@canalejoalvaro.bsky.social
Postdoctoral researcher at the University of Lucerne. PhD from the European University Institute. Interested in elections, democratic attitudes and digitalization politics. More on https://acanalejo.github.io/
But you can DM me for the PDF ;)
01.12.2025 15:48 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
🗞️ Un placer aportar mi visión sobre la situación política en Italia en este artículo de infoLibre (solo para suscriptores)
Delighted to be quoted in this infoLibre piece (for Spanish speakers) on Italy’s political moment (subscribers only)
tinyurl.com/rdr3dptv
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Name assimilation increases immigrants' earnings A LOT.
osf.io/preprints/so...
With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome?
politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...
Hoy escribo en El Diario sobre los motivos y soluciones a los abusos en la universidad www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
20.11.2025 08:14 — 👍 7 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 1
BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamics of political transparency and accountability, with a focus on democratic responsiveness and the behaviors of incumbents in a democratic setup.
NEW -
Dynamic Democratic Backsliding - https://cup.org/3X48Yzq
"I formulate and test predictions about how different sequences of backsliding shape accountability."
- Eddy S. F. Yeung
#OpenAccess
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
18.11.2025 21:23 — 👍 187 🔁 83 💬 3 📌 25
A table showing profit margins of major publishers. A snippet of text related to this table is below. 1. The four-fold drain 1.1 Money Currently, academic publishing is dominated by profit-oriented, multinational companies for whom scientific knowledge is a commodity to be sold back to the academic community who created it. The dominant four are Elsevier, Springer Nature, Wiley and Taylor & Francis, which collectively generated over US$7.1 billion in revenue from journal publishing in 2024 alone, and over US$12 billion in profits between 2019 and 2024 (Table 1A). Their profit margins have always been over 30% in the last five years, and for the largest publisher (Elsevier) always over 37%. Against many comparators, across many sectors, scientific publishing is one of the most consistently profitable industries (Table S1). These financial arrangements make a substantial difference to science budgets. In 2024, 46% of Elsevier revenues and 53% of Taylor & Francis revenues were generated in North America, meaning that North American researchers were charged over US$2.27 billion by just two for-profit publishers. The Canadian research councils and the US National Science Foundation were allocated US$9.3 billion in that year.
A figure detailing the drain on researcher time. 1. The four-fold drain 1.2 Time The number of papers published each year is growing faster than the scientific workforce, with the number of papers per researcher almost doubling between 1996 and 2022 (Figure 1A). This reflects the fact that publishers’ commercial desire to publish (sell) more material has aligned well with the competitive prestige culture in which publications help secure jobs, grants, promotions, and awards. To the extent that this growth is driven by a pressure for profit, rather than scholarly imperatives, it distorts the way researchers spend their time. The publishing system depends on unpaid reviewer labour, estimated to be over 130 million unpaid hours annually in 2020 alone (9). Researchers have complained about the demands of peer-review for decades, but the scale of the problem is now worse, with editors reporting widespread difficulties recruiting reviewers. The growth in publications involves not only the authors’ time, but that of academic editors and reviewers who are dealing with so many review demands. Even more seriously, the imperative to produce ever more articles reshapes the nature of scientific inquiry. Evidence across multiple fields shows that more papers result in ‘ossification’, not new ideas (10). It may seem paradoxical that more papers can slow progress until one considers how it affects researchers’ time. While rewards remain tied to volume, prestige, and impact of publications, researchers will be nudged away from riskier, local, interdisciplinary, and long-term work. The result is a treadmill of constant activity with limited progress whereas core scholarly practices – such as reading, reflecting and engaging with others’ contributions – is de-prioritized. What looks like productivity often masks intellectual exhaustion built on a demoralizing, narrowing scientific vision.
A table of profit margins across industries. The section of text related to this table is below: 1. The four-fold drain 1.1 Money Currently, academic publishing is dominated by profit-oriented, multinational companies for whom scientific knowledge is a commodity to be sold back to the academic community who created it. The dominant four are Elsevier, Springer Nature, Wiley and Taylor & Francis, which collectively generated over US$7.1 billion in revenue from journal publishing in 2024 alone, and over US$12 billion in profits between 2019 and 2024 (Table 1A). Their profit margins have always been over 30% in the last five years, and for the largest publisher (Elsevier) always over 37%. Against many comparators, across many sectors, scientific publishing is one of the most consistently profitable industries (Table S1). These financial arrangements make a substantial difference to science budgets. In 2024, 46% of Elsevier revenues and 53% of Taylor & Francis revenues were generated in North America, meaning that North American researchers were charged over US$2.27 billion by just two for-profit publishers. The Canadian research councils and the US National Science Foundation were allocated US$9.3 billion in that year.
The costs of inaction are plain: wasted public funds, lost researcher time, compromised scientific integrity and eroded public trust. Today, the system rewards commercial publishers first, and science second. Without bold action from the funders we risk continuing to pour resources into a system that prioritizes profit over the advancement of scientific knowledge.
