Maximilian Kasy

🪅 congrats, chad!🪅

Thanks, Yuriy!

Take my money

Air-gapped from our overlords 😉

🪅📕 The first paper copy has arrived! 📕🪅

#themeansofprediction

Challenges in Statistics: A Dozen Challenges in Causality and Causal Inference Causality and causal inference have emerged as core research areas at the interface of modern statistics and domains including biomedical sciences, social sciences, computer science, and beyond. The…

Reading rec:
"Challenges in Statistics: A Dozen Challenges in Causality and Causal Inference"
arxiv.org/abs/2508.17099

Great overview of both the state of the art and open question in causal inference!

Law, Economics & Organization Workshop Discover your passion

Looking forward to this week’s booktalks and discussions!

Sep 23: MIT Knight Science Journalism program
ksj.mit.edu/events/

Sep 24: Harvard Kennedy School (including discussion with Dani Rodrik)
www.hks.harvard.edu/events/book-...

Sep 25: Yale Law School
law.yale.edu/centers-work...

Law, Economics & Organization Workshop Discover your passion

Looking forward to this week’s booktalks and discussions!

Sep 23: MIT Knight Science Journalism program
ksj.mit.edu/events/

Sep 24: Harvard Kennedy School (including discussion with Dani Rodrik)
www.hks.harvard.edu/events/book-...

Sep 25: Yale Law School
law.yale.edu/centers-work...

Book Launch for The Means of Prediction by Maximilian Kasy Maximilian Kasy in conversation with Noam Yuchtman to launch "The Means of Prediction: How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)"

🎪 Official book launch party on Nov 3! 🎪
Presentation, discussion, music, and drinks at Reference.point in London.

Get your free tickets here, to reserve a slot:
www.eventbrite.com/e/book-launc...

cc @UChicagoPress.bsky.social @OxfordEconDept.bsky.social @INETOxford.bsky.social

Book Launch for The Means of Prediction by Maximilian Kasy Maximilian Kasy in conversation with Noam Yuchtman to launch "The Means of Prediction: How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)"

🎪 Official book launch party on Nov 3! 🎪
Presentation, discussion, music, and drinks at Reference.point in London.

Get your free tickets here, to reserve a slot:
www.eventbrite.com/e/book-launc...

cc @UChicagoPress.bsky.social @OxfordEconDept.bsky.social @INETOxford.bsky.social

📆 Mark your calendars! 📆

With the publication of "Means of prediction" approaching fast, I'm looking forward to an interesting set of panel discussions and book-talks this fall - I hope to see many of you there!

Preliminary schedule of book talks:
maxkasy.github.io/home/present...

The Means of Prediction An eye-opening examination of how power—not technology—will define life with AI. AI is inescapable, from its mundane uses online to its increasingly consequential decision-making in courtrooms, job…

Pre-order book here:
press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

cc @uchicagopress.bsky.social

📆 Mark your calendars! 📆

With the publication of "Means of prediction" approaching fast, I'm looking forward to an interesting set of panel discussions and book-talks this fall - I hope to see many of you there!

Preliminary schedule of book talks:
maxkasy.github.io/home/present...

Are you on the economics job market this year?
Consider applying for the Nuffield postdoc at Oxford:
econjobmarket.org/positions/11...

It's an excellent opportunity for some extra research time in a great environment!
(Econometrics and econ/ML applications particularly encouraged!)

AI industry horrified to face largest copyright class action ever certified Copyright class actions could financially ruin AI industry, trade groups say.

Who controls the means of prediction?
The struggle continues:

These life changes are in turn important mediators for the mental health outcomes that we consider. 2/2

Thank you for reading so carefully! re difference to US trials: our best guess is that the German trial had more generous transfers for a longer period (3 years). This enabled recipients to make life changes snd gain agency in a way not seen in the US data. 1/2

📢New Working Paper!
"Cash Transfers, Mental Health and Agency: Evidence from an RCT in Germany"
✍️ Sandra Bohmann, Susann Fiedler @maxkasy.bsky.social @jpschupp.bsky.social Frederik Schwerte

For further information, read the full paper: www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...

thoughtful assessment of the era of discourse about wokeness:

Are you on the economics job market this year?
Consider applying for the Nuffield postdoc at Oxford:
econjobmarket.org/positions/11...

It's an excellent opportunity for some extra research time in a great environment!
(Econometrics and econ/ML applications particularly encouraged!)

Check out new empirical paper on impact of basic income on employment outcomes: "Basic Income and Labor Supply: Evidence from an RCT in Germany". By Sarah Bernhard, Sandra Bohmann, Susann Fiedler, Maximilian Kasy, Jürgen Schupp, Frederik Schwerter. @maxkasy.bsky.social @stone-lis.bsky.social
👇👇👇

Expert Comment: What is the future of the British welfare system? | A heated debate is under way about the future of the British welfare system. Should the UK cut welfare benefits for the people with disabilities and for those out of work, thereby increasing poverty,

@oxfordecondept.bsky.social's Prof Maximilian Kasy explains why the political focus should be on creating a truly comprehensive safety net for all, rather than undermining the existing system in the name of austerity.

Read more ⬇️

Oops, attached the wrong abstract. Here is the correct one!

🧨 New draft dropped:🧨
"Cash Transfers,
Mental Health and Agency:
Evidence from an RCT in Germany"
maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...

Companion paper to our paper on basic income and labor supply.
Corresponding author Freddie Schwerter (@freddieschwerter.bsky.social).
#basicincome #UBI

4.6 Billion Years On, the Sun Is Having a Moment In the past two years, without much notice, solar power has begun to truly transform the world’s energy system.

The exponential growth of solar power - some good news for a change:

The Sun Has Its Moment www.newyorker.com/news/annals-...

New Op-ed:
"Welfare for the 21st century"
www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-07...

I discuss British welfare reform, what we have learned from #basicincome and #jobguarantee experiments, and argue that we should create a truly comprehensive safety net for all.

cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social @INETOxford

New Op-ed:
"Welfare for the 21st century"
www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-07...

I discuss British welfare reform, what we have learned from #basicincome and #jobguarantee experiments, and argue that we should create a truly comprehensive safety net for all.

cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social @INETOxford

📚Reading rec:Learning Theory from First Principles📚
by @bachfrancis.bsky.social:
www.di.ens.fr/~fbach/ltfp_...

A rigorous review of state-of-the-art machine learning theory, covering both foundations and recent developments. Self-contained - though at times mathematically daunting.

Empire of AI by Karen Hao: 9780593657508 | PenguinRandomHouse.com: Books An Instant New York Times Bestseller “Excellent and deeply reported.” —Tim Wu, The New York Times “Startling and intensely researched . . . an essential account of how OpenAI...

Reading rec:
📖Empire of AI 📖
by Karen Hao (@karenhao.bsky.social)
www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/743569...

Great reportage on the AI industry, from relentless pursuit of scaling, shutting down alternative paths, to the brutality of click-work, to the confluence of cult-like beliefs & big money.

What can we learn from the #Marienthal #JobGuarantee pilot for designing effective labor market and social policy?

@maxkasy.bsky.social and I have a new @inetoxford.bsky.social policy brief that summarises the results of the #Marienthal #JobGuarantee.

oms-inet.files.svdcdn.com/production/f...