Kelly Hereid

Her minimum viable scale paper with @jlappen1.bsky.social was incredible, @gruberte.bsky.social can explain transition risk in a way that even a boring insurance person like me can get.

Ok here's a podcast I need to catch IMMEDIATELY

Retired: the terawatt hour (TWh)

Wired: Strait Of Hormuz (SOh)

Usage:

“Last year the world added an entire Strait of Hormuz worth of new solar power generation.”

#energysky

And missing out on beautiful images of hummocky cross-stratification!

...there is literally no way to make that sentence not sound sarcastic, but sedimentology is rad and it's truly their loss.

Climate-chg projections indicate landmasses of the South Pacific (e.g., New Zealand) will be hotspots for among the largest increases in atmospheric rivers. Historical reanalyses show significant increasing (robust & coherent) trends in AR freq over the Southern Ocean.

cw3e.ucsd.edu/cw3e-publica...

Small Bottle, Big Pipe: Quantifying and Addressing the Impact of Data Centers on Public Water Systems Water is a critical resource for data centers and an efficient means of cooling. However, meeting the growing water demand of data centers requires substantial peak water withdrawals, which many commu...

This new pre-print from @renshaolei.bsky.social & others raises a crucial point about data center water usage: While average water usage rates may be fine, peak demand during sizzling periods could cause real strains on regional water systems:

I have to do Career Day at my kids' school, what's a good way to teach them about science? I was thinking of giving them a fun activity and then making them fill out a lot of paperwork before abruptly canceling it

Many State Flood Maps Are Not Up to Date. Connecticut Is Trying to Fix That A new tool offers the public detailed estimates of their flood exposure, but some worry risk disclosure will impact home values.

In troubled times, it's always calming to go back to the basics: How hard flood-mapping is.
From @leslieatlarge.bsky.social and @mrgopal.bsky.social
🎁🔗 www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

"is powered by the same type of private risk-modeling firm that insurers turn to for setting rates"

?????????

40% of US rail freight is also fossil fuels, mostly coal. Wind coal down and you free up a lot of rail resources! Some of which could be converted to fast electric passenger trains, which in countries with modern transport infrastructure are faster than air travel for most trips under 1000 miles.

👀 new storm events database site at @noaa.gov , and it's not terrible!

Go check out the beta site and break it!

www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/storm...

#TheLensNola🔍 The storm-prone city is making its local utility design a $28 million incentive program to get hundreds more backup batteries into homes and businesses.

✍ Julian Spector, Canary Media

Full story 🔗: buff.ly/EWMokRw

#powerplant #entergyneworleans #batteryincentives

Tsunamigenic rockslide on your desktop?

This is a scaled and simplified model of the 2017 Karrat landslide.

I think it captures the dynamics of the tsunami generation quite well, though it is of course, very simplified.

I think there is not enough appreciation to how good this FT visualization is

the original is like this 👇

"deepest possible learning" 💀

In 2022 (back when #Twitter was still a thing), I had made this #meme about the state of #urban #climate #research based on an #xkcd comic.

With all the recent changes in the #publication and #funding spaces due to the #AI + #machinelearning hype cycle, here is an updated version.

Called out! Hey I'll never complain about a killer new temp dataset

BCD-ME 1° bias-corrected (QDM) temperature time series Time series of daily near-surface mean and maximum air temperature from CMIP6 large ensembles, bias-corrected to four reanalysis products using Quantile Delta Mapping, on a near-global 1° grid

See:
📈 Links to the data: app.earthmover.io/marketplace/... , app.earthmover.io/marketplace/...
📜 Our preprint here for all the details, caveats, etc.: eartharxiv.org/repository/v...
💻 Sample code to access the data natively in xarray: github.com/ks905383/bcd...

🚨We're excited to announce our initial launch of the Bias-Corrected and Downscaled Massive Ensemble (BCD-ME), the largest collection of analysis-ready future temperature data out there, ideal for getting a better sense of what's driving the _climate_ spread in climate impact projections!
🧵 below:

"2021–2023: Extreme Years of Global Drought in the Context of Long- and Short-Term Hydroclimate Trends"

New work, led by LDEO PhD student Aandishah Samara (w/ JE Smerdon, R Seager):

journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

Economists love to point to insurance as the market-based solution for adaptation - allow premiums to reflect risk and adaptation will follow.

In the real world there are limits to the effectiveness of this approach.

Nice commentary by Jo Weil and Jesse Gourevitch:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

I'm reminded of this point from an interesting energy system modeling paper from a few months ago

Cost difference bw renewables/fossil lower than it first appears - renewable pays up front, but fossil has economic/geopolitical price volatility that adds cost (and is rarely priced in)

Operation Epic Fury Making Sense of the Energy Risks and beyond

A useful piece that underscores the benefit of energy sources that do not have to pass thru the Strait of Hormuz (e.g. sunshine & wind). Renewable energy is an investment in geopolitical resilience.

Central Arkansas may have experienced repeated large-magnitude earthquakes, according to an analysis involving sand blows and other liquefaction features found near Marianna, Arkansas. #SRL ⚒️

buff.ly/zEe6bRy

GIRLS GET POCKETS

On 9/11, every class was cancelled to watch the news. Except AP physics. The Pentagon was hit while we did science that day.

At the time I thought my teacher was a lunatic.

Now I'm not so sure.

The dynamic described here - many huge computer warehouses detecting the same grid voltage excursion and simultaneously tripping to backup power - is the same basic effect that led to the Iberian power outage last year, just on the demand side rather than supply. Should stagger their trip thresholds

Natural gas utilities will pass these wholesale price spikes straight through to ratepayers by raising retail prices. Before the late Obama years the US exported almost no natural gas, so domestic prices were insulated from global markets

Homebrew that is not *quite* cool enough to pitch yeast

Now #millennialmaxxing listening to Duran Duran's Ordinary World (1993) while trying to chill the last 5 degrees on my homebrew wort in the tub with my kids' bath toys...

My Life in France, Julia Child w Alex Prud'homme

My Life in France, Julia Child w Alex Prud'homme

A long read aloud w @mattrshelton.bsky.social. Came for the cooking, which is fabulous, but stayed for discussions of urbanism, the sacrifices of civil service, McCarthyism, and the cutthroat world of publishing, which all feel fresh as a daisy.

15/