After reading the copy-editors promptly re-calibrated their workflow
26.01.2026 12:39 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@spinkney.bsky.social
I mostly post about probabilistic programming stuff, statistics, and R/Julia/Python (in that order). I'm a volunteer Stan developer and citizen scientist (papers on arxiv). Currently my day job is doing marketing analytics.
After reading the copy-editors promptly re-calibrated their workflow
26.01.2026 12:39 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0A hawk's quick shadow?
Body taken, head left hereβ
life owes no warning.
"Is ok?" youtu.be/DoQyMsBHE-M?...
24.01.2026 13:40 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I do believe X is a threat
24.01.2026 11:42 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I checked for n>=3. For n = 3, the max is 4 which must be true.
06.11.2025 01:11 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Ah yep, just working under duress (kids)
06.11.2025 01:05 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I didn't prove max but I'm not sure it can be bigger. Let me know what's right!
06.11.2025 00:36 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 02 cases bc of median. Max element is then
Even: n + n / 2
Odd: 2 n - (n + 1) / 2
Assuming positive integers for all n. The formula isn't too hard to work out afterward for the entire sequence
Wonderful apotropaic marks!
30.10.2025 14:16 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Halloween @mc-stan.org
29.10.2025 21:22 β π 8 π 2 π¬ 1 π 0I'll take one if you have any left
23.06.2025 12:55 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Which base measure are we in?
04.06.2025 14:03 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0So go re-run your models with simplex and report back with your results!
04.06.2025 12:45 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0and to be comparable, if not a bit better, in all other cases.
What has changed is that we use the sum-to-zero vector transform and then softmax it. There are still n-1 free variables but the over/underflow for finite precision computing is less likely. 2/
Stan 2.37 will be out sometime next week. I helped get the updated simplex parameterization and sum-to-zero matrix (both rows and columns sum to zero).
We found the new simplex parameterization to be much better in the extremes of the simplex and across very small alpha values of the dirichlet 1/
Ask me any questions you may have about this! #stats
02.06.2025 13:23 β π 28 π 6 π¬ 0 π 0Q
01.06.2025 19:52 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0This is the pre-pre-print of the meta-meta-analysis
24.05.2025 18:41 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I've come on here after months away to let everyone know that I apparently really like trance music
07.05.2025 13:12 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Oh I first read this as the water cycle is changing as a good thing rather than a permanent thing
29.03.2025 22:00 β π 6 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Hi!
27.03.2025 21:29 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Are there any other statistics nerds in the NoVA area that want to get together?
27.03.2025 11:05 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0π
28.02.2025 21:47 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Promising results from the Pymc folks! #bayesian #pymc #stats #stan
discourse.mc-stan.org/t/updated-ch...
Hi I don't know you, you don't know me but I have the same feels. Come say hi sometime to me
23.02.2025 01:30 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Please let me know! I'd love to see timing and ESS comparisons
20.02.2025 14:52 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0It's similar to what Adam Haber came up with for tfp but it seems to be slightly better in small dimensions and much faster in large (100+) though this could be because of Stan's implementation vs tfp.
20.02.2025 13:50 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0