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@econstevem.bsky.social

50 Followers  |  46 Following  |  73 Posts  |  Joined: 25.01.2025  |  1.9547

Latest posts by econstevem.bsky.social on Bluesky

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In Cambridge to see Level 42. Takes me all the way back to my teenage years. @jagjitchadha.bsky.social

08.10.2025 19:57 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Webinar coming up ๐Ÿ”œ๐Ÿ“Œ

A Taxing Challenge: Assessing the #Chancellorโ€™s Options Ahead of the Autumn #Budget

Join us this Friday 10th October at 11am online where we will present new analysis exploring the impact of different tax scenario

Sign up here๐Ÿ‘‡

niesr.ac.uk/event/taxing...

07.10.2025 08:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#WeekendReading๐Ÿ”– The latest #DirectorView

The 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from our Director David Aikman looks at whether reducing the OBR forecasts from two a year to just onw is a good idea or not

And...spoiler, he doesnโ€™t think it is - Here is why โฌ‡๏ธ

niesr.ac.uk/blog/chancel...

05.10.2025 09:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Sense about Science joins call to safeguard independence of UKโ€™s statistical system - Sense about Science Sense about Science has joined the Royal Statistical Society (RSS), the Royal Economic Society and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research in writing to Simon Hoare MP, Chair of theโ€ฆ

๐Ÿ“ข We're calling for the protection and strengthening of the UKโ€™s independent statistical system. Read our joint letter @royalstatsoc.bsky.social, @resmedia.bsky.social @niesrorg.bsky.social to Simon Hoare MP, Chair of the Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee.

02.10.2025 10:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Dollar Effect - NIESR The underpinning of the global financial system by the US dollar creates a critical reliance that extends to the UK economy. This post examines this dependency, including global trade and domesticโ€ฆ

#WeekendReading ๐Ÿ”–The Dollar Effect๐Ÿ’ต

In our latest #MondayInterview, @brandeisuniversity.bsky.social
's Stephen Cecchetti outlines the specific ways the UKโ€™s #financial system is reliant on US infrastructure and the #dollarโ€™s central role ๐Ÿ”ฝ

03.10.2025 15:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The #DirectorView is out now ๐Ÿ“ˆ

In today's 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo our Director David Aikman looks at whether reducing the #OBR forecasts from two a year to just one is a good idea or not.

And... spoiler, he doesnโ€™t think it is - Here is why โฌ‡๏ธ

niesr.ac.uk/blog/chancel...

03.10.2025 12:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Creating Systems Change via Youth-Led Commissioning - NIESR Funded by the Youth Futures Foundation, the Connected Futures (CF) Partnership in the East Midlands Combined County Authority (EMCCA) was established to address the barriers to employment faced by you...

๐ŸšจNEW REPORT PUBLISHED ๐Ÿšจ

'From systems failure to systems change'

How youth-led service commissioning can lead to systems change and enhance access to secure #employment for neurodiverse #youngpeople

Thanks to the #YouthFutureFoundation for funding it

Read more here๐Ÿ‘‡

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

02.10.2025 15:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#WeekendReading ๐Ÿ”– The latest #MondayInterview by our Edoardo Masset drew on his research recently published in @Nature.com explaining what Water, Sanitation and Hygiene interventions are, and how to prioritise them for maximum impact ๐Ÿ’ฆ

Read more hereโฌ‡๏ธ

niesr.ac.uk/blog/water-s...

04.10.2025 08:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#WeekendReading ๐Ÿ”– 'From systems failure to systems change'

Our latest report on how youth-led service commissioning can lead to systems change and enhance access to secure #employment for neurodiverse #youngpeople ๐Ÿ‘‡

@thesra.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

04.10.2025 13:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#WeekendReading๐Ÿ”– "There is a need to rethink our approach to #skills and #education so that we can better align the education system to the demands of real-world jobs", writes our Larissa Marioni๐Ÿ‘‡

#Productivity
#SkillsMismatch
#UKeconomy

niesr.ac.uk/news/mismatc...

05.10.2025 13:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Our Ben Caswell writes in today's @thetimes.com about the pensions #triplelock, why has become unsustainable for the UK public finances, and how to modify it going forward ๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”’๐Ÿ”“

Read it here ๐Ÿ‘‰ www.thetimes.com/business-mon...

