Welcome to London!
11.10.2025 19:07 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@davidkipping.bsky.social
Astronomy, Exoplanets, Astrobiology, Cool Worlds Lab, Columbia University. Be kind to one another.
Welcome to London!
11.10.2025 19:07 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0βCarlβ¦ Carlβ¦β
11.10.2025 06:15 β π 34 π 3 π¬ 1 π 0#26 Will Kinney - Before the Big Bang, Inflation, Infinity of Worlds
youtu.be/HSZtn0yKPBI
Oh my God this made my dayβ¦
08.10.2025 06:23 β π 9 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0Tolkienβs writings give me a lot of hope here. He argued that evil is its own undoing, it canβt help but destroy itself through its arrogance and pride. I believe that too, dark chapters in human history are always just that - chapters.
07.10.2025 20:41 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Theyβre all the same, there are no ethical CEOs in this space
07.10.2025 20:37 β π 8 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0I did a double take on that because I don't remember his original article saying this and fortunately I had printed it out. Indeed, it looks he has edited the blog post, so he is responsive! I would of course prefer a clear bold erratum at the top conceding the original version's issues.
07.10.2025 09:07 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0I actually wrote to Avi a couple hours ago about the fact I disagreed with his assessment that the Perseverance Navcam images were indeed 3I/ATLAS, and more likely to be Phobos. He responded quickly and "Yes, I have the same doubts about the Navcam images" and his essay had text accounting for that.
07.10.2025 09:07 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Arecibo was destroyed in a storm and then the US declined to rebuild it, so no
07.10.2025 08:54 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0π Iβm going to leave my video unedited but add a comment about Phobos and link you. I think itβs good to leave it as is because it shows how someone can work through the problem even without an ephemeris to challenge a media narrative.
06.10.2025 19:55 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Quel surpris! As I suspected, the Navcam βcyclinderβ image bombarding social media, and subject to Aviβs last blog post, is not 3I/ATLAS, itβs Phobos.
06.10.2025 19:38 β π 11 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0Lastly, that bright streak in the Navcam images is actually Phobos. See below for a short analysis of this image.
It's very sad that NASA isn't able to put the record straight with the current political chaos.
bsky.app/profile/stim...
Thanks for that! Ye I strongly suspected it was Phobos too but didnβt have a chance to work through ephemerides. Good to hear about your stacking, makes sense, so your 3I/ATLAS position is a 10-minute average?
06.10.2025 19:29 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Iβm sorry to hear about that. Iβve been called everything under the Sun, trust me. I hope Iβm wrong, really, but I have a dark foreboding that history is playing out again - that silence is all thatβs needed for it to reach a terrible zenith.
06.10.2025 19:02 β π 9 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0If we get through this, I predict that weβre going to look back at these days with confusion. How did anyone go along with all that? It will feel like a terrible and confusing nightmare, one we can hardly believe took hold as firmly as it did.
06.10.2025 18:57 β π 109 π 8 π¬ 10 π 0When trying to address his claims in my videos & seeking quotes from relevant astronomers and planetary scientists, Iβve often been met with βI donβt engage with himβ as a terse response. I get it. But this shit is out of control, if the community stays silence he fills the vacuum. We need pushback.
06.10.2025 18:48 β π 9 π 0 π¬ 2 π 03I/ATLAS, a quick update.
Be sure to follow @stim3on.bsky.social
Stunning if confirmedβ¦
06.10.2025 07:14 β π 17 π 2 π¬ 2 π 0Do cats also think that aliens will look like them?
04.10.2025 06:51 β π 42 π 0 π¬ 3 π 0Itβs a combination of their numbers (>80% are M vs 2.5% G) and their longevity (10,000 Gyr vs 10 Gyr). I explicitly calculate the odds is just βluckβ in the paper and it comes out at 1600:1, which is outrageously high for a Bayes factor.
03.10.2025 10:32 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Hereβs my new paper which our last #CoolWorlds video discussed. Paper tackles two existential puzzles: why donβt we live around the most common star type, an M-dwarf, and, why do we live so early in cosmic chronology?
arxiv.org/abs/2510.01215
I have been in the UK a couple of months now. Perhaps I was naive but Iβm shocked how universal hate-fueled politics has become. I want to live somewhere that values compassion, tolerance and treating others with dignity. How did these messages of hate gain so much traction?
01.10.2025 07:16 β π 119 π 19 π¬ 16 π 1Yes I think a theory being excessively flexible is a flaw. βGod did itβ can explain everything but thatβs actually what makes it impotent
09.09.2025 19:11 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0βIf an explanation could easily explain anything, then it actually explains nothing. When theories are variable, experimental testing is useless. I call such theories bad explanations. Being proved wrong by experiment and changing to other bad explanations does not get one jot closer to the truth.β
09.09.2025 18:53 β π 8 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0New studies used JWST to probe TRAPPIST-1e, the most accessible potential Earth-like exoplanet. Data reveals the atmosphere is
1) Not hydrogen dominated (unsurprising)π
2) Unlikely to be Venus-likeπ§
3) Compatible with N2-richπ
arxiv.org/abs/2509.05407
arxiv.org/abs/2509.05414
#CoolWorlds Podcast Episode 25 just dropped with PBSSpaceTime's very own Matt O'Dowd
youtu.be/V7QjrsadlKQ
βIt is fundamentally impossible to ever establish alien life at some threshold odds ratio, Ocrit, unless we deem the prior probability that some as-yet-undiscovered natural process could explain the event is less than 1/(1+Ocrit).β
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3...
At the end of the day, thereβs only one identity that matters - human.
24.08.2025 19:24 β π 11 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0