@stybb.bsky.social
I post sports stats, mostly FPL and football based. Maybe the odd prediction.
Our #FPL model did well this week. Up to 700k, so gradually trending upwards!
04.02.2026 17:29 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Thiago Foden out. Fernandes and Pedro in. Subs / captaincy is a bit tricky. First time not captaining Haaland?
Ready to get hurt again.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: MIDs
The lower of the two Semenyos is the "real" one. Need to find a way to filter out old transfers.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: GKs
Pickford still marginally leading the xP race here. Sanchez the obvious form pick.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: FWDs
Joao Pedro being the stand out for the next 5 fixtures here. Will he out perform Thiago?
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: DEFs
Chelsea and Arsenal picks lead the way here. Don't know how to feel about Palace at the moment with their upheaval.
We scraped a passable #FPL score this week, but the triple captain gamble is going to hurt us long run. Still in the top 1 mil, let's see if the model can help us counter my terrible decision making.
30.01.2026 10:35 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
:(
24.01.2026 20:53 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Oh dear what have I done #FPL. If Haaland and Bruno dont play ill be sad.
24.01.2026 13:38 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
#FPl form is temporary. Class and bad defences are permanent. Triple captaining Haaland when most won't be:
24.01.2026 10:45 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
#FPL team for this week. Grealish -> Garner to free up some funds for Fernandes next week.
24.01.2026 09:15 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: DEFs
Arsenal suspects, Tarkowski, Chalobah the pick from Chelsea. Model doesn't see Guehi as a man city player yet - would be over the far left with hard fixtures.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: FWDs.
Thiago to Pedro looks like a 0 cost move for the next 5 fixtures. Bowen's unspectacular returns still have a chance to payoff in the next 3 game weeks.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: MIDs.
Enzo the Chelsea pick. The real Semenyo is the leftmost one. Schade an interesting shout, trying to position the team to get Fernandes in after this week facing Arsenal.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: GKs
Pickford at the top of the xP charts, but Sanchez with crazy fixtures - expect Chelsea players to all be like this with their crazy upcoming run starting with a melting Crystal Palace.
(N.B the model does not factor in melting)
An average week last week in #FPL, but it saw us jump back up into the top 1 mil - I guess the template team didn't do so well:
23.01.2026 11:47 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Just the one #FPL change here. Gabriel in for Calafiori. Holidng on to the 3 ManU players for the wolves game. Waiting for Bruno's fixtures to turn before putting him back in.
10.01.2026 10:03 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: GKs.
A number of good options if you want to change your GK right now. Plenty at the top end of the xP per 90.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: FWDs.
Who is Taty? West hams new forward - only one game of data so be wary even if they have "good" fixtures coming up. Hopefully doesn't impact Bowen's minutes.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: DEFs.
Guehi and Tarkowski catching the Arsenal defenders in xP per 90. CRY fixtures about to get tasty too.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: MIDs.
CARE - the model still counts Semenyo as a Bournemouth player here - he should be at the same y axis but above Foden on the x axis. January tranfers cause havoc with the model for a couple of weeks.
Also Fernandes time again?
Midweek mediocrity got us slightly above average #FPL score. New signings doing well though. Got to stop pinning my hopes on Caliafiori returning I think.
09.01.2026 13:51 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
A good week this week. 600k for the #FPL week gets us into the top 1 mil. Improved model starting off well.
06.01.2026 16:09 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 02 out of 3 #FPL transfers hauling isnt too bad from us!
04.01.2026 19:03 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
#FPL Transfers this week. Pickford frees us up an arsenal slot. Taking advantage of the West ham and Newcaslte fixtures with Bowen and Bruno.
Feel like I'll get the bench selection wrong anyway.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: MIDs
Injured Bruno and transfer doubt Semenyo lead the way. Newcaslte look the best pick for favourable fixtures even after the Burnley game.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: FWDs.
Woltemade / Bowen good shouts for differentials over the next few weeks. When Palace's fixtures turn I expect Mateta comes back in for another run in the FPL team
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: GKs.
Pickford back to his position as pick of the bunch with favourable fixtures and Raya actually conceding a few goals.
#FPL Expected Points v Opponent Strength: DEFs.
With Arsenal in a tough run of fixtures, Everton and Spurs offer some relief. Newcastle don't have many fit high scoring defenders to currently call on.
Average #FPL scores over Christmas. But in big news we are back with New and Improved graphs!
Nothing too fancy, still easy to understand - it just now separates out home and away form which hopefully leads to better predictions in 2026. Graphs to follow today!
