Beyond Tariffs: What Next for The Global Economy? - NIESR The global economy is facing significant challenges. What are some of the issues it faces and will the trade deals help reduce uncertainty?

⚡️OUT NOW ⚡️ Beyond #Tariffs - What next for the #GlobalEconomy ? 🌎

In our latest #MondayInterview and ahead of the publication of the summer Global Economic Outlook, Monica George Michail explores some of the issues affecting the world economies ⬇️⬇️⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/blog/beyond-...

Trump’s tariffs leave us in the second worst of all worlds We may have avoided a global trade war but American consumers and businesses will still suffer

“Winners,” “losers” & “concessions” are all misnomers when it comes to trade policy. The US has now raised the average tariff rate from ~3% to ~20%. The result will be that US consumers will benefit less from imports, while American exports will also shrink, @jasonfurman.bsky.social writes.

Topic Hub: The US Economy - NIESR A deeper look at the US economy

#WeekendReading 🔖

Is the #USeconomy 'overheating'? 🔥🇺🇸

Explore our dedicated topic hub with lots of resources and analyses ⬇️

#TariffsWar
#PresidentTrump
#FED

A Closer Look at the Leeds Reforms - NIESR To what extent will the Chancellor's "Leeds Reforms" achieve their aims? We explore some of the implications of the proposed changes to banking regulation.

#WeekendReading 🔖 "Financial regulation isn’t the enemy of #growth – it’s what stops growth from blowing up in your face" 💥

Our new Director David Aikman shares his thoughts on the so called #LeedsReforms on banking regulation 🏦
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What Drove the Polish Economic Success? - NIESR Poland’s economy is one of the most striking examples of economic success in recent decades.

⚡️OUT NOW⚡️

What drove the #Polish economic success? ⚪🔴📈

A preview analysis of our forthcoming #Global Economic Outlook by Marcin Klucznik from the Polish Economic Institute
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Housing Divides - NIESR Would you pay a premium to live in a multicultural neighbourhood? New research from Northern Ireland finds that many homebuyers do exactly that.

#WeekendReading 🔖

Would you pay a premium to live in a multicultural neighbourhood? 🏡👥🏘️

New research from #NorthernIreland finds that many homebuyers do exactly that!⬇️

Preview from our forthcoming UK Economic Outlook out this coming Wednesday📈

Time for our Tracker Charts of the Month! 🗓️

Explore key insights from our June analysis of #inflation, #GDP and #wages 📊

Full access to our monthly tracker documents is an exclusive benefit for NIESR members. Join today to explore all the perks!👇

niesr.ac.uk/membership/i...

What Drove the Polish Economic Success? - NIESR Poland’s economy is one of the most striking examples of economic success in recent decades.

⚡️OUT NOW⚡️

What drove the #Polish economic success? ⚪🔴📈

A preview analysis of our forthcoming #Global Economic Outlook by Marcin Klucznik from the Polish Economic Institute
⬇️⬇️⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

A Closer Look at the Leeds Reforms - NIESR To what extent will the Chancellor's "Leeds Reforms" achieve their aims? We explore some of the implications of the proposed changes to banking regulation.

In our latest #MondayInterview, our new Director - David Aikman - discusses the #Leeds Reforms, exploring some of the implications of the proposed changes to banking regulation 🏦

Read it here 👇

niesr.ac.uk/blog/closer-...

The Effects of the Rise in NICs - NIESR In the October 2024 Budget, the Chancellor announced changes to employer’s National Insurance Contributions (NICs).

#WeekendReading 📑

What are the effects of the rise in #NationalInsurance Contributions? 📈

Our @edmundcornforth.bsky.social analysis is well worth a read ⬇️⬇️⬇️

#UKeconomy
#NICs
#Budget

Will the Fiscal Push Bring Back Growth in Germany? - NIESR Germany is undergoing a significant shift in its fiscal policy following the approval of Chancellor-to-be Friedrich Merz’s extraordinary stimulus plan by the German Federal Parliament.

#WeekendReading 📑

Will the Fiscal Push Bring Back #Growth in #Germany? 🇩🇪 📊

Our Ahmet Kaya and Patricia Sanchez Juanino explain in this #Box Analysis of our latest #Global Economic Outlook ⬇️

Back at the Oval for the first ever Women’s Vitality Blast finals day. The Bears batting against the Blaze. Winner plays Surrey in the final. @jagjitchadha.bsky.social @knowledgeproblem.bsky.social @adrianpabst.bsky.social

Climate Policy and the Role of Nationally Determined Contributions - NIESR Climate policies are a key area of many countries' government policy . What function can Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) play in shaping global climate action?

#WeekendReading 🔖 What are the latest on #Climate Policy? 🌱

Our Lea de Greef, Patricia Sánchez Juanino and Ed Cornforth discuss the role of Nationally Determined Contributions in shaping future Global #ClimateAction 🌍
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@oecd-env.bsky.social @undptech.bsky.social

Demographics and Finance Half-Day Conference - NIESR With contributions from some of the world’s leading authorities on population ageing, pension policy and financial markets, this conference provided a critical overview of responses to population…

#WeekendReading 🔖 Proposing #policy responses to the economic challenges of an #ageingsociety 🧙

Our and Brunel University half day conference on #Demographics & #Finance with contributions from some of the world’s leading authorities in the field ⬇️

Joining Up Pro-Productivity Policies in the UK - NIESR Joining up pro-productivity policies is a huge challenge. These 14 essays contain recommendations to reverse the poor productivity the UK has experienced.