06.10.2025 11:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Why Are UK Government Borrowing Costs So High? Experts responding to the CfM-NIESR survey reveal the main factors driving the UK's high borrowing costs. They agree it is inflation expectations and fiscal sustainability concerns.

The first 'CfM-NIESR survey' is out now โšก

We asked the panel members to provide their thoughts on the reasons the UK borrowing costs are so high, and the extent to which these costs should be considered in the upcoming #Budget ๐Ÿ‘‡

www.cfmsurvey.org/listsurveys/...

06.10.2025 13:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Why Are UK Government Borrowing Costs So High? Experts responding to the CfM-NIESR survey reveal the main factors driving the UK's high borrowing costs. They agree it is inflation expectations and fiscal sustainability concerns.

CfM @niesrorg.bsky.social survey (includes me): Why are UK Government Borrowing Costs So High?

Panel was quite clear that the causes of the high UK borrowing costs can be attributed to a combination of inflation expectations and concerns about fiscal sustainability
www.cfmsurvey.org/listsurveys/...

06.10.2025 16:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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How green investment impacts #productivity? What are the nature-related risks to GDP and financial stability?

In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, our @edmundcornforth.bsky.social Edmund & Lea De Greef explore how to manage the economic transition to #NetZero

niesr.ac.uk/blog/managin...

06.10.2025 09:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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What next for Quantitative Tightening? - NIESR What is QT?ย ย ย  QT or Quantitative Tightening is the process by which central banks like the Bank of England unwind the extraordinary amount of money they injected into the economy in recent years to c...

How can the case for halting active QT be framed, and what the consequences would be?

Our Director David Aikman offers some insights in this #blog โฌ‡๏ธ

#MonetaryPolicy
#FiscalPolicy
#UKeconomy
niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-ne...

01.10.2025 16:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Water, Sanitation and Hygiene: Prioritising WASH Interventions for Maximum Impact - NIESR Governments dedicate significant resources to WASH programs. This blog explains why water supply is most effective for reducing child mortality & explores why multicomponent programs underperform.

The latest #MondayInterview by Edoardo Masset draws on his research recently published in @nature.com explaining what Water, Sanitation and Hygiene interventions are, and how to prioritise them for maximum impact ๐Ÿ’ฆ

Read it hereโฌ‡๏ธ

niesr.ac.uk/blog/water-s...

29.09.2025 11:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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"Removing this limit would be the most cost-effective policy to reduce UK #poverty"

With rumours of the Government looking at scrapping the two-child #benefit cap, here is what we found in our Living Standards review ๐Ÿ‘‡

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

30.09.2025 16:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Beyond Tariffs: What Next for The Global Economy? - NIESR The global economy is facing significant challenges. What are some of the issues it faces and will the trade deals help reduce uncertainty?

#WeekendReading:๐Ÿ“‘ Beyond #Tariffs - What next for the #GlobalEconomy ? ๐ŸŒŽ

In this #blog our Monica George Michail explores some of the issues affecting the world economies and offers some thoughts around upcoming threats to growth ๐Ÿ“Š
โฌ‡๏ธโฌ‡๏ธโฌ‡๏ธ

28.09.2025 13:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Tax rises are the sensible solution to the Chancellor's trilemma - NIESR The UK economy is limping into the second half of 2025. Growth is anaemic, inflation stubbornly high, and households are still feeling the strain. Some of this reflects global forces - volatileโ€ฆ

#WeekendReading๐Ÿ“‘ "The Autumn #Budget will be the moment of truth. If the #Chancellor continues to pretend that all three corners of the #trilemma can be met, she risks being forced into a crisis-driven choice later"

Director David Aikman explains here ๐Ÿ‘‡

27.09.2025 11:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic - NIESR Whilst much of the focus has been on the current UK fiscal rules, a more fundamental question is around the sustainability of UK public debt.

#WeekendReading๐Ÿ”– The latest #DirectorView

The 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from our Director David Aikman tackles a fundamental question as we approach the #AutumnBudget: is the UKโ€™s public debt position sustainable?