We wrote the Strain on scientific publishing to highlight the problems of time & trust. With a fantastic group of co-authors, we present The Drain of Scientific Publishing:
a 🧵 1/n
Drain: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820
Strain: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
Oligopoly: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...
How are contemporary cleavage structures stabilized in times of declining mass social and political organizations?
In this new paper with @davidattewell6.bsky.social @bjpols.bsky.social, we suggest that homogeneous social (educational) networks provide part of the answer.
tinyurl.com/49cs8jwp
📄 New WP version out - full overhaul!
The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social )
Comments welcome!
🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
Share widely with your students in Switzerland 🇨🇭thinking about a PhD @eui-eu.bsky.social
𝗢𝗻𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗲 𝗘𝗨𝗜 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗽 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗸 🇨🇭
21 Nov 2025 | 2:30pm CET
@alissasiara.bsky.social introduces the program & life at EUI, I share my experience, and we answer your questions.
👉 Register: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...
Screenshot of title page.
I’m happy to see this short paper with @fluegeldo.bsky.social on unexpected hikes in voting costs out in @thejop.bsky.social !
doi.org/10.1086/739405
[1/5]
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
🧲 We are hiring!
✨ PhD position to join @dec-gr.bsky.social
🏁 4-year FPI contract
🎓 Pol Sci / Social Sci background + Master’s + English
📧 Send expression of interest with CV and motivation letter to gr.dec@uab.cat
🔗 tinyurl.com/yc3epmv2
Today is the day 🎁
The #dsa regime for researchers to get access to platform data to study societal impact and risks starts TODAY.
This has been a loooooong time coming. And the proof of the pudding will be in the eating …
#dataaccess #commsky
digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/news/new-...
Now out in Party Politics 🎉
Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
🚨 New piece out at @thejop.bsky.social w awesome @cvargiu.bsky.social & D Garzia
If incivility means breaking norms, & norms are person- and context-dependent, *does incivility even exist*?
In the stage-2 registered report we investigate what drives perceptions of incivility
tinyurl.com/4h5u4y8y
🚨 New paper out!
Very happy to see our (Tom Arend, @fabioellger.bsky.social and mine) paper out at the @bjpols.bsky.social.
We explore how voters react to new, disruptive political actors.
1/3
Every academic career is built on rejection, but we don’t show it.
CVs list publications, grants & awards, not rejected manuscripts, unfunded proposals, or failures.
But those invisible rejections shape us more than our successes ever do.
👉 catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/fail-bette...
🧵
Over the moon to see this paper out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social David Willumsen and I look at coalition agreements in the Netherlands. We show that the greater the share of negotiating parties that agree on a policy the more likely it ends up in the agreement www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
09.10.2025 10:01 — 👍 27 🔁 8 💬 3 📌 2Really excited that after several years of working on it, revising, and getting lots of rejections, our paper (w/ Rune Stubager & Mads Thau) on citizens’ responses to group appeals is *finally* out @ejprjournal.bsky.social
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
A 🧵 on our findings...
🚨 New paper 🚨
Sexually explicit deepfakes 🤖 hurt politicians on almost all fronts...
This is the case ***even*** when people realized the image wasn't real 🤯, and effects are stronger for male 👨 than female 👩 candidates
Link to preprint: tinyurl.com/pnnkhfks
Thank you so much for the space @uniluzern.bsky.social & @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social for the invite ✨
I’ll be presenting the work I’ve been developing at the nccr-on the move at the University of Neuchâtel on refugees political mobilization, if you’re around, let’s get a coffee ☕️ 💫
You can fool some of the people some of the time, but as campaigns unfold, you can fool fewer of the people.
New paper w/ Derek Beach and Jannik Fenger on framing effects out in @ejprjournal.bsky.social
Open Access: doi.org/10.1017/S147...
03.10.2025 07:16 — 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
🎓 Excited to share this term’s PoliSci Brown Bag seminar @uniluzern.bsky.social !
✨ Small dept = lively discussions
🙌 Thanks to this great line-up (80% women!): @erendiraleonsa.bsky.social @denisetraber.bsky.social @elivolpi.bsky.social @silviaporciuleanu.bsky.social
📍 Around Lucerne? Join us!
Fantástico! Enhorabuena Quique!!
02.10.2025 13:41 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0📢 Call open!
We are hiring a Postdoctoral Researcher for the EU-funded project TaCT-FoRSED, which studies how conspiracy theories affect democratic attitudes.
ℹ️ Info: tauler.seu-e.cat/detall?idEns...
🔗 Application: seleccio.uab.cat/seleccio/log...
I had the pleasure to teach a 3-day crash course on #LLMs for PhD students.
We covered:
1️⃣ Text Representation and Embeddings
2️⃣ Machine Learning & Transformer Architecture
3️⃣ Generative Models for Social Sciences
The 6 slide sets and 10 notebooks are available on github: github.com/nicolaiberk/...
