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shamnadoes

@shamnadoes.bsky.social

Lead Forecaster at @NWSNashville ๐Ÿ”œ @NWSFortWorth. Tornadoes & #shamnadoes are my thing. All views are mine & not @NWS.

507 Followers  |  60 Following  |  70 Posts  |  Joined: 18.10.2023  |  1.8848

Latest posts by shamnadoes.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Sundogs and sunsets at work

11.10.2025 23:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โ€œIf you want the rainbow, you gotta put up with the rainโ€ -Dolly Parton

15.09.2025 23:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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September 13, 1944:

USS Warrington, a Somers-class destroyer, sank east of the Bahamas. The culprit was the Great Atlantic Hurricane, a powerful Category 4 that peaked on the 13th. Nearly 250 members of the ship's crew were lost.

13.09.2025 16:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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September 13, 1928:

Puerto Rico was slammed by a Category 5 hurricane. The storm was reported to have damaged or destroyed over 200,000 structures. Massive amounts of crops were destroyed, heavily damaging the island's export industry. Over 300 people were killed.

13.09.2025 14:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This radar loop of Hurricane #Katrina in 2005 spans August 28 at noon (CDT) through the morning of the 29th at 8:54am when communication with the radar was lost.

28.08.2025 23:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 90    ๐Ÿ” 27    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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August 25th, 2017:
Hurricane Harvey made landfall at ~10 PM near Rockport, Texas. It was the strongest hurricane to impact America since Wilma in 2005. The Category 4 left behind a record $125 billion in damage (tied with Katrina) and killed 106 people in the United States.

1/2

25.08.2025 13:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Full rainbow at work this evening ๐ŸŒˆ #txwx

17.08.2025 00:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โ›ˆ๏ธ๐Ÿ’จ

04.08.2025 19:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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August 4th, 1980:

A record forty-two consecutive days of 100ยฐ heat finally came to an end at the Dallas-Fort Worth Airport on this day. July 1980 proved to be the hottest July on record with a mean temperature of 92 degrees.

04.08.2025 14:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 9    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Yesterday, Doha, Qatar, reported 90F, with a dew point of 90F, which gave a relative humidity of 100% and a heat index of 129F.

23.07.2025 17:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 117    ๐Ÿ” 20    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19    ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
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Thereโ€™s something you donโ€™t see every day โ€” an MCV moving east to west into California towards the Death Valley region:

18.07.2025 13:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1457    ๐Ÿ” 254    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 131    ๐Ÿ“Œ 31

Another issue here is mismatch between public expectation & scientific reality re: what's possible in predicting localized convective extremes (i.e., severe/torrential t-storms). Days/environments supportive of such risk are predictable; exact timing/location/intensity of subsequent extremes is not.

05.07.2025 21:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 463    ๐Ÿ” 141    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 13
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The Texas floods over the last 2 days were predominantly associated with a long-lasting mesoscale convective vortex (MCV), but notice how there are multiple discrete rainfall maxima shown in the contours, each associated with different rainfall rates, duration, and phenomenon:

06.07.2025 02:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 195    ๐Ÿ” 52    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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What a night working radar/warning ops for NWS Norman during their AWIPS upgrade โ›ˆ๏ธ I ended up issuing 17 svr tstorm warnings and 5 tornado warnings across Oklahoma ๐Ÿ˜ฎ Quite a fascinating supercell/QLCS event. Sorry to my Norman friends for setting off the sirens/phones and waking you up ๐Ÿซค

06.06.2025 12:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 17    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Sorry for waking yโ€™all up (that was my TOR)

06.06.2025 12:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Inside of an EF1-rated tornado and severe thunderstorm winds near Willard, CO on May 23. Watch the full video here: youtu.be/nRc38pZ0E5s

29.05.2025 02:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 36    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

International Falls, MN hit 95 today. They hit 95 this year before Memphis, Dallas, Houston, Atlanta, Charlotte, Little Rock, and New Orleans. They now have as many 95 degree days through May 11 as San Antonio, Austin, and El Paso.

11.05.2025 23:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 19    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

This is amazing!!

09.05.2025 23:04 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
IEMBot Image TBD

IEMBot Image TBD

FWD issues Summary Local Storm Report Link

08.05.2025 02:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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a man in a suit and tie says well that 's a relief in front of a map ALT: a man in a suit and tie says well that 's a relief in front of a map
16.04.2025 23:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Sacramento weather service office just sent an email detailing product changes amid "critically reduced staffing"
Highlights:
Phone lines no longer answered
Reduced staffing from 6pm to 6am
Forecast discussions issued only 1x/day
Limited social media posting
Advisories mainly issued by day shift

16.04.2025 21:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 231    ๐Ÿ” 127    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 18    ๐Ÿ“Œ 26

Well today I got to issue my first #tornado warning since starting at @NWSFortWorth - and then I issued 7 more ๐Ÿ˜ณ Crazy day with numerous supercells, several tornadoes and lots of damage across East Texas, but thankfully have not heard of any injuries yet #txwx

05.04.2025 02:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Cisco,TX (GZN) ASOS reports gust of 54 knots (62.1 mph) from WSW @ 1045Z -- KGZN 031045Z AUTO 25041G54KT 10SM VCTS BKN019 OVC024 13/09 A2978 RMK AO2

03.04.2025 11:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Wow...

02.04.2025 23:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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And there you have it. At least a dozen tornadic supercells in an STP bullseye of 9, smack dab in the center of an SPC High Risk. We can stop complaining now, or rejoice, or just appreciate the NWS.

02.04.2025 23:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 173    ๐Ÿ” 37    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 11    ๐Ÿ“Œ 8

Iโ€™m debating making the trek north today

01.04.2025 16:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

30 April 2025 is the last day for many colleagues I know.... Seems like the implosion of NWS will follow shortly after.

27.03.2025 23:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 52    ๐Ÿ” 24    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Nothing like a LP supercell out the window to keep you awake before the night shift at work

26.03.2025 00:48 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Relative Short-Range Forecast Impact from Aircraft, Profiler, Radiosonde, VAD, GPS-PW, METAR, and Mesonet Observations via the RUC Hourly Assimilation Cycle Abstract An assessment is presented on the relative forecast impact on the performance of a numerical weather prediction model from eight different observation data types: aircraft, profiler, radioson...

From knowledgeable scientists weโ€™ve talked to, RAOBs have the second largest increase in error for upper air metrics when removed, behind aircraft data.

On average, losing RAOBs will decrease mesoscale NWP forecast skill.

doi.org/10.1175/2009...

doi.org/10.1175/MWR-...

doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...

20.03.2025 21:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 48    ๐Ÿ” 40    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 5

#shamnado

19.03.2025 20:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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