Elizabeth Baisley

📁 In addition to the reviewers and editors, thanks to the data management and copyright experts at Queen's who helped us navigate technical and ethical challenges.

💰 Grateful for financial support from the @queenspols.bsky.social.

🙏 Huge thanks to our incredible research assistants—Janica Arevalo, Harry Blackwell, Kate Burke Pellizzari, Kaitie Jourdeuil, Sarah Malik, and Maddy Ritter—for their careful coding.

📣 Excited to share a new dataset article with @qalbaugh.bsky.social in @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social!

🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ We identify 176 out LGBTQ2S+ candidates in the 2015, 2019 & 2021 Canadian federal elections using a replicable search procedure based on individual candidate searches.

Logo of CJPS-RCSP with the hashtag OpenAccess on a blue background.

#OpenAccess from @cjps-rcsp.bsky.social -

A New Dataset Identifying LGBTQ2S+ Candidates in Canadian Federal Elections - https://cup.org/43dVFj3

- @kebaisley.bsky.social & @qalbaugh.bsky.social

#FirstView

🙏 Huge thanks to our incredible research assistants—Janica Arevalo, Harry Blackwell, Kate Burke Pellizzari, Kaitie Jourdeuil, Sarah Malik, and Maddy Ritter—for their careful coding.

Just out at JOP (www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....) : Why do so few working-class people hold office? It's not lack of interest. Noam Lupu and I ran 10 surveys in 8 countries and found no evidence of a social class gap in how often qualified people consider running.

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LGBTQ2S+ representation in Parliament is declining. What can we do? | Xtra Magazine Research shows fewer queer and trans people hold political power in Canada, and those who do represent fewer political perspectives

Fewer LGBTQ2S+ people hold positions of political power in Canada, and those who do represent a narrower range of political perspectives, according to research by @qalbaugh.bsky.social and @kebaisley.bsky.social.

This work was made possible with funding from @queenspols.bsky.social and fantastic RAs: Janica Arevalo, Harry Blackwell, Hana Brissenden, Kate Burke Pellizzari, Carolane Côté, Kaitie Jourdeuil, Sarah Malik, Thanina Maouche, Maddie McLeod, Eden Natovitch, Maddy Ritter, and Rissa Wang.

What next?
• Push parties to strengthen equity policies—with specific targets for LGBTQ2S+ candidates and clear definitions of “winnable ridings.”
• Get involved: Join parties, vote in nominations, run for office, support LGBTQ2S+ candidates, and push for change at party conventions.

Key findings:
• Parties nominated fewer LGBTQ2S+ candidates in 2025 than in 2019 or 2021, reversing earlier momentum.
• Most LGBTQ2S+ candidates were nominated in unwinnable ridings, worsening a trend seen in past elections.

🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ New in Xtra! Quinn Albaugh and I present new data on LGBTQ2S+ candidates in the 2025 federal election—and consider where to go from here.

As research on LGBTQ2S+ representation grows, we encourage others to adapt our approach to new contexts.

We're grateful to the amazing RAs who worked on this project: Janica Arevalo, Harry Blackwell, Kate Burke Pellizzari, Kaitie Jourdeuil, Sarah Malik & Maddy Ritter.

Key findings:
• ~10% of out candidates are missing from published lists — and not at random
• Individual candidate searches uncover those overlooked
• Published lists alone risk underestimating barriers LGBTQ2S+ candidates face
• Time-intensive methods are worth it — methodologically & normatively

Identifying LGBTQ2S+ candidates: comparing three approaches In this research note, we compare three approaches to identifying LGBTQ2S+ candidates: candidate surveys, published lists of LGBTQ2S+ candidates, and systematic searches of each candidate running. ...

How should we identify LGBTQ2S+ candidates?

In new research with @qalbaugh.bsky.social , we compare 3 methods for identifying LGBTQ2S+ candidates in 🇨🇦 federal elections (2019–2021).

Thrilled to have a new article in PRQ in time for the end of Pride month. doi.org/10.1177/1065... It demonstrates that having 2SLGBTQI+ candidates running in an electoral district is correlated to higher turnout among 2SLGBTQI+ voters - even in a relatively accepting place like 🇨🇦. #affinityeffects.

📣 Out on #FirstView 📣

In "Are LGBTQ+ Candidates Disadvantaged in Financing Their Campaigns?" @qalbaugh.bsky.social, @kebaisley.bsky.social & Kate Burke Pellizzari explore financing gaps in 🇨🇦 federal elections to understand the LGBTQ+ underrepresentation.

buff.ly/BXp5lsA

After years of hard work, I am happy to announce that my book The Candidacy Calculation has been published by UTP. The book takes a nuanced view of traditional barriers to candidacy such as money & family as well as emerging ones such as online harassment & social media scandals. lnkd.in/gKDkMHqs

I'm delighted to share a new article at Politics & Gender with @kebaisley.bsky.social and Kate Burke Pellizzari examining whether LGBTQ+ candidates face challenges financing their campaigns: doi.org/10.1017/S174....

Unequal by Design: Ministerial Policy Roles in the Canadian Executive, 2015‐2021 Cabinet ministers are formally equal but unequal in practice: for example, ministers may differ significantly in how they undertake policy activity. I use federal mandate letter data from 2015 to 202....

New article! In @canadianpublicadmn.bsky.social examines ministerial policy roles during the Trudeau govt, extending prior work. Using mandate letter data, manual and automated classification, and Bayesian models, I examine factors associated with ministers' policy activity. doi.org/10.1111/capa...

Research article entitled "Gender and LGBT Affinity: The Case of Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne" by Quinn M. Albaugh and Elizabeth Baisley. Abstract: "When a party selects an out lesbian as its leader, do women and LGBT people evaluate that leader more positively? And do they become more likely to vote for that party? We answer these questions using the case of Kathleen Wynne, premier of Ontario, Canada, from 2013 to 2018. We draw on four large-sample surveys conducted by Ipsos before and after the 2011 and 2014 Ontario elections. We compare shifts in best premier choice and vote choice among non-LGBT men, non-LGBT women, LGBT men, and LGBT women from 2011 to 2014. We find gender and LGBT affinity in leader evaluations. However, we find that only non-LGBT women and LGBT men were more likely to vote Liberal after Wynne became leader. This article contributes to research on affinity by examining LGBT affinity in a real-world election and the intersection of gender and LGBT affinity."

🏳️‍🌈 A pride month P&G article spotlight 🏳️‍🌈

In "Gender and LGBT Affinity" @qalbaugh.bsky.social‬ & @kebaisley.bsky.social‬ compare support for Kathleen Wynne, the first out LGBT first minister in 🇨🇦 , across voter gender and sexuality.

polisky gendersky

buff.ly/jq7c1z2

Thanks for sharing, @politicsgenderj.bsky.social!

Sorry, I think this should work: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Thanks! And thanks for letting me know about the link. If you're eager, it should be on JOP's Just Accepted page, but I keep having issues trying to share a link ...

In recent research with @qalbaugh.bsky.social, we use a survey experiment to explore how gender stereotypes shape voters' perceptions of transgender and nonbinary candidates' traits. The results are not the most encouraging, but you can read more here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Thanks for sharing!

In recent work with @qalbaugh.bsky.social, we find that in 2019 and 2021 parties nominated LGBTQ2S+ candidates in districts they were over 16 percentage points less likely to win than straight cis candidates. About 2/3 of the gap is due to which parties and 1/3 is due to which districts.

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