@thegargiulian.bsky.social
human rights researcher worrying about missing data at LSHTM & HRDAG | she/ella
White text on multicolored card including the words: RightsX Summit: The future of human rights starts here. Solution Roundtable: Pushing the limits | Strengthening synergies between Citizen Data, Ai & Official Statistics.
Join HRDAG's Maria Gargiulo at RightsX Summit to explore how citizens and human rights groups use data to seek justice. Registration here: rightsx.ohchr.org
09.12.2025 17:15 — 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
The HRDAG staff participating in a candle light vigil.
Today and every day, we offer gratitude to our donors and funders. Thanks to your support, we use science to defend truth and human rights.
27.11.2025 20:37 — 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0Today we express gratitude to all the survivors who shared their stories with our research teams, from Guatemala to South Africa to the United States and beyond, as we researched and analyzed state violence.
Your stories help pave the way for justice and accountability.
blog post: quantity vs quality
compare 2 surveys:
1. 100% coverage, but response probability P[R = 1 | Y] differs a lot by Y
2. Only 5% coverage, but P[R = 1 | Y] is roughly constant across Y
which would you use ? both ?
“As researchers and research activists, it’s our responsibility to question what gets measured and reported and how” - @thegargiulian.bsky.social discusses the importance of mortality estimation research
25.11.2025 18:55 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0So excited to see this piece out in Demography. We find that exposure to community-level homicides is associated with higher probabilities of contraceptive first use and provision.
This paper forms the basis of my ERC Starting Grant on how local violent crime affects SRH in Mexico. 🇲🇽 More to come!
Want better AI? Involve human experts.
New research from HRDAG and Cornell's CAT Lab offers powerful evidence for how participatory models improve reliability and validity. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
new blog post: sampling the sample
we’ve focused on estimating means E[Y].
but say Y are openends ("describe how you feel about the candidate") and you want to read thru a few draws from the population, not only survey responders.
what should you do ?
HRDAG's executive director Megan Price teamed up with CAT Lab Founder @natematias.bsky.social to research how human participation can improve AI. Read our latest findings. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
18.11.2025 18:37 — 👍 5 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0
New article in @pnas.org: when scientists bring in the public, it can directly improve the science of AI. hrdag.org/2025/11/17/n...
17.11.2025 20:07 — 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Up next in the London Universities Population Seminar Series:
On 25 November at 12:45, Dr Isadora Cruxên (QMUL) will present “Co-creating feminist technology to confront gender-based violence and feminicide.”
Join us in G08 (Keppel Street) or online: www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
For #FollowFriday:
Follow LSHTM's centres, projects & groups for more on work to tackle some of the biggest challenges in #PublicHealth
🎉Welcome to new addition @cmmid-lshtm.bsky.social!
go.bsky.app/4FczAGW
Check out the programme for our upcoming Annual Event, a #humanitarian research showcase ✨
🗓️ Tue 25 Nov, 17.30-19.00 GMT
📍 LSHTM & online
Featuring @gordonneve.bsky.social, @thegargiulian.bsky.social & many more ⬇️
www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...
blog post: weights and MRP for voters
so far we've talked about weights and MRP for E[Y], vote choice in the population overall.
but what if you want E[Y | V = 1], vote choice in the population of voters.
what are the weights and how do you modify MRP ?
HRDAG recently hosted a conversations with our colleagues in the human rights and data justice community about recent attacks on our field in the United States. Watch the first part of that conversation:
www.youtube.com/watch?v=3UHk...
Como enfrentar a tirania? Acima de tudo, não perca os dados. Palestra de Patrick Ball e Megan Price, do @hrdag.org
hrdag.org/2025/11/05/w...
Numbers can’t bring back lives lost, but they can support truth and accountability.
That's why @hrdag.org uses statistical analysis and careful data curation to ensure we know the truth about state violence.
A cartoon image of 5 people standing shoulder to shoulder, with two holding laptops. There is a green stripe across the front and words in white that say "HRDAG Stands Against Tyranny"
HRDAG remains a nonpartisan, nonpolitical organization. Our mission is focused on the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
Today, we denounce violations of human rights occurring in the United States. hrdag.org/in-the-face-...
blog post: MRPW
you've got a survey collected by someone else, and they gave you weights.
how can you use those weights in the MRP (Multilevel Regression and Poststratification) ?
Join us next week to hear from @farid-flici.bsky.social on population ageing and social security sustainability in Algeria 🇩🇿
🗓 Wednesday, 22 October 2025
🕐 12:45–13:45 (BST)
📍 KS-LG19
💻 Zoom: lshtm.zoom.us/j/89990670777
ℹ️ More details: www.lshtm.ac.uk/research/cen...
📆 Te esperamos este sábado en el foro público "Tejiendo saberes desde lo local" para escuchar y compartir experiencias en materia de búsqueda de personas e identificación forense.
⏰ 9:30 am
📍 Centro Cultural de España en México
🎟️ Entrada libre.
¡Hasta encontrarles!
Today is Donor Advised Fund Day. Make a big impact with your charitable contributions by sending a donation to
@hrdag.org today. hrdag.org/2025/10/08/d...
blog post: struggles with equivalent weights
you've done MRP.
someone asks you for survey weights.
how to get them ?
blog post: beyond balancing
in midterms, voters tend to support the out party for balance
do polls still help predict midterms ? yes
The LSE and South Coast ESRC Doctoral Training Partnerships, in collaboration with the British Society of Population Studies, would like to invite you to a jointly-organised masterclass entitled: “Being an academic in Population Studies: a masterclass for PhD students on data challenges and career progression” Monday 3 of November 2025, 10am – 4.15 pm (Coffee from 9.30 am, Lunch between 1.15-2.15pm), LSE PhD Academy, LRB 4.02, Lionel Robbins Building (4th Floor), 10 Portugal Street, London WC2A 2HD. If you would like to reserve a space, please sign up here: https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/being-anacademic-in-population-studies-a-masterclass-for-phd-students-tickets-1693083350879? aff=oddtdtcreator For DTP-funded students, we expect that funding for travel expenses and/or accommodation will come from their home DTP (ie. RTSG). For non-DTP-funded students, five bursaries will be available. If you wish to apply for a travel bursary for your travel expenses, please send an email to Adrien Allorant with a provisional budget by the 13th of October.
LSE and @bspsuk.bsky.social are hosting a workshop on "Being an academic in population studies" on 3 November! It'll be a nice mix of methods training and career advice with great talks by @ericbschneider.bsky.social, Wendy Sigle, José Manuel Aburto, and others!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/being-an-a...
blog post: Fat Bear Week
Basu's Bears is a lesson in:
1) using auxiliary information (pre-salmon-feasting weights)
2) how bad an unbiased estimator can be
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/23/s...
The data is now available for all teams who've already signed up! More sign-ups very welcome! Happy analysing! 💻📊
16.09.2025 11:27 — 👍 8 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0blog post: random sampling is not leaving
we turned to response instrument Z because random sampling is "dead"
but does this method still rely on starting with random sampling ?
blog post: random sampling is not leaving
we turned to response instrument Z because random sampling is "dead"
but does this method still rely on starting with random sampling ?
HRDAG stands firmly with the human rights community in insisting that encryption is not optional — it is fundamental to the defense of truth.
Any attempt to ban or backdoor encryption technology is a threat to the human rights community.
hrdag.substack.com/p/without-en...
