The Network Planner

Chasing SCASDs.

SHV is just up the road from AEX with about five+ daily flights to IAH and BTR just to the south with about the same amount.

Sun Country will begin MSP-TUL on May 21, 2026 with twice weekly service. Currently unserved by Delta but would expect them to follow suite in a few weeks.

MSP-ABQ/OAK/SDF have been removed from future schedules.

MSP-AVL makes a return during the summer months after Allegiant exits the route.

MSP loses their third domestic airline in 14 months.

- Allegiant
- JetBlue
- Spirit

American, Frontier, Southwest, Sun Country (hub), and United are all down 10%-20% in Q4 2025 compared to last year.

Delta remains flat in Q4.

What people don’t realize is that this story is just a start to all of the money being siphoned from the economy.

Just some impacted industries:

-Airlines
-Real Estate
-Hotels/Airbnb
-Restaurant

This spend by Canadians is now going to the Caribbean and Central/South America.

Not that I am aware of.

SLC is one of the most expensive airports in the country. This coupled with Spirit’s inability to revenue manage effectively creates a recipe for failure.

Hearing will go to 200 in the spring.

Sun Country is now selling flights on their 737-900s. Flights look limited to their core stations (MSP-RSW/MCO/etc.)

SY opted to go with 189 seats, only three more than their 737-800s according to seat map.

Delta will not be the only airline to announce LAS cuts in the coming weeks.

But how quick would WN come off those?

NK is looking to raise money and would likely be able pull schedules down a lot quicker.

ICE needs to buy a fleet of aircraft? Spirit needs money and has a bunch of CEOs. Hmm…

Delta pulling MSP-TQO is an amusing one if you follow the battle of DL/SY in MSP.

DL started TQO in Dec 2024. SY, who flies MSP-CUN up to 5x a day, did not follow DL into the market.

Would SY now consider it for winter 2026-27? There’s a good chance if rumors of TQO MRGs are true.

With Allegiant’s schedule extension, they are now planning to be down in capacity each month in early 2026. Capacity is published down 8% in Mar & Apr.

For Mar & Apr, G4 will be 9-14% smaller in all of their main FL bases except FLL, where they are up 11-13%. This puts even more pressure on NK.

AEX capacity should just be moved to SHV.

GEG to SoCal is very underserved. This will be a winner.

ULCCs struggle on WN routes such as RDU-BNA/BWI.

The turf war for RDU, ILM, and CT is baffling between Avelo and Breeze.

Allegiant didn’t take too kindly to Sun Country coming to ATW.

Key Lime Air/DAC was the last airline to serve APA.

Spirit removed 37 routes from its September schedule this week.

September capacity cuts by station:

-45% ATL
-23% DFW
-18% ORD
-17% EWR
-12% DTW
-12% LAX

Spirit is now down 21% versus September 2024.

All but one route return in October.

Alaska changed SEA-DEN to 420 right after marijuana was legalized in CO.

OAK has changed its name for the second time in as many years.

It will now call itself Oakland San Francisco Bay International Airport instead of San Francisco Bay Oakland International Airport.

*Taps head* Can’t ground me if I already ceased operations

For March, that PVR is rough. I wonder how many seats Apple had agreed to in their block.

LH continues to be solid.

Does three weeks of service really count as adding a route?

Next year’s Canada schedules will be interesting for FL and Southwest markets.

JetBlue with this week’s largest Fall cuts w/ 6% of capacity pulled from BOS, FLL, & MCO in September.

Sept Capacity vs 2024:

AA: -1%
AS: 0%
B6: -4%
DL: +2%
F9: -10%
G4: +5%
MX: +65% 😳
NK: -15%
SY: -18%
UA: +6%
WN: -1%
XP: 0%

Really far out there, but Bahamasair has removed flights for a few routes after Feb 2026:

MCO-NAS
MIA-NAS
MIA-ZSA (San Salvador, Bahamas)

The only U.S. route loaded after February for Bahamasair is FLL-NAS.

Interesting fact: San Salvador Airport is also known as Cockburn Town Airport.

Damn. This is bad.

Southwest Airlines with the most tone deaf marketing post I’ve seen in a while.

The replies by their Social Media team in the comments are only making it worse too.

#aviation