Sebastian Andrew

Neighbourhoods to watch in the NYC Mayoral Election + other US elections Straight off the bat, Zohran Mamdani will be the next mayor of New York City.

Enjoy this preview of some upcoming US elections (including the hotly-anticipated NYC Mayoral Election) and what they can reveal about the future.

open.substack.com/pub/politics...

The Cost of Keeping Out the AfD The growth of the AfD puts Friedrich Merz, the current Chancellor of Germany, in a real pickle.

For German conservatives, keeping the far-right out of power comes at a cost.

Image source: OlafKosinsky_0998 (Wikimedia Commons)
open.substack.com/pub/politics...

'They have learned nothing from this history, preferring instead to constantly take Trump at face value.'

One might be more cynical and suggest that they HAVE learned from history, learned that Project 2025 provokes more clicks if it's actually put into force.

Who would benefit from an expanded parliament? Today’s blog post is inspired by a strange opinion piece in the Nine papers yesterday by former federal Liberal Attorney-General George Brandis. Brandis’ piece (in addition to incorrect…

I hadn't seen George Brandis' op ed about expanding parliament but it is indeed completely false and @benraue.com has kindly saved me the trouble of debunking it www.tallyroom.com.au/62130

Peacemaker 2x6 analysis, and why [spoiler] is really unsettling WARNING: This post contains major spoilers for Peacemaker episode 2x6 '“Ignorance is Chris” and for Season 2 of Peacemaker.

It has been nearly a decade since I wrote about an episode of a show but this one really stuck with me. #Peacemaker
open.substack.com/pub/politics...

I’ve written about media’s double standard in reporting political violence, comparing their wall to wall coverage - and legitimisation - of Charlie Kirk to their muted and quickly forgotten coverage of Melissa Hortman’s assassination. It’s media inequality.

independentaustralia.net/politics/pol...

It fascinates me that young violent white men like Kirk shooter Tyler Robinson and Trump shooter Thomas Crook are described in media as “quiet” and “polite” men, who “spend a lot of time online”. Do you think they’re quiet and polite online when they’re hidden behind an avatar and feel invincible?

Disagree on fixed four-year terms, but absolutely we need more MPs!! Our population has increased by around 83% since the last expansion, our electorates by only around 1%. Hopefully they push through the inevitable brainless backlash and enact this much-needed reform.

"Good people?" what a pathetic response. Make it crystal clear that ANY of the hate on display on Sunday has absolutely no place in Australia.

Well past time to start treating properties as homes rather than an investment. Hope the current government remembers their party's 2019 platform and has the courage to act.

A Growing Alternative They're baaaaack

Enjoy a quick dive into why Germany's far-right is experiencing growing support, and what makes them controversial (if that wasn't already evident)

Part 2 of 4

open.substack.com/pub/politics...

It would be disappointing but not surprising if Alex Antic, the son of a Yugoslavian migrant, was to attend the Adelaide march.

Pro-corruption voters in shambles

*insert clip of Roger Meyers yelling at the kids during audience research*

Europe's Ascendant Far-Right Vote for the Crook, not the Fascist

Where is the European far-right growing, and what baggage do these parties bring? (Part 1 of 4)

politicswithseb.substack.com/p/europes-as...

Whaaaat? You're telling me that the criminal who wants a pardon and/or is terrified of being 'suicided' in prison wouldn't reveal that the one man who could either save or end her life is a pedophile?

SA Politics nerds MUST check out this amazing election tracker by the one and only @anthonyzougras.bsky.social Seriously this guy is like a machine with the amount of coverage he tracks

(and then check out the rest of the blog)

anthonyhistoryrant.blogspot.com/2025/08/sout...

Still cannot understand why Labor, after arguing that for the current government to continue was so bad that a new election was called, would throw a fit and refuse to constructively take any step possible to subvert such an outcome.

I understand that there are state issues that might have caused such a shift (and obviously these are included in the article), is there any likelihood that some of the boost for Labor could be influenced by the recent fed result + fed Labor honeymoon?

Will be watching closely

"Independent", "Liberal", it all ends the same - come 22 March he'll be "unemployed"

If the consequences of the Liberals continuing to hold government were so dire that they had to force an early election, one would think they would be doing everything possible to keep them out?

'Blexas makes it almost impossible for a Republican to win a presidential election. Simple as that.'

Why should Democrats invest in Texas, and why haven't they yet?

https://open.substack.com/pub/politicswithseb/p/realising-the-blexas-dream?r=3h9cwe&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOn...

A rundown of Japanese party politics and a looming election - for beginners, written by a beginner.
https://open.substack.com/pub/politicswithseb/p/another-looming-l-for-the-ldp?r=3h9cwe&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false

In light of the recent election results, thought I'd check in on something I wrote back in 2023. I wonder how things ended up playing out....

Keep an eye out, 2025 election wash-ups will be coming in the near future.

https://open.substack.com/pub/politicswithseb/p/2024-predictions-senate?r=3h9c...

We're all being targeted. Now you know how to find out why (and find out how much the pollies are paying to send ads to your screens)

https://open.substack.com/pub/politicswithseb/p/2024-predictions-senate?r=3h9cwe&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false

As the title says. 10/10, can recommend.
https://open.substack.com/pub/politicswithseb/p/i-went-to-a-ballot-draw-so-you-dont?r=3h9cwe&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false

*OPINION* thoughts on last night's People's Forum.
https://politicswithseb.substack.com/p/opinion-spud-lands-with-a-thud
Image source: The West Australian

Whether it's to the Coalition, to Labor, or to the Crossbench, find out which seats are likeliest to change hands in the upcoming federal election. Image source: ABC News
https://open.substack.com/pub/politicswithseb/p/the-seats-likeliest-to-change-hands?r=3h9cwe&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&...

Forming government in Germany is no easy feat, as the country's next Chancellor will soon discover. Part three of three.
https://open.substack.com/pub/politicswithseb/p/germany-elects-part-iii-coalition?r=3h9cwe&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false