proper half-page Schachtelsätze.

a man in a white shirt is asking the question bitte ALT: a man in a white shirt is asking the question bitte

@stevendenney86.bsky.social Would you mind if we rewrite our manuscript in German? Let me try to find a journal that accepts German articles.

Bildung und Wissenschaft unter Beschuss: Blau-Schwarz plant Studiengebühren-Erhöhung und Sprachvorschriften Wien (OTS) - Studieren soll wieder zum Privileg werden - wenn es nach FPÖ und ÖVP geht. Die beiden Parteien verhandeln erneut über eine Erhöhung der Studiengebühren. Bereits 2000, unter Schwarz-Blau I...

The right-wing FPÖ wanted a German-requirement for university research in Austria during coalition negotiations. The next thing will probably be teaching in Austrian dialect.
www.ots.at/presseaussen...

Dear @posit.co, can you please invent an update button. 🙂

I wonder what incentivizes left-center governments, such as Vienna's, to promote gender neutral language. Public opinion is leaning heavily against it. Granted, Vienna's population is likely more accepting. But I still doubt this wins more voters than it is driving voters away.

This is arguably part of Anglo-American soft power. From the perspective of the Chinese government, this must appear like a national security threat.

Author affiliations in a random sample of publications in 3 top China Studies journals.

The dominance of Anglo-US scholars is remarkable. A whopping 48% of knowledge on China published in these journals was produced in the US, UK, AUS and CAN. Only 33% was produced in Mainland China or Hong Kong.

European societies, Germany in particular, had 8 years to rethink their dillusional assumptions about the nature of the international system and the value of hard power. Now the hand wringing and panicking starts again...

Interesting initiative to highlight and critique the severe under representation of the Global South in German-speaking television news. weisses-rauschen.de/hero/202409P...