Ferry Biedermann

Europe’s populist wave is set to continue If that happens both in Czechia and the Netherlands, some might see it as a sign that the populist wave has crested

The current right-wing #populism thrives on promoting hatred, both towards vulnerable minorities and elites, and then crying wolf when called out on it - By
@ferrybiedermann.bsky.social
tomorrowsaffairs.com/europes-popu...

Europe’s populist wave is set to continue If that happens both in Czechia and the Netherlands, some might see it as a sign that the populist wave has crested

Even if they don’t get to govern everywhere right now, Europe’s populists are still on the rise… my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Has Trump shored up the Middle East’s creaking Pax Americana? The question is how far Netanyahu government will go in provoking the Arab governments and whether the Trump administration will do anything to rein him in

Trump appears to have engaged in a damage-limitation exercise aimed at Arab and Muslim leaders - By
@ferrybiedermann.bsky.social
tomorrowsaffairs.com/has-trump-sh...
#dohaattack #Israel #Egypt

Has Trump shored up the Middle East’s creaking Pax Americana? The question is how far Netanyahu government will go in provoking the Arab governments and whether the Trump administration will do anything to rein him in

Can the US still be trusted to underwrite the Middle East’s creaking Pax Americana? My latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Is Europe overplaying its weakness? There is blood in the geopolitical water, and the sharks are circling to tear pieces off a floundering Europe

There is blood in the geopolitical water, and the sharks are circling to tear pieces off a floundering Europe - By
@ferrybiedermann.bsky.social
tomorrowsaffairs.com/is-europe-ov...
#UkraineWar

Despite a win for the left, Norway’s elections point right Norway’s elections fit more in the narrative of the inexorable rise of the European right and the decline of the centre, rather than offering encouragement to the left

Norwegian Labour’s resurrection might offer hope to left and centre parties elsewhere currently languishing in polls that are led by the far-right - By @ferrybiedermann.bsky.social
tomorrowsaffairs.com/despite-a-wi...
#Norway #election2025

Despite a win for the left, Norway’s elections point right Norway’s elections fit more in the narrative of the inexorable rise of the European right and the decline of the centre, rather than offering encouragement to the left

If the left can just about hang on in wealthy Norway, what are its chances elsewhere? My latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Effectiveness of migration crackdowns becomes political football Harsh migration measures offer no solution to the much bigger questions of our time. They do not address the West’s demographic decline, nor its need for foreign labour

Muscular migration controls are having their day - My latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

France’s political chaos reflects growing European instability France’s power-sharing periods have been significantly more stable than the gridlock of the past three years

C’est le bordel, as they say in France… my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Will Hezbollah disarmament drive Lebanon to the brink (again)? While this might look promising from an American point of view, favouring regional realignment, it is likely to present a serious danger of disruption in Lebanon

Lebanon, still caught between so many rocks and hard places - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

The EU’s Serbian shame The EU cannot afford to let slide the kind of rule of law, democratic and foreign policy and security provocations that Vučić is getting away with

Is the EU dropping the ball in Serbia? - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Towards an EU-US ‘woke AI’ tech war? EU regulation appears to be more about protecting its principles and standards rather than industry. For this US administration, that is as much a target as anything else

How Trump’s ‘woke AI’ order is a shot across the bow for EU regulation- my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Spectre of Hamas haunts UN two-state conference The two-state conference has one thing right, it will take a political approach to break the deadlock in Gaza

The elephant in the conference room - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Do Syria’s clashes with the Druze foreshadow confrontation with the Kurds? Syria is flanked by unenviable examples on all sides that show how terribly wrong things can go when one group tries to impose its dominance over the others

Syria’s still uncertain sectarian future - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

1/3 of EU budget still goes to farm subsidies.
📊 Defense, tech & debt needs are rising.
🏛️ Brussels must rethink priorities—but farmers are pushing back hard.