The #UK needs to translate its plans for long-term economic #growth into a clear set of priorities in order to reverse current trends and end the 15 years of poor #productivity it has experienced 📈
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Our latest report together with @productivity.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

Topic Hub: Regional Disparities - NIESR Evident within the post-war British economy is a regional divide, characterised sometimes as "north versus south", or "city versus province". However, this is too simplistic, with worrying levels of i...

Our work at both macro and household level gives unique insights into the challenges & opportunities faced by those who seek to make a more equitable country a reality⚖️

Explore here our topic hub on #regional disparities ⬇️

@nuffieldfoundation.org @resmedia.bsky.social

niesr.ac.uk/topic/region...

Summer 2025 Economic Forum - NIESR This webinar will present the main findings from our Summer 2025 UK and Global Outlook, and will be followed by an open Q&A session. More information on this event will be available soon.

📌UPCOMING EVENT ⏰

At this webinar, our researchers will present the findings of our upcoming UK and Global Economic Outlooks, followed by a Q&A from participants

💻Virtual event
🗓️Friday 8 August, 11:00-12:00

📝Sign up to join 👇

niesr.ac.uk/event/summer...

Climate Policy and the Role of Nationally Determined Contributions in Shaping Global Climate Action - NIESR For those less familiar with climate policy, can you explain what Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) are, how do they shape global climate action and why should we care about them right now?  ...

⚡️OUT NOW⚡️ In our latest #MondayInterview, just published, Ahmet Kaya discusses with Lea de Greef, Patricia Sánchez Juanino and Ed Cornforth the role of Nationally Determined Contributions in shaping future climate policy 🌱📈⬇️⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/blog/climate...

Housing Costs and Food Prices Keep Inflation Elevated - NIESR Annual CPI inflation recorded 3.6% in June 2025, This change from last month is due to a large upward contribution from transport, particularly motor fuels.

#WeekendReading 🔖

Our latest #CPI tracker explaining why probably we won't see #inflation coming down to the 2% target until late next year ⚡️📉

#UKeconomy
#FoodPrices
#Services
#InterestRates

Examining Industrial and Technological Transitions in the UK and Their Implications for Productivity and Competitiveness - NIESR The twin industrial transition, which encompasses both digital and green or sustainable transitions, is gaining significance in the fields of economics.

#WeekendWatching 📺

Did you miss our 2025 Deane-Stone Lecture examining industrial and technological transitions in the UK and their implications for #productivity and competitiveness by University of Manchester's Prof Raquel Ortega Argiles?

No worries, here it is⬇️

Unemployment Up and Wage Growth Slowing - NIESR The unemployment rate has reached its highest level in four years, with the number of job vacancies falling by 7.9% in the three months to May.

#WeekendReading 🔖

Our latest #Wage Tracker is painting a more nuanced picture of the UK economy suggesting that, despite #unemployment and #inflation going 🆙, workers are overall still better off 📈

Here is why⬇️

What has happened to the UK economy since after the Financial #Crisis of 2008?

Our #LivingStandard review goes under the bonnet and tries to explain the main reasons - Read it here 👉 niesr.ac.uk/publications...

#UKeconomy
#GFC
#inequality

Policy Priorities for UK Productivity Growth - NIESR Improving the poor UK productivity performance requires sustained political leadership. What pro-productivity policies should the government adopt?

#WeekendReading 🔖

In this #blog our @adrianpabst.bsky.social lists the main pro-#productivity policies the Government should adopt, and outlines the key challenges the Govt will much likely face to implement them ⬇️

@productivity.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social

Wage Trackers - NIESR the NIESR monthly wage tracker exploits information from key macroeconomic indicators to provide a short-term forecast for UK Average Weekly Earnings.

Given signs of labour market cooling, we expect the Bank of England to implement one further #rate cut this year.📉

4/4 ENDS

Our full analysis will be out shortly, in the meantime you can read what we said last month here ⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/publication-...

Earnings growth has remained higher for longer than expected but is forecast to continue gradually slowing in the coming months.

3/4

Unemployment rose to 4.7%, its highest level in 4 years, while vacancies continued falling by 7% on the quarter.

2/4

Today’s ONS figures indicate that regular wage growth remains elevated at 5% in May 2025.

Here’s a short thread on the recent labour market movements 🧵⬇️

1/4

Unemployment Up and Wage Growth Slowing - NIESR The unemployment rate has reached its highest level in four years, with the number of job vacancies falling by 7.9% in the three months to May.

🚨OUT NOW🚨

Our latest #Wage Tracker suggests that, despite #unemployment and #inflation going 🆙, workers are overall still better off 📈

⬇️Read here why⬇️

niesr.ac.uk/publications...

⚡️Our reaction to the latest #labourmarket data is out now ⚡️

#unemployment
#wages
#UKeconomy
@resmedia.bsky.social

Read more about this new journal article by Philip McCann, Michiel Daams and Colin Mayer on our website: www.productivity.ac.uk/news/new-res...