Giorgi Revishvili

The strike focused on energy infrastructure, including combined heat and power plants (CHPs) and thermal power stations. 2/2

Russia carried out the largest combined strike on Ukraine so far this year.

It was one of the most massive attacks of the entire full-scale war in terms of the number of Shahed drones launched. 1/2

Ukrainian forces struck Russia’s Redkino Experimental Chemical Plant in Tver Oblast, located more than 1,000km from Ukraine.

The plant produces specialized chemical components, including for the aviation and defense industries (fuel additives, technical chemicals, and specialty reagents).

Here is everything you need to know about General Alexeyev, his attempted assassination, and the broader targeted killings of senior Russian officers.

tinyurl.com/mr28nd99

Russia’s Investigative Committee reports that GRU Deputy Chief, Lieutenant General Vladimir Alekseev, was shot multiple times in Moscow today and is currently in critical condition.

The unbreakable spirit of Ukrainian warriors!

Ukrainian heroes coming home from Russian captivity, some after almost four years, having survived torture, starvation, and brutal, inhumane conditions.

A high level of exhaustion in infantry units existed even when I was a brigade commander. That said, the positive dynamics in mobilization over the past 7 months have created conditions that should at least partially reduce this exhaustion - primarily the infantry component. 9/9

To gain an advantage on the battlefield, we must continue developing our unmanned capabilities and prevent the Russians from exploiting theirs. 8/9

The second critical priority for next year is everything related to controlling the low-altitude airspace. Drones now dominate the battlefield. 7/9

First priority for 2026 is air defense — systems and missiles. No European country has air defense as powerful as Ukraine’s right now, despite all the problems and shortcomings. And even so, it is still not enough. 6/9

Donbas remains the primary objective that Russian forces will pursue. At the same time, on the Zaporizhzhia axis they will try to create conditions to achieve at least some form of operational success. 5/9

The idea is to create favorable conditions in the future that would allow them to begin attempts to seize Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions within their full territorial boundaries. At present, this looks more like a fantasy than a realistic plan. 4/9

Separately, Russia has plans to create so-called buffer zones in the Kharkiv and Sumy regions, to the maximum extent possible in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and along the Zaporizhzhia axis. 3/9

I do not see Russia having the capabilities to accomplish this objective within the stated timeframe. 2/9

Interesting remarks by Col. Pavlo Palisa, Deputy Head of Ukraine's Presidential Office:

Our intelligence assesses that Russia’s plans have not changed. Their objective remains to reach the administrative borders of Donbas by the end of March or early April. 1/9

Russian military bloggers are furious over SpaceX cutting Starlink access, with some openly calling Elon Musk a “fascist.”

Pro-war channels say the disruption is already causing real problems for Russian forces and are scrambling to find workarounds and ways to bypass the restrictions.

In January, the Ukrainian Defense Forces conducted a series of successful strikes on the Russian Kapustin Yar missile test range with FP-5 Flamingo missiles.

Several buildings were damaged, one hangar was severely hit, and part of the personnel was evacuated.

Ukrainian heroes including the Mariupol defenders are coming home.

Ukraine and Russia exchanged prisoners in a 157-for-157 swap — the first such exchange in the past five months.

Russia has just struck a residential area in Zaporizhzhia, killing at least two people.

Moscow is not interested in peace negotiations, de-escalation, or an aerial pause. The Kremlin’s intention is to terrorize Ukrainians and freeze them into submission.

Several drones also struck residential areas, crashing into apartment buildings, killing civilians and injuring many others.

Seen here: a multi-story residential building in Kyiv, hit during the attack. 2/2

Russia carried out a massive aerial assault on Ukraine, launching 450 one-way attack drones and 71 ballistic and cruise missiles. The strikes damaged energy infrastructure across the country. 1/

Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski:

Putin still believes he can win.

Any misunderstanding within the transatlantic family encourages him to explore our weaknesses and fosters Kremlin’s criminal endeavors.

90% believe that Ukraine should carry out strikes on Russian territory. Of these, 80% believe that Ukraine should strike not only military infrastructure but also other facilities. 4/4

88% believe that by striking energy infrastructure, Russia is trying to leave Ukrainians without electricity and heat and force them into capitulation. 3/4

52% of respondents categorically reject the proposal to transfer all of Donbas under Russia’s control in exchange for security guarantees (40% are ready to accept this option). Compared with mid-January, there have been no significant changes. 2/4

New public opinion poll by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology:

65% state that they are ready to endure the war for as long as necessary (62% in December 2025 and 62% in September 2025). 1/4

This is yet another demonstration of the transformation of warfare in the Russia–Ukraine war.

Long anti-drone nets, sometimes stretching for several kilometers, are being deployed to protect Ukrainian forces, logistics routes, and civilians.

Seen here: a Russian Zala UAV caught in the net.

Robert Brovdi, Commander of Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces:

At present, we are eliminating 3 enemy battalions every day. This is not sufficient. We must scale up the destruction of enemy forces significantly.

A power substation in Moscow caught fire. The cause has not yet been determined.

Russia's Theory of Victory Strategy for 2026

Amid the uncertainty surrounding peace negotiations, it is now critical to analyze Russia’s theory of victory in 2026, identify its key objectives, and assess the means through which Moscow intends to pursue them.

open.substack.com/pub/russiaan...