Find out here โฌ‡๏ธ

28.09.2025 08:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Time for our Tracker Charts of the Month! ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Explore key insights from our June analysis of #inflation, #GDP and #wages

Full access to our monthly tracker documents is an exclusive benefit for NIESR members.

Join today to explore all the perks!๐Ÿ‘‡

niesr.ac.uk/membership/i...

25.09.2025 16:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic - NIESR Whilst much of the focus has been on the current UK fiscal rules, a more fundamental question is around the sustainability of UK public debt.

"Some Unpleasant Fiscal Arithmetic" ๐ŸงฎThe #DirectorView is out now

The 'Dean Trench' Weekly Memo from our Director David Aikman tackles a fundamental question as we approach the #AutumnBudget: is the UKโ€™s public debt position sustainable?

Read it hereโฌ‡๏ธ

niesr.ac.uk/blog/some-un...

26.09.2025 09:50 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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UK Trade and Productivity Across Space - The Productivity Institute Research examining the nexus between agglomeration economies and international trade premia and whether these two phenomena complement or substitute each other.

๐ŸŒ New from The Productivity Institute:

UK Trade and Productivity Across Space shows exporting is easier for firms in dense cities, while smaller regions face disadvantages.

Levelling up trade access could boost productivity across the UK.

๐Ÿ”— www.productivity.ac.uk/research/uk-...

26.09.2025 13:17 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Streamlit

๐Ÿ”Ž Compare productivity across UK regions with TPIโ€™s new Subregional Productivity Comparator Tool. Explore regional differences & insights here: lab.productivity.ac.uk/tools/itl3-c...

For more on how it works, and what kinds of insights you can gain, read: www.productivity.ac.uk/the-producti...

24.09.2025 08:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

These issues were explored in more details at our event last week, with an expert panel -Stephen Cecchetti, former #BankOfEngland Deputy Governor Sir Jon Cunliffe, and the author Natasha de Terรกn- chaired by Mehreen Khan

You can watch it back hereโฌ‡๏ธ

niesr.ac.uk/event/our-de...

22.09.2025 09:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Dollar Effect - NIESR The underpinning of the global financial system by the US dollar creates a critical reliance that extends to the UK economy. This post examines this dependency, including global trade and domestic pol...

โšก๏ธOUT NOWโšก๏ธ The Dollar Effect๐Ÿ’ต

In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, @brandeisuniversity.bsky.social's Stephen Cecchetti outlines the specific ways the UKโ€™s #financial system is reliant on US infrastructure and the #dollarโ€™s central role
๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡

@resmedia.bsky.social
niesr.ac.uk/blog/dollar-...

22.09.2025 09:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Issues around #migration and #asylumseekers is often at the centre of the debate...

But what if the UK were to grant people seeking #asylum the right to work?

We have modelled the economic and social impacts - and here are the main findings ๐Ÿ‘‡

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

22.09.2025 11:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Inflation Will Remain Above 3 per cent Well Into 2026 - NIESR Annual CPI Inflation held steady in August at 3.8, unchanged from July.ย  The new inflation in the month from July to August 2025 was 0.3 per cent which combined with the inflation dropping out fromโ€ฆ

#WeekendReading ๐Ÿ”– Inflation will remain above 3% well into 2026 ๐Ÿ“ˆ

In his latest #blog Huw Dixon shares some interesting insights of where #inflation is likely heading to ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡

#UKeconomy #interestrates

21.09.2025 13:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โšก๏ธOUT NOWโšก๏ธInflation will remain above 3% well into 2026 ๐Ÿ“ˆ

In his latest #blog Huw Dixon makes his assessment of where #inflation is likely heading to ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡

@cu-cardiffbusiness.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social
#UKeconomy
#interestrates

niesr.ac.uk/blog/inflati...

17.09.2025 14:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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What next for Quantitative Tightening? - NIESR What is QT?ย ย ย  QT or Quantitative Tightening is the process by which central banks like the Bank of England unwind the extraordinary amount of money they injected into the economy in recent years to c...

With the #BankOfEngland making its annual assessment of QT today, our Director David Aikman's latest #blog offers some fresh insights and is well worth a read ๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿ“Š
๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡

#QuantitativeTightening
#interestrates
#UKeconomy
niesr.ac.uk/blog/what-ne...

18.09.2025 09:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@econstevem is following 20 prominent accounts