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What if every family stops having children as soon as they have a boy? Would the sex ratio end up skewed one way or the other?
This is what it would look like for 25 random families following that rule (with a normal male/female sex ratio of 105/100.)
/1
02.12.2025 03:15 β π 37 π 8 π¬ 5 π 2
Gaza: Study Reveals Unprecedented Losses of Life & Life Expectancy
Researchers from MPIDR & the Centre for Demographic Studies (CED) investigated the impact of the conflict in Gaza on mortality. Life expectancy 2024 fell to nearly half the level expected without the war. www.demogr.mpg.de/go/GazaLE
25.11.2025 10:11 β π 34 π 20 π¬ 1 π 2
Launch: World Urbanization Prospects 2025 | Population Division
The World Urbanization Prospects 2025 will be launched on Tuesday, 18 November 2025 at 12:45 (EST).
Today, launching the World Urbanization Prospects 2025 with new UN estimates and projections of urbanization for
237 countries and areas of the world & 12,000+ cities with 50,000+ inhabitants in 2025. www.un.org/development/... - see also new online datasets and plots: population.un.org/wup/
18.11.2025 17:50 β π 8 π 7 π¬ 0 π 2
LEdecomp: Decompose Life Expectancy by Age (and Cause)
A set of all-cause and cause-specific life expectancy sensitivity and decomposition methods, including Arriaga (1984) <<a href="https://doi.org/10.2307%2F2061029" target="_top">doi:10.2307/2061029<...
Over a dozen ways to decompose life expectancy, all in one (we hope) friendly interface. Please have a look at the LEdecomp R package cran.r-project.org/web/packages... See the function LEdecomp() for access to all of them. If we left something out, please shout! #rstats #demography #mortality
12.11.2025 10:57 β π 35 π 9 π¬ 0 π 0
Check out this conference if you work on topics related to kinship structure and dynamics (within and beyond the household), caregiving, intergenerational processes, family bereavement, LGBTQ+ & chosen kinship, etc. @iussp.bsky.social Submit by 21 Jan 2026 π www.demogr.mpg.de/go/kinship-conference
06.11.2025 10:33 β π 18 π 11 π¬ 0 π 0
4/11/2025 - DemoSoc Seminar: Measuring the Scale of Loss: Life Expectancy and Conflict Mortality in Gaza - Departament | Facultat de CiΓ¨ncies PolΓtiques i Socials - UPF
Measuring the Scale of Loss: Life Expectancy and Conflict Mortality in Gaza.
Enrique Acosta, Centre d'Estudis DemogrΓ fics (CED)
Come join us: Next Tuesday 4.11 at noon. @demosocupf.bsky.social
www.upf.edu/web/politiqu...
29.10.2025 18:14 β π 8 π 4 π¬ 0 π 0
Postdoctoral Researchers in Demography and Population Projections
The Population Research Institute (PRI) at VΓ€estΓΆliitto β Family Federation of Finland and the University of Helsinki invite applications for three positions as Postdoctoral research fellow to studyβ¦
3 full-time positions on Probabilistic Migration Modeling at University of @helsinki.fi in collaboration with @mpidr.bsky.social and Mikko MyrskylΓ€.
DM me if you want to know more, as I'm part of the project. Definitely DM me if you heard of conformal prediction
www.vaestoliitto.fi/en/news/post...
27.10.2025 07:57 β π 26 π 18 π¬ 0 π 0
Job Offer: PhD Student Position
The University of Hong Kong (HKU) and the
@mpidr.bsky.social +
@imprs-phds.bsky.social
invite applications for a 4-year PhD position. The studentship is not limited to specific topics. Apply until November 17!
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_61...
22.10.2025 09:23 β π 19 π 14 π¬ 0 π 0
ππ»ββοΈππ»ββοΈππ»ββοΈ
06.10.2025 17:30 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
We are looking forward to the #HMD symposium next week π
01.10.2025 07:30 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
π’ Papers from #REVES2026 with a focus on new methods for analyzing healthy life expectancy and inequalities will be great candidates for the @genus.bsky.social Healthy Life Expectancy collection by @cosmostrozza.bsky.social & @timriffe1.bsky.social !
π tinyurl.com/HLEgenus
π01/06/2026
#demography
22.09.2025 14:13 β π 8 π 5 π¬ 0 π 1
ππA week full of celebrations
β¨Two ERC Starting Grants for the MPIDRβ¨
We are thrilled to announce that @marilianep.bsky.social and @ugobas.bsky.social have each been awarded with an ERC Starting Grant by the @erc.europa.eu. #ERCStG
www.demogr.mpg.de/en/news_even...
#ERCStartingGrant #longevity
04.09.2025 10:24 β π 85 π 13 π¬ 6 π 4
Welcome
The next Formal Demography Working Group is Thursday September 11 at 10am ET! @phbocquier.bsky.social will present on identifying small-area diffusion of mortality transitions using non-linear modelling. Sign up details on our website! formaldemography.github.io/working_group/
03.09.2025 13:43 β π 11 π 5 π¬ 0 π 3
Healthy Life Expectancy: New Methods, New Insights
As countries worldwide experience population aging, understanding not just how long people live, but how many of those years are spent in good health, has ...
