Jess

3 tables showing total expected hospitalizations since Dec 2/21 by province (error range -/+ 10%), total expected ICU admissions since Dec 2/21 by province (error range -/+ 10%), and total expected deaths since Dec 2/21 by province (error range -/+ 10%) Tables available at: https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index Page 19 (Reported deaths, ICU, hospitalizations by age)

Graph showing Estimated new daily infections resulting in daily life activity-limiting symptoms lasting >3 months, by province, since Dec 2021. (5 week rolling averages) Graph available at: https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index Page 13 (Long COVID)

Infections in Canada this week are expected to result in 4,400 hospitalizations, 860 deaths (people who die at least 1 year earlier than they would without COVID) and 8,600 new long COVID cases serious enough to limit daily life activities.

Understanding Trump's War on Research Funding & The Future America the Irrelevant

open.substack.com/pub/pandemic...

Trudeau: I want to speak first directly to the American people… your government has chosen to do this to you. Your government has chosen to put American jobs at risk. They have chosen to raise costs for American consumers on everyday essential items…

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt announces that the White House Correspondents' Association will no longer choose the pool reporter.

"Moving forward, the White House press pool will be determined by the White House press team."

My hero!

This image shows gauges with the Feb 1-14, 2025 COVID Forecast scores for Canada, the provinces, & territories. From left to right:VQ5RF Canada: 12.7 - VERY HIGH Alberta: 10.3 - VERY HIGH British Columbia: 8.5 - HIGH Manitoba: 10.0 - VERY HIGH New Brunswick: 8.4 - HIGH Newfoundland and Labrador: 8.3 - HIGH North: 10.9 - VERY HIGH Nova Scotia: 9.1 - HIGH Ontario: 16.4 - SEVERE Prince Edward Island: 9.3 - HIGH Quebec: 12.7 - VERY HIGH Saskatchewan: 9.9 - HIGH A text box reads: "The COVID Forecast is calculated from 3 equally weighted categories: 1) Current infections and spread; 2) Healthcare system impact; 3) Mortality. Within each category there is one sub-category for trends over the most recent week (Trends) and one sub-category for current parameter values relative to a specified baseline (Current values). Trends and current values are weighted equally when determining the final score for a category. All Forecast input data and sources are available here (https://datastudio.google.com/embed/u/0/reporting/42b886cf-d661-488e-b7d8-5c5836b55ab6/page/p_2yqs028mwc). Past Forecast scores are available in the table below. Forecast scores are grouped into 4 ranges: MODERATE (1 to <5, white), HIGH (6 to <10, yellow), VERY HIGH (10 to <15, orange), SEVERE (>15 red)."

Canadian COVID Forecast: Feb 1-14, 2025

SEVERE: ON
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, MB, North, QC
HIGH: BC, NB, NL, NS, PEI, SK
MODERATE: none

About 1 in 42 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.

Luckily most of the important kids weren’t affected.

🇺🇸

Wholesale egg 🥚 prices are now spiking to ~$7 per dozen.
www.nytimes.com/2025/01/24/b...

You say: they shutdown USAID.

You mean: they illegally broke in to a secure facility over a weekend, hijacked sensitive data on vulnerable people and US businesses, destroyed property Americans paid for, cut off resources for sick and hungry families, and fired Americans across the country.

#USDA reported 5 new #H5N1 #birdflu infected herds today, 4 in ... wait for it ... Nevada! & 1 in California. The Nevada herds are the first there since early December. I hope the people who study sequences can find these & figure out if they are all part of the same outbreak or new introductions.

What a U.S. exit from the WHO means for global health By withdrawing from the World Health Organization and overhauling aid, Trump's new executive orders endanger Americans and the globe, researchers warn. The move also cedes U.S. power to other nations.

A brilliant article from @amymaxmen.bsky.social on the impact of our exit from the WHO. “This not only makes Americans less safe, it makes the citizens of other nations less safe," said Tom Bollyky, director of CFR global health. The U.S. cannot wall itself off from transnational health threats,"

Your local government isn't ready to evacuate disabled people California's fire-prone counties left people to die. Other communities don't have to.

In An Emergency, Your Local Government Isn’t Ready to Evacuate People With Disabilities. California’s fire-prone counties left people to die. Other communities don’t have to, by @metrauxjulia.bsky.social www.motherjones.com/environment/... via @motherjones.com #wildfires #disability #inclusion

It’s incredible to me how many people don’t know that the nazis started with disabled people.

They tested their extermination plan on us…. Because by and large no one cares what happens to disabled people.

When we tell you that leaving us by the wayside is dangerous, we really mean it.

Now more than ever:
Global health needs champions
Science needs champions
Public health needs champions.
I will keep doing my part because it's the one thing I can control. Sharing fact-based information on science, health and global health threats.

Questions for RFK Jr.’s Senate Confirmation: Part III RFK Jr. will soon be asked questions about heading the Department of Health and Human Services. Here are some suggestions.

Questions for RFK Jr.’s Senate Confirmation: Part III
open.substack.com/pub/pauloffi...

the thing is, those who voted for him wanted this. from Heather Cox Richardson: "Walter Schaub,... wrote: “America voted for corruption…. Trump’s corruption and naked profiteering is so open, extreme and pervasive this time around... The very idea of government ethics is now a smoldering crater.”

What is one simple act of resistance that will absolutely infuriate any authoritarian determined to make the world ignore pandemics and climate change?

