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Gernot Wagner

@gwagner.com.bsky.social

Climate economist, Columbia https://gwagner.com It’s pronounced juggernaut without the jug. If I didn't bother writing it, you shouldn't have to bother reading it: https://gwagner.com/privacy

21,149 Followers  |  1,891 Following  |  1,981 Posts  |  Joined: 04.08.2023  |  2.2583

Latest posts by gwagner.com on Bluesky

πŸ‘ x2

07.08.2025 22:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

PS: Yes, the price of the KlimaTicket just increased by almost 20% on August 1, also for budgetary reasons (and misguided ones at that).

But of course, KlimaTicket + 20% still better than no KlimaTicket.

And yes, I have one again for this coming year. 😎

bsky.app/profile/gwag...

07.08.2025 20:12 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Klar.

+20% ist schlecht, vor allem wenn Dieselprivileg, Pendlerpauschale, Kerosin ohne Mehrwertsteuer, usw. bestehen bleiben.

KlimaTicket +20% immer noch besser, natΓΌrlich, als kein KlimaTicket.

07.08.2025 20:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Gute Industriepolitik ebnet den Weg zu effektiven CO2-Preisen Es gibt handfeste GrΓΌnde dafΓΌr, effizienten Technologien zum Durchbruch zu verhelfen.

Und zu guter Letzt auch auf Deutsch, and last but not least in German: gwagner.com/faz-industriepolitik mit @monika-schnitzer.com in @faznet.bsky.social

Yes, carrots and sticks.

In fact, carrots before sticks.

/fin

07.08.2025 20:02 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Policy sequencing toward decarbonization by Jonas Meckling, Thomas Sterner & Gernot Wagner

For more academic: gwagner.com/policy-sequencing with @jonasmeckling.bsky.social & Thomas Sterner

For long-form essay: gwagner.com/taming-carbon

For more recent, with @monika-schnitzer.com gwagner.com/carrots-sticks

07.08.2025 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And yes, that carrot-stick story, and especially how to sequence things goes much deeper than that.

For my earliest entry on the topic, in 2015 in Nature: gwagner.com/push

07.08.2025 19:57 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
For Effective Climate Policy, the First Step is the Hardest After more than three decades of trying, Austria moves to tax carbon.

Both the KlimaBonus (now gone) and the KlimaTicket (slightly scaled back, but still there) are the carrots.

The carbon tax is the stick.

I wrote this all up at the time in my @bloomberg.com column: gwagner.com/risky-climate-austria

07.08.2025 19:54 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Back to the Austrian Climate SuperBowl weekend in October 2021: it's a big deal that those transit subsidies came hand-in-hand with the carbon tax (which most Austrians experience most directly at the pump; i.e. with their cars).

07.08.2025 19:54 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
KlimaTicket

KlimaTicket

The KlimaTicket is such a good deal that it paid for me, New York-based Austro-American to get one, too.

For Austrians in Austria, it's a nobrainer, and that's the point: It makes trains, trams & buses the obvious choice. No need to think about it. Hop on and ride.

07.08.2025 19:46 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

On Friday, October 1, the government coalition of Conservatives & Greens finished negotiations for the KlimaTicket β€” one highly subsidized ticket to use transit in all of Austria for the low low price of €3 a day, more subsidized for teens, etc.

07.08.2025 19:46 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

But the real carrots & sticks story goes via something else: Klimaticket, not Klimabonus.

The timing, up to a point, was coincidence. But that first weekend in October 2021 was the Climate Super Bowl weekend in Austrian climate politics, if Austria cared about the Super Bowl, that is.

07.08.2025 19:42 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Also key: the Austrian tax "only" covers COβ‚‚ not already covered under the EU's emissions trading system.

As that market is expanding, the tax is becoming less important.

Goes for Austria, goes for carbon tax pioneers like Sweden & Norway as well.

07.08.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The tax raised some €2 billion, paid back via the Klimabonus.

So far so good.

Now that bonus got killed, while the tax remains in place, basically in an attempt to fix the budget deficit.

All still a-okay from a climate perspective.

07.08.2025 19:39 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The typical carbon tax play goes via something akin to Austria's Klimabonus: tax carbon, take the money and pay a dividend.

