@inpredict.bsky.social
actuary creator of inpredictable.com co-creator of evollve.net
Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl champions
09.02.2026 03:27 — 👍 199 🔁 21 💬 4 📌 5It was a long 1, but absolute coaching malpractice to not go for it there given the game situation.
09.02.2026 02:00 — 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0I'm sorry the guy changing the rules on the fly is named what
07.02.2026 14:34 — 👍 17706 🔁 4451 💬 249 📌 109
The Knicks and the Celtics used to be outliers too, but have now merged with the pack.
05.02.2026 05:23 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Venue effects.
At this point, it's the Rockets, and then there's everyone else. Rebounds are grabbed a second earlier in Houston, compared to the rest of the league.
After dark Wednesday minutiae:
The average time elapsed between a missed shot and a rebound* in the NBA is holding steady at around 2.5 seconds.
*as recorded in the play by play logs
Celebrating the power, progress, and possibility of girls and women in sports today and always 🧡
Happy National Girls and Women in Sports Day!
#NGWSD
PSA for any Marx Brothers fans: Animal Crackers is now in the public domain. You can find a very nicely restored cut on YouTube.
It restores several jokes/gags that were removed from the official released version.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IuN...
I wrote about my childhood friend Alexi Pretti. Please read it and share it and remember him as a human being. @theverge.com
27.01.2026 16:45 — 👍 17321 🔁 6925 💬 503 📌 330
when you first realize that integrating a derivative just turns into a telescoping sum
27.01.2026 17:16 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0That differentiation (finding a tangent line) and integration (calculating area under a curve) turned out to be inverses of each other is one of the cooler plot twists in the history of mathematics.
27.01.2026 16:41 — 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0That was….not a good time for a false start.
20.01.2026 04:05 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Tell me more about “taking the points” after that Mendoza draw.
20.01.2026 03:38 — 👍 166 🔁 5 💬 10 📌 1Dungy in shambles
20.01.2026 03:39 — 👍 257 🔁 14 💬 7 📌 0
Every Caleb Williams play
19.01.2026 02:46 — 👍 3414 🔁 498 💬 10 📌 15🤌🤌🤌
19.01.2026 04:33 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0make them serve ping pong style
16.01.2026 22:59 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Saw Marty Supreme last weekend, and was inspired to do a comp of serving advantage across multiple sports.
Tennis 🎾: it's an advantage to serve
Volleyball 🏐: it's a disadvantage to serve
Table Tennis 🏓: nearly 50/50, based on what limited data I was able to find
The Niners missing that extra point providing a self contained argument for why they should have gone for two.
12.01.2026 00:34 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Has anyone run numbers on when teams should let their opponent score?
What’s the typical TD rate when you’ve got 1st and Goal on the 1?
41. The Crunge - Led Zeppelin
11.01.2026 18:04 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0One of the reasons I like playing around with win probability models is that it's a metric that translates across virtually all sports, allowing for comparisons like these.
11.01.2026 17:59 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Cool study comparing in-game win probability across multiple sports, and which sports stay within the reach the longest.
11.01.2026 17:48 — 👍 7 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0Of course it's the Jets.
10.01.2026 00:55 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Patrick Barron doing the “on pace score” at the same time as this Tweet from Holly
Great work everyone
10.01.2026 00:51 — 👍 155 🔁 13 💬 0 📌 3I don't know if I've ever seen a pick 6 on the 1st play from scrimmage.
10.01.2026 00:52 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 033. Weird Fishes / Arpeggi - Radiohead
34. I Want Candy - Bow Wow Wow
35. Tommy the Cat - Primus
36. Low Rider - War
37. Mixed Bizness - Beck
38. Word Up - Cameo
39. Murder by Numbers - The Police
40. I Don't Care Anymore - Phil Collins
We're up to 40 now:
25. Posters - Dada
26. Sing, Sing, Sing - Benny Goodman
27. My Girl Josephine - Fats Domino
28. I Wanna Be Like You - Louis Prima
29. Umbrella - Rihanna, JAY-Z
30. I'm Walkin' - Fats Domino
31. Plastic - Dan Holmes
32. Poor Tom - Led Zeppelin