Health demographers π£
Calling for submissions to our w. @timriffe1.bsky.social
Healthy Life Expectancy methodology collection on @genus.bsky.social! We're seeking innovative approaches to statistical modelling and empirical analysis of health inequalities π
π Submission deadline: 01/06/26
π Link π
02.09.2025 07:01 β π 37 π 20 π¬ 1 π 0
GitHub - timriffe/mscalc: Calculates State Occupancy Times by Age from Discrete Time Transition Probabilities
Calculates State Occupancy Times by Age from Discrete Time Transition Probabilities - timriffe/mscalc
bootstrapping & Horiuchi-decomposing multistate models of late drove me to write this efficient occupancy time calculator. It avoids matrix inversion, is state-space-flexible, and is faster and more memory efficient than alternatives tested thus far: github.com/timriffe/msc...
24.07.2025 22:07 β π 6 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
There is an exact procedure to abridge a single-age lifetable, but is there a method to graduate an abridged one that 1. Matches lx and ex in abridged ages 2. Is fully transitive (e.g. mx-ax-qx identity and others) 3. Is reasonably smooth 4. Has standard-looking ax values (close to .5 exc tails)?
29.06.2025 06:48 β π 3 π 1 π¬ 2 π 0
I tried recently splines on lx (5<=x<oag)and then fixed ax within 5y interval, replicating 5Lx. But not always a smoothed solution on ax. So... no π
30.06.2025 14:23 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Some good news to brighten up your feed: Our #R package π¦ DemoKin for the demographic analysis of kinship has a new website with extensive documentation and literature ππ @mpidr.bsky.social If you don't know it yet, why not check it out? ivanwilli.github.io/DemoKin/inde...
04.06.2025 17:57 β π 47 π 18 π¬ 1 π 0
Welcome
Hey demographers! We're starting up the formal demography working group again! Next Friday 16 May at 11:30am ET @hggaddy.bsky.social will talk to us about challenges in estimating crisis mortality. Excited! Head to the website to sign up for Zoom details: formaldemography.github.io/working_group/
06.05.2025 20:52 β π 36 π 14 π¬ 0 π 3
With a little delay we learned that @lpcalderonb.bsky.social, who could not attend #PAA2025, won a Best Poster Award! Her colleagues put up the poster and a note from Liliana and co-author @martinkolk.bsky.social jumped in to present the research. Congrats Liliana! @popassocamerica.bsky.social
30.04.2025 09:46 β π 29 π 7 π¬ 0 π 1
Demographer
Emeritus Professor of Economics
Florida State University
Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Sociologist and demographer, University of Maryland; SocArXiv director.
New book: Citizen Scholar: Public Engagement for Social Scientists https://cup.columbia.edu/book/citizen-scholar/9780231555418
Website: philipncohen.com
Blog: familyinequality.com
Focus on demographic estimation problems/methods and projections, especially in Africa and Asia. https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Patrick_Gerland/
An international scientific institute that conducts research into critical issues of global environmental, economic, technological, and social change. https://iiasa.ac.at
Postdoc @mpidr.bsky.social. PhD @sociologyoxford.bsky.social & @oxforddemsci.bsky.social. Researching drivers and consequences of working-age mortality + formal demography of fertility & mortality. Photo by Potters Instinct Photography.
Professor of Statistics, Monash University, Australia. FAA, FASSA. Interested in #forecasting, #rstats, #statistics. he/him http://robjhyndman.com
Researcher Ipea Brazil | Visiting prof @geo_uoft | PhD @TSUOxford | Structured procrastination on Cities, Urban mobility, Accessibility, Equity, Data science, R. About: www.urbandemographics.org/
We are a group of professors, researchers, and phd students working in demography, based in Sapienza University of Rome
Peer-reviewed, open-access journal specializing in demographic, urban, and environmental studies. Published since 1986 by the Center for Demographic, Urban and Environmental Studies at El Colegio de Mexico. Editor-in-chief @vicmgg.bsky.social
Confused squirrel; some-time professor of demography; LSHTM; methods, fertility, Africa; likes being outdoors, the Isle of Purbeck, sailing, family history, cricket, birds. πͺπΊ πΉπ
Demographer
PhD Candidate at the University of Pennsylvania
π’
Official account of the Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford
I am a passionate, self-taught, and self-directed learner of mathematics.
Website: https://www.francescomacri.com
Global statistics and trends on diverse topics, from economy π to environment πΏ, health π₯ to technology π±
Demographer & Historian | PhD Student at @mpidr.bsky.social (DCoDe Dep) and @SUDA_Sthlm | Microsimulation - Historical/Kinship Demography | EDSD 2020-2021
π¦π·
DemΓ³grafa (UNLU) y SociΓ³loga (UBA) | Demographer & Sociologist
EDSD 24-25
PhD student at @cedemografia.bsky.social
Si no controlΓ‘s por estructura de edad y sexo, no me hables | Don't talk to me if you don't control for sex and age structure
Health and mortality, population ageing, social disadvantage, family dynamics.
@University of Helsinki.
https://www.helsinki.fi/en/helsinki-institute-demography-and-population-health
Demographer π & Development Economist π
Research Scholar @ IIASA (AT)
Exploring:
π₯ Population Dynamics
π± Environmental Change
π Risk & Resilience
π Econometrics
UFMG & Stanford Alumna π