@cclusa.org is all about that plan. It's a good idea.

Austria passed one in October 2021, under the leadership of then climate minister @lgewessler.bsky.social.

Β²/β‚™

07.08.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
How a Carbon Tax Plan in Europe Survived (Mostly)

Austrian carbon tax goes NYT: www.nytimes.com/2025/08/07/c...

Yes, the tax survived, while the dividends just got killed by the new government.

But the real story isn't necessarily about the "Klimabonus", but the Klimaticket(!).

mini-Austro-🧡

07.08.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 19    πŸ” 9    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

Both Brimstone & Sublime just signed major deals jump-starting their clean cement production.

Listen to their CEOs Cody Finke & Leah Ellis tell their stories via this @yearsofliving.bsky.social Γ— @columbiabusiness.bsky.social production: youtube.com/playlist?lis...

07.08.2025 16:22 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Brimstone: Mixing Things Up
YouTube video by Columbia Business School Brimstone: Mixing Things Up

The cement industry is a massive polluter, but Cody Finke and his team of scientists may have a solution. Follow @columbiabusiness.bsky.social Professor and Climate Economist @gwagner.com to Brimstone's lab to see what’s really going on. To learn more: bit.ly/3I7C7oT www.youtube.com/watch?v=OQXP...

06.08.2025 17:34 β€” πŸ‘ 11    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
14-year-old off to work

14-year-old off to work

Final day on his first job for the 14-year-old, and he's as enthusiastic as he was on the first day 😎

07.08.2025 11:20 β€” πŸ‘ 18    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Dandelion

Dandelion

ca. 1992; I was 12 then :)

07.08.2025 09:27 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Can't help but think this is whatever is left of the Post wishing it had half the spine of a student newspaper

07.08.2025 02:14 β€” πŸ‘ 107    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Climate change
The Big Read. Can the world’s beaches survive a sand shortage?

Climate change The Big Read. Can the world’s beaches survive a sand shortage?

"Sand shortage"

06.08.2025 20:33 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Pointless self-harm to humanity is the common thread here.

Goes for health and vaccine the same way as it goes for climate, US competitiveness, and any number of issues.

06.08.2025 02:23 β€” πŸ‘ 45    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
Chasing a Roadie home through Central Park on my Brompton #newyork #cycling
YouTube video by Gernot Wagner Chasing a Roadie home through Central Park on my Brompton #newyork #cycling

Chasing a roadie down home through Central Park on my Brompton 🚲😎

youtube.com/shorts/8UVWT...

05.08.2025 12:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Brimstone: How one company uses different rocks to make the same cement
YouTube video by Gernot Wagner Brimstone: How one company uses different rocks to make the same cement

If you're on @billmckibben.bsky.social's newsletter, you've already seen the link to the unlisted version.

Latest video now formally up/out: Brimstone's Cody Finke talking cement decarbonization, rather convincingly I might add

youtu.be/55zoqRej9JQ

05.08.2025 09:21 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Tesla board awards $30bn of shares to 'energise and focus' Elon Musk

Tesla board awards $30bn of shares to 'energise and focus' Elon Musk

I'd be energized and focused for half that

05.08.2025 02:42 β€” πŸ‘ 66    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 2

Only a strong, confident organization would celebrate its own defeat like this 😎

03.08.2025 11:30 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 8    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Welp now my post shows up on a general query about a REAL HISTORICAL FACT lmao. Google is cooked

02.08.2025 20:06 β€” πŸ‘ 889    πŸ” 243    πŸ’¬ 24    πŸ“Œ 12

Feels like the sunset of an empire.

02.08.2025 14:46 β€” πŸ‘ 57    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 7    πŸ“Œ 0

COPAFS, we hardly knew you.

Thank you for your service, and to @aeainformation.bsky.social for this quick and clear statement.

02.08.2025 17:29 β€” πŸ‘ 10    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Well, I'm optimistic about about renewables and low-carbon tech.

US competitiveness I that low-carbon world? Sadly not at this rate.

And yes, part of the 'problem': low prices also means low profits.

02.08.2025 14:54 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

@gwagner.com is following 20 prominent accounts