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fplexander

@fplexander.bsky.social

using my own prediction model to ruin my weekends FPL ID: 2011869

83 Followers  |  97 Following  |  34 Posts  |  Joined: 20.11.2024  |  1.721

Latest posts by fplexander.bsky.social on Bluesky

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GW 2 - Recap

This... I don't like this...

Saka and Palmer potentially out for GW3 though troubles me even more

27.08.2025 14:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

forget everything i said, just saw you also have Esteve. good luck!

22.08.2025 17:49 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

IΒ΄m wondering if the CS combo with Palmer outweighs the 0.1 EV. Definitely pushes the variance up, which is what I would try to do

22.08.2025 17:48 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

so, no bench boost for me if I got Hoever?

22.08.2025 15:44 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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GW 1 - Recap

I should be happy with the performance, as my model expected ~57 points and I got 68 out of the GW.

That last minute Salah goal though turned what could have been an awesome start into "only" a good start into the FPL season.

21.08.2025 15:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I`m in the Haaland - no Salah island by the way

21.08.2025 15:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Nice visualition of the GW1 teams over at the analytics discord server #BulletWisdom

21.08.2025 15:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Got you beat there by 1 point

15.12.2024 22:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Won’t get any more involved than that!

14.12.2024 15:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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DGW24 πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯

12.12.2024 17:15 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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@fplresearch.bsky.social had a good answer for this.
For overall sample 90% skill / 10% luck, among elite, it is 40% skill / 60% luck. Sth along these lines.

10.12.2024 22:24 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Spurs' 4-0 win over Man City seems to have raised the fanbase's expectations dangerously high for a team still in crisis

08.12.2024 19:22 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Did you start him this gw?

08.12.2024 20:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

yeah, I really like the team! good luck this week πŸ€

07.12.2024 13:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If Haaland keeps his current form this is a really great team

07.12.2024 13:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
There's a decent chance of Everton vs Liverpool being postponed tomorrow due to severe winds.

The earliest it could be rescheduled to is January 1st in GW19 as both teams don't have a fixture in that midweek, but that's probably unlikely due to short notice and the busy festive schedule.

If you want an extra mini DGW to play TC/BB/MC in outside of the expected DGWs (GWs 33+36) then you should root for the game to be postponed and for Liverpool to reach the EFL Cup Final, in which case EVE vs LIV would most likely move to GW25.

If EVE vs LIV is postponed and Liverpool don't reach the EFL Cup Final then the fixture would likely move to GW33 (when at least 4 other teams will likely have a DGW).

There's a decent chance of Everton vs Liverpool being postponed tomorrow due to severe winds. The earliest it could be rescheduled to is January 1st in GW19 as both teams don't have a fixture in that midweek, but that's probably unlikely due to short notice and the busy festive schedule. If you want an extra mini DGW to play TC/BB/MC in outside of the expected DGWs (GWs 33+36) then you should root for the game to be postponed and for Liverpool to reach the EFL Cup Final, in which case EVE vs LIV would most likely move to GW25. If EVE vs LIV is postponed and Liverpool don't reach the EFL Cup Final then the fixture would likely move to GW33 (when at least 4 other teams will likely have a DGW).

Post image 06.12.2024 21:24 β€” πŸ‘ 91    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 3

Uff πŸ˜₯

06.12.2024 17:29 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Iβ€˜m not expecting much from him today, but am kind of excited about him for the coming gameweeks

04.12.2024 19:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a picture of an alien with the words " it 's a trap " on the bottom ALT: a picture of an alien with the words " it 's a trap " on the bottom
04.12.2024 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

He’ll make it up to you

03.12.2024 16:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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#FPL: GW14 top projected scorers long-list

03.12.2024 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 2
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πŸ’Ή #FPL: GW14 player goal projections

Top projected scorers for this round of PL games, via spread betting markets (all markets assume a start)

03.12.2024 15:09 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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#FPL Optimized - Final Call Day 😏

πŸ“Š Risk/Swing vs Total Projections for the next 8 GWs (based on estimated top 1M ownership)

(Projections are FPLReview / Mikkel Tokvam average)

03.12.2024 14:53 β€” πŸ‘ 34    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Wasted a couple of defensive transfers though. First got Kalhanoglu right before he got injured and then Bradley for his 0 pointer vs Southampton

Got in Kerkez now, in case anyone’s wondering who to avoid

03.12.2024 09:23 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Kind of the opposite for me. I haven’t made a transfer in my midfield since GW5 and only two in my front three since then (JP to Delap and back to JP)

03.12.2024 09:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
fplresearch.com - The home of FPL manager ratings

πŸ† Manager Rankings, December 2024 πŸ†

πŸ₯‡ @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social
πŸ₯ˆ FΓ‘bio Borges
πŸ₯‰ John Walsh

Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool

02.12.2024 18:14 β€” πŸ‘ 57    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 26
What The FPL What The FPL

NEW: something a bit different!

Ever wondered how accurate FPL price change predictors are? I was, and so I’ve built a website that tracks their performance daily.

Find out which site is getting it right (and which isn't):
whatthef.pl

Let me know what you think!

01.12.2024 07:33 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 5    πŸ’¬ 5    πŸ“Œ 1
Salah and Haaland ownership for AE64 and E64

Salah and Haaland ownership for AE64 and E64

Just thought it was interesting that this shows the opposite of what you’ve said here.

Analytics players instantly moved off Haaland for GW10 while non-analytics took a few gameweeks longer.

02.12.2024 19:04 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

That’s exactly my plan but with Mbeumo πŸ˜…

02.12.2024 07:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Selling Mbeumo is mad.

01.12.2024 12:36 β€” πŸ‘ 12    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 0

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