Harold Trinkunas's Avatar

Harold Trinkunas

@htrinkunas.bsky.social

Deputy Director at Stanford’s Center for International Security and Cooperation. Usual disclaimers apply. https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/people/harold-trinkunas

870 Followers  |  1,288 Following  |  23 Posts  |  Joined: 20.10.2024  |  2.2799

Latest posts by htrinkunas.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The Nobel Laureate Assembly Declaration for the Prevention of Nuclear War Tremendous progress has been made in reducing global nuclear stockpiles and nuclear risks, but we are now heading in the wrong direction. Poised at the beginning of a new, complex, and dangerous nucle...

On the 80th anniversary of the Trinity test, the Nobel Laureate Assembly for the Prevention of Nuclear War, including CISAC’s Scott Sagan, Herb Lin, Sig Hecker & Lynn Eden, called on world leaders & policymakers to recommit to reducing the nuclear threat.
thebulletin.org/2025/07/the-...

17.07.2025 17:18 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Write Before Midnight - Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists Write Before Midnight A Bulletin short fiction contest Announcing the Bulletin‘s new short fiction contest… Over the decades, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists has published the smartest minds in ...

This is a very cool opportunity for writers of fiction. So happy Kim Stanley Robinson agreed to help out. thebulletin.org/write-before...

02.07.2025 17:12 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 4
War and Responsibility | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core War and Responsibility

New research from CISAC's Patrick Hulme shows presidents often act alone in military interventions not b/c Congress is weak, but b/c lawmakers choose to avoid blame while quietly supporting action. The “imperial presidency” story misses the real dynamic.
Read more⤵️
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

02.07.2025 19:45 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1
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CISAC Welcomes Dr. Sulgiye Park Dr. Sulgiye Park has joined the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) as a Research Scholar, where she will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship

Please join us in welcoming back Dr. Sulgiye Park to CISAC!
Joining as a Research Scholar, Park will contribute to research, teaching, and mentorship.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-w...

01.07.2025 17:48 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 1
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I’m thrilled to announce that, after ten years of research, my book on the birth of democracy in South America is finally out!
I'm especially excited to be publishing it #openaccess, which means you can download a PDF for free at: www.cambridge.org/core/books/b...

15.06.2025 21:12 — 👍 45    🔁 18    💬 3    📌 0
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CISAC Names 2025-2026 Fellows The Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) is pleased to welcome the fellows who will be joining us for the 2025-26 academic year. These scholars will spend the academic year genera...

Please join us in welcoming our 2025-2026 fellows! These scholars will spend the academic year generating new knowledge across a range of topics that can help all of us build a safer world.
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/cisac-n...

16.06.2025 16:50 — 👍 3    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Dr. Harold Trinkunas Awarded the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award Trinkunas is awarded for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies, such as civil-military relations, transnational organized crime, terrorism, and local orders...

Congratulations to @htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social on receiving the Alfred Stepan Lifetime Achievement Award from the Latin American Studies Association for his outstanding academic career and contributions to security and defense studies.

09.06.2025 17:31 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Event Recap: Payne Distinguished Lecture | Geopolitics and Deterrence in Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure

Anne Neuberger delivered the 2025 Payne Distinguished Lecture, outlining how the United States must rethink cyber deterrence to defend critical infrastructure.

Read more on key takeaways below⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/news/event-r...

12.06.2025 20:31 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

I like this approach better than going back to blue book final exams.

04.06.2025 19:12 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 1
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Rose Gottemoeller is announced as the recipient of the 2025 Thérèse Delpech Memorial Award… and the crowd at #nukecon goes wild.

Alex Bell with the announcement.

22.04.2025 17:54 — 👍 16    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
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The advance copy of my book, Safe Havens for Hate, is here! It offers a deep dive into the moderation of harmful content on social media and explains why efforts to combat online extremism keep failing. Official release March 4! press.princeton.edu/books/hardcover/9780691258522/safe-havens-for-hate

22.02.2025 01:09 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0

This is the fundamental problem with Silicon Valley as well: the modal belief is that anything to do with politics or the state is either an engineering problem or a conspiracy.

And then these guys are let loose on our democracy.

