Tom Adshead

Bid at 15.5 on Betfair with no offers, but it's an incredibly thin market

Not denying your experience, and I'm sorry that happened to you. But the two times I've been there (for lunch) we've had nice tables outside and the onion soup or pied de cochon were fantastic. We're obviously tourists and they were nice to us.

Definitely possible

Frantsuzy otdana! I remember quoting this the day that we bought out Paribas's shares in UFG.

I was there in 1996 or 1997, and I was stunned by how fast the fans turned on their own team.

@londoncentric.media Your recent subject Preston Benson appears here too

Cocaine will out

And there is a fair amount of defence production in the NW, so maybe that is his brief. This will also avoid conflict with the St Petersburg clans, so that will help him. But the general view is that Putin has chosen a low-key guy who will obey orders and not upset the political balance 3/3

But has not exactly stood out at Tver. His speciality is agriculture, but that has been taken over by the Patrushevs so that road was closed. Rudenya is rumored to be ambitious, but does not seem to have achieved enough for a federal ministry. The rumor mill has him working well with Chemezov 2/n

Igor Rudenya moves from Governor of Tverskaya Oblast to NorthWest Presidential Plenipotentiary. Not really a rising star, and the local view is that he's chosen because he's not linked to any of the St Petersburg clans. Seen as a personal choice of Putin, someone who gets things done 1/n

I'm not sure I'm strong enough to be an Arsenal supporter

Erling Haaland On Life In Germany, Being Relentless & His Rap Career - SoccerBible Since bursting on to the scene 18 months ago, Erling Haaland hasn’t looked back, scoring goals for fun in his relentless drive to be the best. As a man of few words – and living the cliché – he tends ...

www.soccerbible.com/interviews/2...
This is saying he's more of a rap guy, although there is a mention of classical music

Thanks, that sounds correct. I was just trying to push back against the narrative that Kozak left because he was anti-war. I think he was offered the PolPred job in the NW, turned it down, and that turned into a wider talk about his career, and Putin let him go in recognition of his earlier service.

The problem is that the US, along with the other Security Council members, would have a veto! This is the fundamental flaw of the rules-based international system, that the US was never going to allow itself to be subordinate to it. It's not the rule of law if the hegemon is above the law

But at this meeting at least, I don't see Kozak speaking out against the invasion. Maybe there are off-the-record sources, but Kozak did not dissent at this meeting, not publicly at least. And this was the meeting when Putin made his elite accept public collective responsibility for the invasion 4/4

At the end Kozak offers to speak about whether the Donbass should be annexed, but Putin shuts him up. Which may have been because Putin didn't want Kozak speaking against the annexation. Or it may have been because Kozak wasn't a member of the Security Council, so his opinion wasn't relevant. 3/n

He's very critical of Ukraine's behaviour during the negotiations over the Minsk agreements, and his statement here is one of the main justifications offered for the decision to recognise the independence of Donetsk and Luhansk. Which was an abandonment of Minsk which then led to the invasion 2/n

Just doing some work on Kozak's departure from the Presidential Administration. Lots of Western media saying that he spoke out against the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. I looked at the Security Council stenograph: kremlin.ru/events/presi..., and I don't see him against the recognition of the Donbass 1/n

Presumably the same reason that Putin wouldn't be arrested if he had come - the US has not signed up for the ICC

This. In any other country Witte and Stolypin would have been national heroes

I think it was quite successful as an economic development project, and would have compounded the benefits if there had been no war, but for that you would have required an economically rational Russian grand strategy, which has always been an oxymoron

You could say the same about Russia! Wasted resources on building the Transsiberian, which provoked the Japanese, led to the 1905 war. Then the lack of westbound train capacity was a contributor to military failure in 1916-17 which led to everything else

Erm - thalidomide was withdrawn in 1961 and Farage was born in 1964, so when was he told it was safe? Also he does know that a whole new drug testing system has been built since then?

The AI bubble will burst, it's just a question of when and at what level. I think it will play through similarly to the collapse of the dotcom bubble. That is, bad for the stock market, not so bad for the real economy. What's less clear is what happens when the bitcoin bubble bursts

I'm assuming you've read the O'Brien books, which are brilliant on all this

Could it be a net number to include credit card bills and consumer debt?

It just occurred to me that this was a feature, not a bug. The idea was that Trump would remember Mandelson from the Epstein parties

I would be interested in this. I've recently returned to London after 25 years, and am trying to work out why people are wearing what I would have thought of as a waistcoat. My first thought was airconditioned offices and warmer weather outside. Or they want to look like they work in a bank office

Is there an AI element to this? Maybe they're like the lifts in Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, and they use LLMs to predict the short-term future, to speed up lift journeys. Has to be worth a premium