llinois is one of the heaviest 3 pt shooting teams in the nation (almost half of takes are 3s) and Ohio St holds teams under 29% from out there. Ohio St covers the 6.5.
02.02.2025 14:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0@modelsbetting.bsky.social
Statistics nerd. I use data modeling to make predictions and gamble with them. College football and basketball, along with NFL and MLB. Might add more when I get bored. Pics are purely for attention. No, I don't know the models.
llinois is one of the heaviest 3 pt shooting teams in the nation (almost half of takes are 3s) and Ohio St holds teams under 29% from out there. Ohio St covers the 6.5.
02.02.2025 14:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0NCAA Basketball 2/2
Sunday - Early
Ohio St +6.5
Memphis -10.5
Belmont -11.5
Manhattan +2.5
Robert Morris +2.5
Tulsa +9.5
Furman +3
Quinnipiac -6
Fairfield +7
Cincinnati -5
Purdue Ft Wayne +3.5
South Florida +8
St. Peter's-3.5
Season: 214-217
NCAA Basketball 2/1
Saturday Night
Kentucky -9.5
Washington St +5
Notre Dame -7.5
South Carolina +5.5
UConn +6
Nevada -4.5
Utah St -4.5
Gonzaga -1.5
Season: 196-199
NCAA Basketball 2/1
Saturday 6PM
North Carolina +14
Texas Tech +10
Texas -1.5
SMU -5.5
Season: 196-199
NCAA Basketball 2/1
Saturday 4PM
Georgia +12.5
BYU +1.5
Michigan St -4
Liberty -3
Baylor -2.5
Virginia -3.5
George Mason -1.5
Season: 196-199
NCAA Basketball 2/1
Saturday 2PM
New Mexico St +3
Louisville -8.5
Oklahoma -2.5
Oklahoma St -1
Auburn -5.5
St. Joe's -1.5
Iowa St -14.5
Temple -2.5
Wisconsin -2.5
Middle Tennessee -4.5
Michigan -5.5
Season: 196-199
NCAA Basketball 2/1
Saturday Noon
Pitt +2
St. Joe's -13
Tennessee -4
Missouri +6.5
Clemson -5.5
Arizona -6.5
Villanova -2.5
Season: 196-199
NCAA Basketball 1/31
Friday Night
Niagara -3.5
Iona -1.5
Purdue -11.5
Georgetown -3.5
Columbia -2.5
Brown +1.5
St. Peter's -1
Mount St Marys +9
Qunnipiac -12
Dayton +2
Marist -5.5
Yale -2
Dartmouth +10.5
Akron +3.5
Season: 191-191
Ducks Donβt Give a Damn About Your Home Court β Oregonβs 4-1 on the road, which means they show up in your house and raid the fridge. Plus, they're 3-0 ATS as underdogs. Take them +4.5 along with...
Northridge -1
Grand Canyon -9.5
Tulane +7.5
#GamblingX
Nebraska has been Illinoisβ punching bag for a while nowβnine straight Ls. Thatβs not a rivalry; thatβs an execution on repeat. Nebraska has no counter for Kasparas Jakucionis. Take Illinois -3.5 along with...
Penn St -2.5
New Mexico St +7.5
UTEP +3.5
San Diego St +3
NCAA Basketball 1/29
Wednesday Night Late
Texas +6
Utah St -10.5
Nevada +6.5
St. Marys -4
Miss St +1.5
SMU -10.5
Northwestern -6.5
Illinois St -2.5
Ole Miss -5.5
Stanford -9.5
Season: 178-174
NCAA Basketball 1/29
Wednesday Night Early
Virginia Tech +10.5
North Texas -4.5
Ill-Chicago +8.5
Texas Tech -14
Oklahoma St +7.5
Xavier +6
ETSU +1.5
UConn -14.5
Duquesne +9
Loy-Chicago +7.5
Wisconsin +5.5
Auburn -12.5
Houston -8
Season: 178-174
NCAA Basketball 1/28
Tuesday Night Late
San Diego St -14.5
BYU -3.5
Notre Dame -8.5
Pitt -3.5
Arizona St -2
Texas A&M -8.5
Gonzaga -13.5
Season: 170-166
NCAA Basketball 1/28
Tuesday Night Early
Georgia -7.5
St. John's -4.5
Providence -3
VCU -5.5
Minnesota +12.5
Marquette-7.5
St. Bonaventure +2.5
Kansas -13
Tennessee -9.5
Season: 170-166
5-3 day, feels nice to get back on the winning side.