22.03.2025 18:21 — 👍 163    🔁 31    💬 5    📌 5
Women of Wargaming: From World War II To Today | Hoover Institution
YouTube video by Hoover Institution Women of Wargaming: From World War II To Today | Hoover Institution

Women of Wargaming featuring @spettyjohn.bsky.social Bethany Goldblum and Emma Barrosa youtu.be/NP224DLDSCs?...

19.03.2025 16:04 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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The Tragic Success of Global Putinism How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force

My latest in The Atlantic :

The Tragic Success of Global Putinism

How the West underestimated an ideology’s animating force

www.theatlantic.com/internationa...

11.03.2025 13:21 — 👍 413    🔁 136    💬 12    📌 3
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I am so saddened by my governments betrayal of Ukraine right now. It will be recorded by historians as one of our most shameful moments. At the same time, I have no doubt that Ukraine will survive and prosper as a strong, independent, democratic country. #SlavaUkraïni !

09.03.2025 05:39 — 👍 647    🔁 127    💬 35    📌 8
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Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in

Next Week: Models, Markets, and Microbes: Quantitative Approaches to Biosecurity in the Anthropocene with Váleri Vásquez

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/model...

06.03.2025 19:39 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

This is actually something where ChatGPT does a better job than I ever could. As per Marion Fourcade's and my work, Brin is perversely right - machines that are good at producing ceremonial cliches have their uses!

01.03.2025 14:23 — 👍 39    🔁 6    💬 2    📌 2
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Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine | Nicole

Next week: "Russia and Iran: Partners in Defiance from Syria to Ukraine" with @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/russi...

28.02.2025 18:06 — 👍 9    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
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Big thanks to Middlebury for having me this afternoon to talk The Hand Behind Unmanned this afternoon!

28.02.2025 00:16 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?

Next week: "89 seconds to midnight: Is time running out on nuclear arms control?" with Rose Gottemoeller, Alex Bell, Herb Lin and Gov. Jerry Brown.

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/89-se...

24.02.2025 21:50 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0

Attending ISA in Chicago? We are having a civ-mil Happy Hour meet-up at Kitty O'Shea’s at the Hilton at 6 p.m. on Sunday 3/2. If you are interested in civil-military relations/security forces or just want to hang out with a great community of ppl, stop by!

23.02.2025 16:39 — 👍 26    🔁 7    💬 2    📌 4

Congratulations, Eric!

20.02.2025 23:26 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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I am elated to say that my book, "Words of War: Negotiation as a Tool of Conflict," is now published and available to order!

In the book, I argue and demonstrate that negotiations are not only used to end wars but can also be wielded to fight them.

A summary thread is below.

19.02.2025 18:04 — 👍 25    🔁 4    💬 2    📌 3

I've seen things you wouldn't believe. Alf-hogs on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched Hellthreads glitter in the dark near the Tannhäuser Gate. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain.

17.02.2025 01:28 — 👍 26    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

When they decide on the person, they are going to send up smoke from a burning Constitution.

14.02.2025 17:21 — 👍 24    🔁 5    💬 2    📌 1

Illegitimi non carborundum!

14.02.2025 08:32 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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The Path to American Authoritarianism What comes after democratic breakdown.

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... This is by far the best, clearest and most realistic analysis of what we're in for that I've seen.

12.02.2025 00:18 — 👍 872    🔁 489    💬 49    📌 87
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You know your presentation is cooked when your discussant pulls up like this.

10.02.2025 13:53 — 👍 152    🔁 20    💬 4    📌 2
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Geopolitics, National Security, and Organized Crime | Amb. Juan Carlos

Next week: "Geopolitics, National Security, and Organized Crime" with Amb. Juan Carlos Pinzón

RSVP here⤵️
cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/events/geopo...

06.02.2025 19:35 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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The al-Shabaab reaction to the rise of HTS in Syria How did al-Shabaab respond to the overthrow of Assad’s regime? Stig Jarle Hansen, a leading expert on the group, examines their media coverage of the HTS

How did al-Shabaab respond to the overthrow of Assad’s regime? CISAC Visiting Scholar Stig Jarle Hansen, a leading expert on the group, examines their media coverage of the HTS offensive and its potential implications.
www.geeska.com/en/al-shabaa...

04.02.2025 17:56 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

@htrinkunas is following 20 prominent accounts