@financeguy725.bsky.social
distressed real estate credit
Good year for Texas hedging
12.12.2024 02:57 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0we have real estate to thank
06.12.2024 08:26 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0We should chat
02.12.2024 18:34 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0kept this short so I could go back to working on this fun new sourcing tool, but if you enjoyed this give me a follow/like/RT!
02.12.2024 16:43 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0This is fun little example of my process
1. see something weird, but one-off
2. try to find other things like it; making it not a one-off
3. systematically find other things like it using AI
4. lap up that alpha
I ran through the spreadsheet and found a couple things I can chase this week
02.12.2024 16:43 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0It decided to scrape the text from the articles and do some keyword searching
I kinda thought AI would use something clever like...use AI, but I let it do its thing
Took some tweaking, but in an hour or so I had the below
Pretty cool and stupid fast
Maybe I can add logic to this so that I don't have to read all these articles and headlines
"suppose we are looking for distressed business opportunities, can you write something to screen these news articles to just things that are interesting?"
I hopped in the prompt and basically wrote: "using functional python, build a system that will programmatically find local news articles and populate a spreadsheet with them"
I helped it think through a few things, like choice of API etc
but within 20 mins I had a spreadsheet
THE IDEA
I want a system that will scan local news articles every day and highlight things that could be interesting opportunities
This was seriously the extent to which I had spec'd the project out
Yesterday, I saw some tweets about Cursor's new Composer Agent
I'm a huge fan of their IDE, so I figured I would test out their agent offering on this half baked sourcing idea
www.cursor.com
I write code infrequently these days
My devs are great and know their shit
But I didn't want to distract them with this funky project
Frankly, I wasn't even sure what I wanted to build
SOURCING FOR FREAKS (or how to scale being weird)
First a story:
Last weekend, I heard through the grapevine a local business that owns their real estate is in trouble
I emailed their bank; we might be doing a deal
It got me thinking, can I scale this? 👇🧵
wen Hunter gift guide
30.11.2024 17:53 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0smoking meats while my stalker looks on
27.11.2024 23:33 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Just messaged you (I think)
24.11.2024 15:23 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Thanks Russell 🥰
24.11.2024 12:58 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Right, I kept the math simple for easy internet consumption
24.11.2024 12:29 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Great question, I think we will over time move into the weirder stuff, but I like to stick close to areas where I know I have edge
When trying something new I like to have a lot of room to pay my tuition!
Thanks for reading!
As always if you like shitposts and weird credit investing smash that follow button!
This is another deal that we've done out of our new fund vehicle
If you want to get involved shoot me a DM or learn more at the link below
loans.constlending.com/credit-fund
- It's structural; personal injury attorney are NOT collections attorneys. they don't get compensated for the collections work so we can effectively provide a service for both the attorney and their client
23.11.2024 22:23 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0- self-insured and free & clear go hand-in-hand; if a CRE owner doesn't have insurance they probably don't have a mortgage which means we will be in at a killer LTV and in first position
- we acquired our lien from one of the biggest PI firms in our market and will get the look on future situations
This risk reward is as good or better than what I get buying NPLs, but here are a few things that make it even more interesting
- we estimate 15% of CRE in our markets is free and clear, and with exploding insurance costs more of these will choose to self-insure
Here's why I did this deal and I think we're positioned for more:
- We paid 250k for a 300k judgment or 83 cents on the dollar
- the collateral is worth over 1mm which puts us at 30 LTV
- We bring a foreclosure suit and get paid off within 12 months for a 20% unlevered return
And they would be working that action for free since their fee is already set
Most firms like these are volume businesses with big marketing spend
They are not collection operations
Typically they will simply leave the lien and hope that it gets paid off at some point