Would have felt even better if Arizona didn't make a hail mary against Iowa St to force OT.
β
οΈ UCLA
β
οΈ Penn St
β
οΈ Texas A&M - CC
β
οΈ UL Monroe
β
οΈ NC State
NCAA Basketball 1/27
Monday Night
Penn State +8.5
NC State +21.5
UL Monroe +13.5
Iowa +8.5
Texas A&M-CC +7.5
Troy -11
Iowa St +1
UCLA -1
Season: 165-163
The Eagles' biggest strength is their pass rush. They'll get to Daniels by sending only 4. This is an issue for the Commanders since the whole offense is centered around protecting their rookie QB. Eagles -6.
26.01.2025 19:26 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0NCAA Basketball 1/26
Later Games
Navy +2.5
Tulsa +5.5
Wagner +2.5
Fairleigh Dickinson +3.5
Texas Tech -17.5
Florida Atlantic +8.5
Northwestern +8.5
Season: 160-155
Wisconsin has some slight edges in shooting, but Nebraska is going to disrupt everything. They have superior turnover numbers and will use those steals to keep this game within the 7.5.
26.01.2025 14:25 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0NCAA Basketball 1/26
Earlier Games
Nebraska +7.5
Central Connecticut -15.5
UAB +8.5
Duquesne -2.5
Maryland -2.5
Long Island -2.5
Season: 160-155
I spy with my little eye two underdogs who are getting an overwhelming percentage of the betting action without the lines budging at all.
Eagles -6
Chiefs -1.5
There was not a lot to celebrate yesterday, but this was a nifty 6-2 run right around dinner time!
βοΈ Missouri
βοΈ Oregon St
βοΈ Troy
βοΈ Houston
βοΈ Notre Dame
βοΈ Louisiana Tech
Tennessee sure didn't win, but they looked really good with the cover.
β
οΈ Tennessee
β
οΈ LSU
β
οΈ Oklahoma
β
οΈ San Diego St
NCAA Basketball 1/25
8PM Games
UConn +1.5
St. Marys -6
Tennessee +6.5
LSU +18
Oklahoma +4
San Diego St +2.5
Cincinnati +7
Season: 143-135
I am 100% hot trash today, I'd fade everything on here
NCAA Basketball 1/25
6PM Games
Mizzou -3
West Va +2.5
Oregon St -3
Troy -4
Houston -1
Notre Dame -2
Louisiana Tech -3.5
Florida St +4.5
Ole Miss plays physical D, but the home crowd will get Missouri to the line often. Take Mizzou -3
Season: 143-135
NCAA Basketball 1/25
4PM Games
Oregon -4
TCU +4
Murray St -4
Butler -5.5
Duke -11
Baylor -2.5
Virginia Tech +8.5
Baylor is better in every aspect of the game. Shooting, defense, turnovers, you name it. Utah only has home court advantage, which won't be enough.
Season: 143-135
NCAA Basketball 1/25
2PM Games
Arizona St +9.5
Bradley -8.5
Rhode Island -1
Boston College +19
Kentucky -2
Texas A&M +1
Colorado +15.5
New Mexico -3
Georgia +10.5
Kentucky is better on the glass, at forcing turnovers and forcing bad shots. Lay the 2.
Season: 143-135
NCAA Basketball 1/25
Noon Games
NC State +3
Georgetown +1.5
Pitt -7.5
South Carolina +7
Michigan State -5.5
Seton Hall +15.5
Seton turns the ball over a lot, but Creightons style doesn't take advantage of that. Furthermore, Seton hits the offensive boards enough to keep it close.
Season: 143-135
UCSB +10.5
Too many points to give. UCSB's shooting and rebounding edge keeps this tight.
App State +6.5
Defense wins, and App Stateβs got it. Arkansas Stateβs turnovers? A liability. Free points for App State.