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Michael Flynn

@flynnpolsci.bsky.social

Troop deployments. Security cooperation. New Yorker in the Midwest. Semi-competent Bayesian stats enthusiast. Slowly becoming less bad at jiu jitsu. Impatient woodworker. #polisky #rstats #dataviz

2,246 Followers  |  2,048 Following  |  240 Posts  |  Joined: 28.10.2024  |  2.0235

Latest posts by flynnpolsci.bsky.social on Bluesky

Some of this will be narrower in scope, but other incidents will ensnare more people, like this. It will be interesting to see if the lack of discipline by some orgs becomes a wedge and drives local police agencies closer to the populace, particularly where they end up harmed by federal agents.

04.10.2025 21:24 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Echoing others’ comments re the lack of discipline, but also alarming how these videos betray a complete lack of concern over community relations or monitoring and punishment. This kind of stuff is deeply corrosive all around and will absolutely get worse.

04.10.2025 21:05 β€” πŸ‘ 82    πŸ” 19    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 4

The magazine tumbling out onto the ground is a real cherry on top.

04.10.2025 20:59 β€” πŸ‘ 83    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œOwns a crotch rocket” continues to be the variable with the most accurate predictive power.

02.10.2025 14:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Elizabeth Jacobs, PhD
@elizabethjacobs.bsky.social
I'm an epidemiologist. Sewage systems are sexy.

Dosco Jones @doscojones.bsky.social
I'm an engineer. Sewage systems are sexy.

Elizabeth Jacobs, PhD @elizabethjacobs.bsky.social I'm an epidemiologist. Sewage systems are sexy. Dosco Jones @doscojones.bsky.social I'm an engineer. Sewage systems are sexy.

I’m a sewage system. I also have a great personality.

30.09.2025 23:33 β€” πŸ‘ 8554    πŸ” 1060    πŸ’¬ 147    πŸ“Œ 77

The declaration that the military should use US cities as training grounds is a brazen thing to say on its own, but especially so when we're in a government shutdown fight. There are already massive credibility issues with the WH cutting lawfully appropriated funds and this only raises the stakes.

30.09.2025 15:58 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I think this was the motivation, but it's not clear to me that he's getting what he wants out of this.

30.09.2025 15:12 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This seems to be accurate so far.

30.09.2025 15:11 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

You can hear people coughing.

30.09.2025 15:07 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Photo of Egyptian police cadets staging shirtless parade.

Photo of Egyptian police cadets staging shirtless parade.

I often think about the institutional incentives that brought us this.

30.09.2025 14:41 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I thought it was a mimic at first. It had small red spots on the back so I didn't think much of it but then I looked it up to see what it might be and realized it was the real deal.

29.09.2025 15:05 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
A photo of a cat laying on a desk next to a wobbly stack of books with a large box on top.

A photo of a cat laying on a desk next to a wobbly stack of books with a large box on top.

This seems fine. Nothing could go wrong.

28.09.2025 21:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This weekend I saw my first black widow in person, and I simultaneously learned that the ubiquitous desceiptors re the red hourglass is practically useless as an identifier because it’s on the bottom of their abdomen and I don’t know how often spiders are just laying around working on their tan.

28.09.2025 18:09 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah, doesn’t seem good!

28.09.2025 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I mean reallyβ€”the president, secretary of defense, and majority of GOFOs in one place with seemingly sparse preparatory measures? That’s an unnecessarily risky endeavor.

28.09.2025 15:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump to attend gathering of top generals, upending last-minute plans President Trump will attend the unusual gathering of hundreds of generals summoned to Virginia on short notice by Pete Hegseth, adding new security concerns.

Well this just seems like a massive unforced security error and strategic blunder.

28.09.2025 15:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Time will tell if there's more to it, but given the reported disappointment after the parade it doesn't seem far fetched for this to be mostly about optics and having a room full or stars and ribbons for the cameras.

26.09.2025 19:14 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

He can’t fire everyone, but he can subject them to petty exertions of authority.

26.09.2025 18:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Honestly I find this not only plausible but highly likely and wholly on brand.

26.09.2025 18:39 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

I think they're saying the message was on the casing itself.

24.09.2025 15:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Just so I'm clear, my university's punishment for me NOT completing another online tutorial is to be locked out of Canvas? This sounds like I've just doubled my winnings.

22.09.2025 19:41 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Whoaβ€”my book is up for pre-order!

𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞π₯ 𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐒𝐧𝐠: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐭 π’π­πšπ­ & πŒπ‹ 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞π₯𝐬 𝐒𝐧 #Rstats 𝐚𝐧𝐝 #PyData

The book presents an ultra-simple and powerful workflow to make sense of Β± any model you fit

The web version will stay free forever and my proceeds go to charity.

tinyurl.com/4fk56fc8

17.09.2025 19:49 β€” πŸ‘ 265    πŸ” 84    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 4

If I were a bad guy, I would simply not give the power rangers the 20 minutes they need to pose and transform.

20.09.2025 01:39 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

MC Stan is here! Follow for the latest Stan news, and tag if you want us to repost your posts about new papers, packages, courses, etc. about Stan

17.09.2025 15:16 β€” πŸ‘ 38    πŸ” 33    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s wild that any communications and marketing team or general counsel would sign off on that statement.

16.09.2025 13:13 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Hollow Knight. Is very good. He says eight years later.

15.09.2025 00:31 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Happy to be in Vancouver for #APSA2025. This was our "troops as DV" paper that @michaelallen.bsky.social , @flynnpolsci.bsky.social , and I are finally getting back to. Thanks to @marinahenke.bsky.social and @mcfuhrmann.bsky.social for super useful feedback!

12.09.2025 17:15 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
ggplot2 4.0.0 A new major version of ggplot2 has been released on CRAN. Find out what is new here.

I am beyond excited to announce that ggplot2 4.0.0 has just landed on CRAN.

It's not every day we have a new major #ggplot2 release but it is a fitting 18 year birthday present for the package.

Get an overview of the release in this blog post and be on the lookout for more in-depth posts #rstats

11.09.2025 11:20 β€” πŸ‘ 848    πŸ” 282    πŸ’¬ 9    πŸ“Œ 51

It’s horrifying that Charlie Kirk was shot. It’s also horrifying that someone targeted him in an area so densely packed with kids. Whoever did this and regardless of their reason, they’re not a hero, and it sure doesn’t seem like they cared who they hurt in the process.

10.09.2025 19:38 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Having been ambushed by students who thought they'd bully me into getting a better grade by complaining about my testing procedures to my dept chair, it sucks to see bosses folding so easily at a stiff breeze. I was fortunate to have a chair and dean who saw those complaints for what they were.

09.09.2025 17:23 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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