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Olmo

@omhays.bsky.social

Came here almost exclusively for FPL, but then Orange Man II happened. Still mainly FPL, but there will be some politics and other societal stuff in the mix. Coming from ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ, stopping Putin from invading neighbours is kinda close.

717 Followers  |  1,082 Following  |  6,265 Posts  |  Joined: 21.11.2024  |  2.1439

Latest posts by omhays.bsky.social on Bluesky

๐Ÿ˜‚

10.10.2025 17:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ˜‚ An excellent point you make there, sir! ๐Ÿ˜‚

10.10.2025 17:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

(dgmw, I'm on WC8 to BB9 and he doesn't have a part in mine, but I get why he would in others')

10.10.2025 17:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

BB9 would be a reason for a few of them

10.10.2025 17:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Listened to bsky.app/profile/whog... guest-starring @analyticf.pl today and I think models like DCL - and I understand that. Models don't carry the burden of experiences past..

10.10.2025 17:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Spotify โ€“ Web Player

๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŒ๐ŸŽง The Weekender ep.8

This week with @davidihunter.bsky.social
๐Ÿ”น๏ธWhat's wrong with Liverpool?
๐Ÿ”น๏ธRussell Martin's spell @ Rangers
๐Ÿ”น๏ธScotland's win v Greece
๐Ÿ”น๏ธOverview of World Cup Qualifying
๐Ÿ”น๏ธEngland's victory v Wales & Tuchel' 'silent Wembley' comments
open.spotify.com/episode/5tkt...

10.10.2025 11:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Who Got The Assist? FPL Podcast: Analytick Boxes | FPL IB 2 with Simon FPL Analytic Analytick Boxes | FPL IB 2 with Simon FPL AnalyticContinuing our series of international break guest episodes, this time Simon is back to join Sam & Tom to cast his analytical lens over a few areas...

Analytick Boxes | #FPL IB2 with @analyticf.pl
Si joins @fplpricey.bsky.social & I to cast an eye through the changing fortunes of key men this season, the analytic view of defcon, the next bloc of 4 fixtures and Sam's wildcard on a tangent full IB chat ๐Ÿง๐Ÿงฎ
pod.fo/e/33916e

07.10.2025 22:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 16    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Dan Roan and BBC Sport have run an article about mental health featuring Anthony Taylor.

The replies on social media are predictable and this isn't said enough:

If you think Taylor or any other referee's performance has any bearing on their right to exist well or at all, you need help.

10.10.2025 14:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Preview
1xBet announces exclusive partnership with ATP Challenger Tour - GGRAsia Global betting company 1xBet says it has โ€œan exclusive partnership agreement with international menโ€™s tennis tournaments under the auspices of the ATP Challenger Tourโ€, presented by the Association of...

The world's number one illegal sports betting platform, already a sponsor of PSG, Barcelona, FIBA, CAF, etc etc ad nauseam, signs yet another partnership - and with a Tour known to be a favourite playing ground for match-fixers. Nobody gives a fuck anymore it seems.
www.ggrasia.com/1xbet-announ...

10.10.2025 15:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 8    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
Preview
We know what the comedians got out of the Riyadh comedy festival. What about the Saudi regime? | Jonathan Liew The tawdry event was an ultimately doomed attempt by the Saudi government to buy the kind of authentic grassroots culture it is unwilling to countenance, says Guardian columnist Jonathan Liew

a column on the brave, brave comedians who went to saudi arabia and told jokes about gay people and women drivers

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

10.10.2025 11:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 86    ๐Ÿ” 20    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

I appreciate the betting tip though ๐Ÿ˜œ

10.10.2025 12:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Tomorrow ๐Ÿ™‚

10.10.2025 11:43 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I either don't get a message or don't see it as the app just suddenly closes

10.10.2025 11:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Suomi mainittu! Torille! ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ

10.10.2025 10:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
What Is Expected Goals (xG)? | Opta Analyst Expected goals (or xG) measures the quality of a chance by calculating the likelihood it will be scored by using historical shot information.

Say there's a 10-minute period with an outfielder in goal and that results in 2 low-xG goals, or a very high-xG chance because the gk dropped a cross to the feet of a forward, that's noise.

Here's an Opta article on their model from 2023. Also partly answers the baseline question.

10.10.2025 10:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

xG is much more accurate in reviewing and predicting long-term performance than a single match or chance, because the smaller the sample size, the more noise there is.

10.10.2025 10:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Post image

Most of the โ€œexpectedโ€ data content you see is still misleading, even in GW7.

It ignores context like fixture difficulty, game state, red cards, penalties, finishing, etc.

This model view adds that context back in, giving you a clearer picture of change in performance levels.

10.10.2025 09:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Android btw

10.10.2025 07:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I feel like this may have started happening after I modelled my (now only) draft up to around GW17. Think there could be anything to it, like the draft got too "heavy" (phone is old, maybe that's part of it)? Is deleting the draft the answer? ๐Ÿฅฒ

10.10.2025 07:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hi, Peter! My app's kept crashing for about a week now. Sometimes almost immediately after I start it, sometimes after playing around for a bit. I've tried deleting and reinstalling it and all that. Any idea of the potential cause, any ideas on how to fix?

10.10.2025 07:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

All I can say is from the random likes on random replies to random posts by accts that have no apparent connection to the topic at hand but have many an emoji in the name/bio, there are bots, yes. Whether there's a problem I can't say.

09.10.2025 22:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I'll be honest, "decisive" isn't in the top 10 words that come to mind about prez DJT. But what do I know.

09.10.2025 19:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nice to see Walta being noticed. That said, he'll be a key player to the Finnish NT for years to come, and I really want him to stay in Europe - ceiling is much higher than MLS, and the path to the top 5 leagues is a lot clearer up the tiers in Europe.

09.10.2025 15:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Hi mate, are we entering Fixture Crush territory any time soon?

09.10.2025 12:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#GW7 โ€” GW22

๐Ÿฆ Premier League
๐Ÿงƒ Carabao Cup ๐Ÿ† FA Cup
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ European midweeks
โœˆ๏ธ International Breaks
๐ŸŒ AFCON (5FT top up GW16)

#theFPLmatrix ๐Ÿ’š๐Ÿ’›โค๏ธ

01.10.2025 20:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I don't mind selling him in 4-5 weeks. Their fixtures 8-12 are arguably the best in the league, and in Palmer's and Delap's absence (Delap's because JP is worse as a 9) I think Enzo is the best attacker in that team.

09.10.2025 11:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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You may have inferred that, but it wasn't clear as in we know it for a fact.

09.10.2025 11:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

No, he was at the "we're going to have a meeting" stage

09.10.2025 11:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Palmer wasn't ruled out for weeks, and Chelsea had Liverpool next 1 GW ago

09.10.2025 10:19 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

On WC myself and Enzo is in, but I'm now considering dropping Sarr and not ruling out Caicedo to replace.

09.10.2025 10:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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