Wearing a mask.

Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Has Surged Since The Pandemic, Study Reveals Scientists are growing concerned that infections of the SARS-CoV-2 virus may be triggering more cases of chronic fatigue syndrome or myalgic encephalomyelitis (ME/CFS).

Science Alert: 'Chronic Fatigue Syndrome Has Surged Since The Pandemic, Study Reveals'

'Scientists are growing concerned that infections of the SARS-CoV-2 virus may be triggering more cases of chronic fatigue syndrome or myalgic encephalomyelitis (ME/CFS)'

www.sciencealert.com/chronic-fati...

An orange background and a meter indicating moderate to high national wastewater levels of SARS-CoV-2. The graphic reads: “THE SICK TIMES: This Week’s COVID-19 Trends Update. All COVID-19 data sources indicate that cases are now decreasing in the U.S., suggesting we’re past the peak of this winter’s surge. Other diseases — especially norovirus — continue to spread, too. The CDC has estimated that there were 4-8 million COVID-19 cases between October 2024 and early January 2025, leading to up to 210,000 hospitalizations and up to 25,000 deaths. The agency doesn’t include Long COVID in these estimates, but due to what we know about the disease, a significant fraction of those infected likely developed Long COVID or experienced new or worse chronic illnesses following COVID-19 this winter.”

The CDC estimates that there were 4-8 million COVID-19 cases between October 2024 and early January 2025. The agency doesn’t include #LongCOVID in these estimates, but a significant fraction of those infected likely developed Long COVID or experienced new or worse chronic illnesses. bit.ly/40HrBeY

I love this so much!

At the inauguration, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson wore a distinctive collar adorned with cowrie shells, which are believed to offer protection from evil in African traditions.

This choice mirrors the late Justice Ginsburg’s practice of using collars to convey a message.

How the virus behind COVID-19 can harm your blood vessels and your heart Researchers are zeroing in on the ways SARS-CoV-2 damages and persists inside blood vessels, raising the risk for heart attacks and strokes years after an initial infection.

American Heart Association: 'How the virus behind COVID-19 can harm your blood vessels and your heart'

'It started as a respiratory illness...it quickly became apparent that SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, was so much more'

www.heart.org/en/news/2025...

Screenshot of a Post from Hannah Davis on X asking Long Covid patients, care partners and healthcare providers to share experiences with Long Covid treatment attempts with Cure ID for data analyses.

Screenshot of a Post from Hannah Davis on X reminding Long Covid patients, care partners and healthcare providers to share experiences with Long Covid treatment attempts with Cure ID for data analyses, specifying that the results will go right into the hands of people at the FDA and elsewhere and will be used to help inform clinical trial selections and guidelines.

‼️Important opportunity for #LongCovid patients & MDs‼️

Please share your experiences with medications and supplements tried for Long Covid in the FDA/CureID "Long Covid Treatment Survey" until Jan 31st.

Results may influence clinical trials!

Link: cure.ncats.io/pilot-overvi..., then click "share".

Study: Multiple Covid Infections Associated with Long Covid January 15, 20254 min read Covid patientA new study that identified 475 patients with post-acute sequelae of Covid-19 (PASC), also known as Long Covid, revealed that 403 of these patients — nearly 85 percent — had multiple Covid-19 infections over the course of the four-year period from March 2020 to February 2024. Additionally, vaccination independently reduced the risk of Long Covid in patients who had received the vaccination prior to contracting the infection. Conducted by a team of researchers in the Renaissance School of Medicine (RSOM) at Stony Brook University, in conjunction with the Stony Brook World Trade Center (WTC) Health and Wellness Program, the study may serve as a foundational assessment of Long Covid patients in the post-pandemic era. To date there are few studies with such a patient sample size that investigates what puts patients at risk for Long Covid and what causes this chronic condition. The findings are published early online in the February edition of The Lancet Regional Health – Americas.

Study: Multiple Covid Infections Associated with Long Covid.

"With this cohort the evidence is clear that by having Covid numerous times, patients became more at-risk for developing Long Covid”

Study: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Source: news.stonybrook.edu/university/s...

This means the whole population! If you've had COVID-19, you are 15x more likely to develop ME/CFS!

Northwestern study makes new long COVID discovery involving vaccines Researchers here in Chicago say long COVID patients may have to wait a little longer for answers to what many healthcare workers find to be a puzzling condition.

WBBM: 'Northwestern study makes new long COVID discovery involving vaccines'

“They indicate that vaccinations prior to infection do actually not lessen the burden of neurotic manifestation of long COVID,” Dr. Koralnik said

www.audacy.com/wbbm780/news...

👩‍🔬New Research
Whole Body PET imaging from Polybio & Harvard!

👀Looking at:
🌟Fibrinaloid microclot burden, 🌟Neutrophil functional assays
🌟Peripheral blood immunoassays 🙌

More info 👇
polybio.org/projects/eva...

“Given the lack of appropriate guardrails that would normally prevent an anti-vaccine activist, science denialist & conspiracy theorist from heading the country’s most important public health agency, it’s a dangerous time to be a child in the United States”

Gift link
www.nytimes.com/2025/01/13/o...

A Wider War Has Already Started in Europe Putin’s not-so-quiet sabotage campaign against European democracies

"Many in Europe avoid describing Russia’s sabotage campaign outside Ukraine as war because they’d rather not have to do anything in response," Phillips Payson O’Brien writes: