Ivan Briscoe

A Way Forward for Europe’s Coalitions of the Willing | International Crisis Group Whatever the forthcoming NATO summit decides, the alliance’s European members are preparing for a continuing threat from Russia and reduced U.S. support for Ukrainian and regional security. To this en...

NATO leaders are about to meet in The Hague amidst a rapidly changing regional security environment. As new models for cooperation take shape, NATO & EU (&OSCE) roles may shift. New @crisisgroup.org commentary by @lisamusiol.bsky.social, Marta Mucznik, & yours truly unpacks the evolving dynamics.

NEW Q&A | U.S. Troops to Los Angeles: A Dangerous Escalation

As residents in Los Angeles protest a crackdown on undocumented migrants, Donald Trump has sent in military personnel. @bcfinucane.bsky.social explains why this order is an ominous sign.

www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

Morena toma la Suprema Corte Los nueve candidatos que el partido gobernante proponía han salido elegidos. El abogado mixteco Hugo Aguilar, el más votado, se perfila como presidente del alto tribunal

Mexico's judicial election results are trickling in. So far we know Supreme Court votes. Full results, including all judges, will be tallied only until next week. Noticing two things:

(1) Ruling party, MORENA, is poised to control the Supreme Court with most of the future justices with party ties.

Unpacking the Use of U.S. Wartime Powers against a Criminal “Invasion” | Crisis Group President Donald Trump has used a 1798 law to deport alleged members of the Venezuelan criminal network Tren de Aragua to El Salvador, in whose notorious prisons they are now held. In this Q&A, Crisis...

New Q&A from @crisisgroup.org on the implications of the Trump administration's invocation of the Alien Enemies Act to send Venezuelan migrants to a prison in El Salvador.
www.crisisgroup.org/global-unite...

[Visual] Curbing Violence in Latin America’s Drug Trafficking Hotspots | International Crisis Group More than 50 years into the “war on drugs”, trade in illicit narcotics continues to flourish in Latin America, often leaving mayhem in its wake.

We tracked how fentanyl and cocaine move through a fragmented criminal supply chain, from production to consumption.

Follow our new @crisisgroup.org visual explainer on how this trafficking happens, fueling violence across the length of the supply chain. 👇

www.crisisgroup.org/visual-expla...

Crackdown on quangos part of radical government proposal to reform state Exclusive: Thousands of civil service jobs could also be cut under blueprint dubbed ‘project chainsaw’

"Labour Together said it hopes to channel “[Javier] Milei’s energy but with a radical centre-left purpose” with project chainsaw".

Curious turn-up for a president who calls socialism "a disease of the soul"
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Trump Suspends Tariffs on Mexico for a Month Goods trading under the rules of the North American trade pact, or the vast majority of products, would be exempt from tariffs, the president said. The levies have caused stock markets to sink.

The art of deal making is not exclusive to one person!

President Claudia Sheinbaum of 🇲🇽💫👍🏽💪🏽

www.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/u...

YouTube video by International Crisis Group European security three years on from Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine

Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago today. In this short @crisisgroup.org explainer video, I talk about what the war has meant for European security, & how it is now complicated by the Trump presidency 1/2
www.youtube.com/watch?v=1lrH...

U.S. Military Action in Mexico: Almost Certainly Illegal, Definitely Counterproductive U.S. military action in Mexico would not only be illegal, it would sabotage Trump’s stated immigration policy priorities and could lead to retaliation against Americans.

My latest in @justsecurity.org, examining the legal and policy implications of possible US military action in Mexico.

www.justsecurity.org/107850/us-mi...

Leftwing activists less likely to work with political rivals than other UK groups, study finds Exclusive: Lack of understanding by ‘progressive activists’ of other voting blocs has led to rise of far right, authors argue * UK politics live – latest updates Leftwing activists in Britain are less likely to work with their political opponents…

Leftwing activists less likely to work with political rivals than other UK groups, study finds

‘In a real sense, US democracy has died’: how Trump is emulating Hungary’s Orbán Trump has moved to gut the federal government, fire critics and reward allies – a path similar to ‘would-be dictators’ like Orbán, experts say A pitiless crackdown on on illegal immigration. A hardline approach to law and order. A purge of “gender…

‘In a real sense, US democracy has died’: how Trump is emulating Hungary’s Orbán

5 large tents and several smaller ones on an empty lot.

Aerial view of the tent facility that #Mexico's government has set up in anticipation of mass deportations to Ciudad Juárez, across from El Paso. From *Border Report*: www.borderreport.com/immigration/...

Opinion | MAGA’s Big Tech Divide The journalist James Pogue explicates the strange tensions between big tech and the new right.

Is the Trump administration searching for an “easy” war to give the American man a sense of purpose?

Fascinating convo btw James Pogue and @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social: www.nytimes.com/2025/01/28/o...

Befuddled analysts seeking guidance as to the historical geopolitics of the Panama Canal & the rise of Monroe Doctrine 4.0: here are a few highly recommended core texts.

Exclusive: photographs reveal first glimpse of uncontacted Amazon community Automatic cameras in the Brazilian rainforest show images of the Massaco people, who are flourishing despite environmental threats * Read more on this story: New images show Brazil’s uncontacted people are thriving – but with success comes a new threat…

Exclusive: photographs reveal first glimpse of uncontacted Amazon community

NEW STATEMENT | Priorities after Assad’s Fall

At last, Syria is free of the despised Assad regime. The long-suffering Syrian people deserve respite and a chance to rebuild the country on their own terms, with help not interference from outside.

www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

Supporters of former Bolivian President Evo Morales block a road linking Cochabamba with La Paz, near the village of Khora, 20 km from Cochabamba, Bolivia, on October 28, 2024. Former Bolivian president Evo Morales is being investigated for rape, human trafficking and human smuggling over his alleged sexual relationship with a 15-year-old member of his political youth guard in 2015. Supporters of Morales have protested by blocking major roads throughout the country for two weeks. Morales said gunmen tried to kill him Sunday in a hail of bullets, an attack he blamed on the current president. AIZAR RALDES / AFP

A standoff between President Luis Arce and former President Evo Morales has plunged Bolivia into turmoil, aggravating economic grievances and fuelling social unrest.

🧵 to explain what’s happening

In case rerunning the Pancho Villa expedition (ie war with Mexican cartels) wasn’t retro enough, there’s also the possibility of a reboot of the crusades.