Catch Probability's Avatar

Catch Probability

@catchprobability.com.bsky.social

πŸ€– that calculates catch probability for MLB games. I post times of a 40% catch probability. Created by @cory.catchprobability.com and @apalen.bsky.social

146 Followers  |  6 Following  |  411 Posts  |  Joined: 12.11.2024  |  1.6974

Latest posts by catchprobability.com on Bluesky

Video thumbnail

Max Kepler lines out sharply to right fielder Adolis GarcΓ­a.

Catch probability: 22%
Est. Distance Covered: 70.0 ft
Exit Velo: 100.9 mph
Launch Angle: 17 deg
Hit Distance: 346 ft

09.08.2025 02:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Tyler Soderstrom lines out sharply to right fielder Ryan Noda.

Catch probability: 28%
Est. Distance Covered: 62.3 ft
Exit Velo: 105.7 mph
Launch Angle: 16 deg
Hit Distance: 292 ft

09.08.2025 00:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Luis Robert Jr. lines out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.

Catch probability: 28%
Est. Distance Covered: 67.4 ft
Exit Velo: 89.3 mph
Launch Angle: 19 deg
Hit Distance: 255 ft

07.08.2025 03:31 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Joey Ortiz lines out to left fielder Jurickson Profar.

Catch probability: 23%
Est. Distance Covered: 104.5 ft
Exit Velo: 90.8 mph
Launch Angle: 25 deg
Hit Distance: 351 ft

07.08.2025 00:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Nathan Lukes out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jordan Beck. Ty France scores.

Catch probability: 22%
Est. Distance Covered: 112.8 ft
Exit Velo: 91.7 mph
Launch Angle: 24 deg
Hit Distance: 322 ft

06.08.2025 22:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Nathan Lukes out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jordan Beck. Ty France scores.

Catch probability: 22%
Est. Distance Covered: 112.8 ft
Exit Velo: 91.7 mph
Launch Angle: 24 deg
Hit Distance: 322 ft

06.08.2025 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Jo Adell lines out sharply to right fielder Josh Lowe.

Catch probability: 22%
Est. Distance Covered: 73.6 ft
Exit Velo: 107.6 mph
Launch Angle: 16 deg
Hit Distance: 345 ft

06.08.2025 21:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Seiya Suzuki out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake Fraley. Nico Hoerner scores.

Catch probability: 28%
Est. Distance Covered: 68.9 ft
Exit Velo: 105.3 mph
Launch Angle: 16 deg
Hit Distance: 314 ft

06.08.2025 19:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Matt Chapman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Patrick Bailey scores.

Catch probability: 27%
Est. Distance Covered: 105.0 ft
Exit Velo: 100.4 mph
Launch Angle: 21 deg
Hit Distance: 363 ft

06.08.2025 19:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Brooks Lee lines out to center fielder Matt Vierling.

Catch probability: 23%
Est. Distance Covered: 63.3 ft
Exit Velo: 88.1 mph
Launch Angle: 18 deg
Hit Distance: 283 ft

06.08.2025 18:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Andrew Knizner lines out to left fielder Tommy Pham.

Catch probability: 24%
Est. Distance Covered: 102.1 ft
Exit Velo: 97.4 mph
Launch Angle: 21 deg
Hit Distance: 344 ft

06.08.2025 17:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Heliot Ramos lines out to left fielder Tommy Pham.

Catch probability: 12%
Est. Distance Covered: 66.8 ft
Exit Velo: 89.7 mph
Launch Angle: 16 deg
Hit Distance: 267 ft

05.08.2025 23:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Tommy Pham lines out to left fielder Jordan Beck.

Catch probability: 23%
Est. Distance Covered: 104.5 ft
Exit Velo: 97.8 mph
Launch Angle: 23 deg
Hit Distance: 378 ft

03.08.2025 20:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Bo Naylor lines out to right fielder Matt Wallner.

Catch probability: 23%
Est. Distance Covered: 68.2 ft
Exit Velo: 89.5 mph
Launch Angle: 18 deg
Hit Distance: 277 ft

03.08.2025 18:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Mike Yastrzemski out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Myles Straw. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.