A defining battle for Europe’s future is underway: tomorrowsaffairs.com/the-eus-shif... By
@ferrybiedermann.bsky.social

The EU’s shifting budget demands spell increased farmers’ protests However unfair farmers might regard the various pressures on them, the EU will have to redirect money both inside the CAP and away from it to its other priorities

Expect years of big farmers’ protests as the EU finally tackles subsidies - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Starmer and Macron sweep Brexit under the carpet Both Starmer and Macron have been trying to project an image of business as usual, of purpose and determination in the face of many challenges

Starmer and Macron sweep Brexit under the Bayeux carpet, sorry, tapestry - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

There are no “ironclad” defence commitments, even within the EU What is certain is that Europe’s role as a global power, already doubtful now, will have been given a decisive blow

As NATO faces global tests, the deeper threat may be within Europe itself: political fragmentation, far-right surges, and sovereign-first mentalities that undermine unity and trust.

👇 Analysis by
@ferrybiedermann.bsky.social

🔗 tomorrowsaffairs.com/there-are-no...

There are no “ironclad” defence commitments, even within the EU What is certain is that Europe’s role as a global power, already doubtful now, will have been given a decisive blow

European defence is a misnomer. As political polarisation grows, how willing will even EU members be to fight for each other? My latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Israel-Iran: towards a worse muddle? The current action is bound to result in another tense stand-off that can presumably only be altered by Iran’s ‘total surrender’ on the nuclear issue or regime collapse

The likelihood of Iran giving in to Benjamin Netanyahu’s and Donald Trump’s demands for a full surrender, at least on the nuclear issue, is low - By @ferrybiedermann.bsky.social tomorrowsaffairs.com/israel-iran-...

Israel-Iran: towards a worse muddle? The current action is bound to result in another tense stand-off that can presumably only be altered by Iran’s ‘total surrender’ on the nuclear issue or regime collapse

Israel-Iran, no way out of the muddle - my latest for
@tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Inflection point: AI in warfare and everywhere AI is being developed in a hyper-capitalist moment, with little eye for social context. Value extraction is everything, equity almost doesn’t enter the equation

AI is being developed in a hyper-capitalist moment, with little eye for social context and benefit. Value extraction is everything, equity almost doesn’t enter the equation. Can this end well? – By @ferrybiedermann.bsky.social tomorrowsaffairs.com/inflection-p...

Inflection point: AI in warfare and everywhere AI is being developed in a hyper-capitalist moment, with little eye for social context. Value extraction is everything, equity almost doesn’t enter the equation

We’re living through an AI inflection point and, as ChatGPT says, no one is really in charge - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Geert Wilders: the fall of an extremist Hard right populists can get thrown out of power – just look at the Netherlands

The end of the sock puppet show that called itself the government of the Netherlands- my latest for @theneweuropean.bsky.social

Europe’s faltering centrist restoration The radical-right core has been growing for decades across the democratic world and cannot be wished away anymore by centrists and those left of centre

Europe, like much of the rest of the world, is way off kilter, with far-right blocs exerting growing and long-term influence - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Europe’s faltering centrist restoration The radical-right core has been growing for decades across the democratic world and cannot be wished away anymore by centrists and those left of centre

The hard-right has shown that it can gain popularity, rather than lose it, in the countries where it is in power – By @ferrybiedermann.bsky.social tomorrowsaffairs.com/europes-falt...

Europe’s migration debate up while numbers down It’s very unlikely that the tougher approaches that are being implemented now will be effective should there be new forces pushing migrants in Europe’s direction

Europe’s migration debate flares up again as the far-right flexes its muscles - my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Europe pays increasing price for climate change Climate stress, such as the current drought in northern Europe, has become a daily background buzz

A very dry spring causes early climate stress in Europe this year, and we don’t even know yet what the summer will bring… my latest for @tmrwsaffairs.bsky.social

Europe pays increasing price for climate change Climate stress, such as the current drought in northern Europe, has become a daily background buzz

Even now, when parts of Europe are suffering from possibly one of the worst droughts since records began, the EU is considering steps to further appease farmers and reduce the impact of environmental policies on them – By @ferrybiedermann.bsky.social tomorrowsaffairs.com/europe-pays-...

Trump and Netanyahu, still a lethal double act The Americans will in the end back Israel to the hilt, particularly this like-minded administration. The rest is just for show

If there is new American thinking on the Middle East, it might be gleaned from how the US approaches other regions. It has made clear both in Asia and in Europe that it expects local allies to do the heavy lifting - By @ferrybiedermann.bsky.social tomorrowsaffairs.com/trump-and-ne...