Todd Arnold's Avatar

Todd Arnold

@toddwarnold.bsky.social

Avian population ecologist who disappeared down the Bayesian rabbit hole.

55 Followers  |  64 Following  |  6 Posts  |  Joined: 31.01.2025  |  1.4258

Latest posts by toddwarnold.bsky.social on Bluesky

A dog's breakfast of too many parameters

A dog's breakfast of too many parameters

Identifiable or not, here I come!
(part of a 21x21 projection matrix for 3 known age-classes plus unknown age multi-state Barker model coded in m-array format)

01.07.2025 19:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I've turned it into a yard sign (given where I live, I doubt it will last one night though).

02.03.2025 20:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I was proud of myself, but the Wordle bot was rather unimpressed :

Wordle 1,342 3/6

⬜⬜🟩⬜⬜
⬜🟨⬜🟨⬜
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

WordleBot
Skill 76/99
Luck 63/99

20.02.2025 12:15 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

They said that about Breeding Bird Survey data too (without offering or implementing anything better). Joint analysis of BBS (for consistency and historical continuity) and eBird (for unparalleled spatial and temporal coverage) will be the future of North American bird monitoring, warts and all.

12.02.2025 13:12 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Congrats! I've made several trips to Sax-Zim bog and never got a boreal or a great gray, and you nabbed them both!

06.02.2025 01:50 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Hardly a week goes by that I don't mourn the loss of the science twitter community. Hoping that this will help fill the void.

Here to absorb and share quantitative ecology, birds, higher ed, and random brain farts.

31.01.2025 19:48 — 👍 7    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0

@toddwarnold is following 20 prominent accounts