Catch probability: 14%
Est. Distance Covered: 100.4 ft
Exit Velo: 82.6 mph
Launch Angle: 23 deg
Hit Distance: 274 ft

03.08.2025 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Andy Pages lines out sharply to left fielder Jake Mangum.

Catch probability: 25%
Est. Distance Covered: 97.1 ft
Exit Velo: 105.2 mph
Launch Angle: 19 deg
Hit Distance: 361 ft

03.08.2025 18:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Austin Martin flies out to right fielder Nolan Jones. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. to 3rd.

Catch probability: 17%
Est. Distance Covered: 111.7 ft
Exit Velo: 94.4 mph
Launch Angle: 25 deg
Hit Distance: 330 ft

02.08.2025 01:51 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Bobby Witt Jr. lines out sharply to left fielder Joey Loperfido.

Catch probability: 24%
Est. Distance Covered: 55.5 ft
Exit Velo: 110.7 mph
Launch Angle: 13 deg
Hit Distance: 310 ft

01.08.2025 23:21 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Ke'Bryan Hayes lines out sharply to left fielder Jurickson Profar.

Catch probability: 2%
Est. Distance Covered: 81.5 ft
Exit Velo: 104.8 mph
Launch Angle: 14 deg
Hit Distance: 298 ft

01.08.2025 17:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Noelvi Marte lines out to right fielder Eli White.

Catch probability: 16%
Est. Distance Covered: 70.8 ft
Exit Velo: 99.3 mph
Launch Angle: 17 deg
Hit Distance: 318 ft

01.08.2025 02:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Ezequiel Tovar lines out sharply to left fielder Steven Kwan.

Catch probability: 4%
Est. Distance Covered: 92.5 ft
Exit Velo: 102.4 mph
Launch Angle: 17 deg
Hit Distance: 340 ft

31.07.2025 00:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Ezequiel Tovar lines out sharply to left fielder Steven Kwan.

Catch probability: 16%
Est. Distance Covered: 82.0 ft
Exit Velo: 107.3 mph
Launch Angle: 16 deg
Hit Distance: 322 ft

31.07.2025 00:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Luke Williams lines out sharply to left fielder Tyler Tolbert.

Catch probability: 22%
Est. Distance Covered: 74.5 ft
Exit Velo: 100.3 mph
Launch Angle: 17 deg
Hit Distance: 313 ft

30.07.2025 20:51 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Austin Riley lines out sharply to left fielder Tyler Tolbert.

Catch probability: 28%
Est. Distance Covered: 65.4 ft
Exit Velo: 111.8 mph
Launch Angle: 15 deg
Hit Distance: 327 ft

30.07.2025 20:31 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Vinnie Pasquantino lines out to left fielder Jurickson Profar.

Catch probability: 28%
Est. Distance Covered: 61.0 ft
Exit Velo: 89.4 mph
Launch Angle: 19 deg
Hit Distance: 277 ft

30.07.2025 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Royce Lewis lines out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.

Catch probability: 28%
Est. Distance Covered: 65.2 ft
Exit Velo: 97.4 mph
Launch Angle: 17 deg
Hit Distance: 307 ft

30.07.2025 18:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Ceddanne Rafaela lines out to left fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr.

Catch probability: 27%
Est. Distance Covered: 104.8 ft
Exit Velo: 77.2 mph
Launch Angle: 28 deg
Hit Distance: 278 ft

30.07.2025 17:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Tyler O'Neill out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Jordan Westburg scores.

Catch probability: 13%
Est. Distance Covered: 103.6 ft
Exit Velo: 91.2 mph
Launch Angle: 22 deg
Hit Distance: 298 ft

29.07.2025 17:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

Mike Yastrzemski pops out to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa on the infield fly rule.

Catch probability: 0%
Est. Distance Covered: 138.4 ft
Exit Velo: 85.4 mph
Launch Angle: 57 deg
Hit Distance: 196 ft

29.07.2025 04:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

J.T. Realmuto lines out sharply to center fielder Luis Robert Jr.

Catch probability: 28%
Est. Distance Covered: 61.4 ft
Exit Velo: 104.2 mph
Launch Angle: 16 deg
Hit Distance: 320 ft

29.07.2025 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@catchprobability.com is following 6 prominent accounts