Ian Myles, MD/MPH's Avatar

Ian Myles, MD/MPH

@lcdriammdmph.bsky.social

Researching the intersection of the microbiome, environment, and allergic disease. Views are my own. https://irp.nih.gov/pi/ian-myles

825 Followers  |  600 Following  |  181 Posts  |  Joined: 11.11.2024  |  2.2192

Latest posts by lcdriammdmph.bsky.social on Bluesky

Take home shouldn't be "playing God with your baby might be net harmful" for a technology that offers no such power. PGS won't maximize your kids IQ, nor risk Autism because these have no *prospective* value. Duping rich people with correlations was the exact mechanism of demise for phrenology.πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ

12.08.2025 01:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The connection to IVF might be realistic, but the utility of these new companies is - as expected for this author - not. This pretends PGS are vastly more predictive then they are, but cautions they have "trade offs". Reality is the predictive capacities are rounding errors to zero.

12.08.2025 01:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Also, it's absurd to think the programmers of these Chatbots won't skew the results for the candidate that will let them pollute the environment, hoard electricity, steal IP, and screw workers.

10.08.2025 22:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 09.08.2025 02:02 β€” πŸ‘ 170    πŸ” 37    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Notes from Beethoven’s genome Wesseldijk et al. compare the genomic information collected from Ludwig van Beethoven with population-based datasets used to quantify musical achievement.

If someone you know buys into claims about "genetic optimization" of embryos using polygenic scores of cognition, just send them our 2024 paper on Beethoven & musicality. We wrote it to help communicate limits of individual-level genetic predictions & complexity of links between DNA & behaviour. πŸ§ͺπŸ‘‡

07.08.2025 11:09 β€” πŸ‘ 119    πŸ” 56    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 4
Join Ice
YouTube video by Jesse Welles Join Ice

www.youtube.com/watch?v=OjGH...

07.08.2025 17:09 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

I think it is fair to criticize any diet study lasting less than (say) a year. And if the takeaway is we should never talk about short diet studies, I disagree but understand. But among short-term studies, these results are interesting even if not definitive.

05.08.2025 21:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

They seem to imply 'if these results hold for a year'. But it is still comparative, ie "if both groups stayed on the diet, 1 is better". I'll concede to you that "if" is unlikely... especially since the participants got the meals for free in the study. The call for long-term follow-up stands tho.

05.08.2025 20:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fair. But that's an issue with how the news hypes health research more than the research itself. Totally agree the focus should be on how to maximize long-term gains, but stretching a study design like this out that long is way more money than the nation is willing to invest.

05.08.2025 20:52 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The authors have an ongoing trial to look the impact of processing versus ingredients. IE all peanut butter is UPF, but obviously some have synthetic ingredients that might make a difference. And the hypothesis is the ingredients drive the over eating... hard to tease apart, but important.

05.08.2025 20:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The problem tends to be that interventional trials have to be small numbers and shorter times (or the cost is too high). But when people use population/longitudinal data the detractors say "but you need an interventional trial". We can calculate a post-test prob that UPF are equivalent to MPF, no?

05.08.2025 20:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The authors never imply assured long-term results. 100% get the argument that "the window of observation is too small to draw meaningful conclusions". But it doesn't change that *in the same window of observation* 1 diet was 2x as effective.

05.08.2025 20:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

If the effects don't last, then indeed it will be irrelevant. But running a study like this out for years is a tall ask. I get the data provided are time-limited, but the authors' call for longer evaluations. And they measured fat mass to show a significant loss; So it wasn't water weight.

05.08.2025 20:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Right... so potentially promising, but we need to look longer term. Which is what the authors wrote in the paper.

05.08.2025 20:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

You are correct to say this study doesn't show what the benefits are/might be a year later. But speculation runs both ways there... ie the longterm benefits are unknown (even if unlikely).

05.08.2025 20:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

All creatine does is increase the pace of muscle growth (for those putting in the work). Same for protein intake etc etc. It won't alter maximal gains or absolve you from having to stick with your program, but it's still a widely used approach.

05.08.2025 20:08 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That's fair, but is a different question. The study is an interventional/crossover design- those are not feasible to run for months/years. If the argument is "we can't extrapolate", then I'll conceed. But its fair to say "over the same period, 1 diet was twice as effective" and call for more study.

05.08.2025 20:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If a study showed that you can "double the efficacy" of gaining muscle by using a barbell instead of dumbbells, it would be absurd to dismiss it if the benefit were "only" an extra pound/month. If your goal were to gain muscle, you'd use the barbell, obviously.

05.08.2025 19:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

If someone has a goal of losing 20 pounds, which diet would you recommend? One that could take 10 months or one that could take 20 months? If you don't think people can stick with the minimal processed diets that long, then go ahead and dunk on it. But "twice the efficacy" is still good.

05.08.2025 19:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 6    πŸ“Œ 0

I suspect an underrated aspect is that every university being cut off with this memo has a research building with the name of a very rich alumnus on the side. That rich person donates politically and has their state's Senator's personal number. Let's hope they voice disapproval.

30.07.2025 01:28 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

And no where do we see a defense of the value of admired studies other than studies can be published. There is never a "if not this approach we wouldn't have made this transnational discovery"... it's all "we need this to publish because publishing is all we are good for".

29.07.2025 19:36 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
How Critics of Racial Hereditarian Research (Mis)Categorize
Empirical Studies: Commentary on Bird et al. (2024) 
Federico R. Leo ́n
Graduate School, Universidad San Ignacio de Loyola

According to Bird et al. (2024), racial hereditarian research (RHR) is scientific racism that should be curbed by the American Psychological Association. They presented an RHR bibliography in which I found eight works of Federico R. Leo ́n addressing cognitive performance. The eight studies were animated by a socioecological rather than RHR perspective and two of them explicitly contradicted the racial/hereditarian position. I conclude that Bird et al.’s design of the RHR bibliographic classification was erroneous and counterproductive to their own aims and should be modified. I also suggest alternative ways to strengthen anti-RHR positions.

How Critics of Racial Hereditarian Research (Mis)Categorize Empirical Studies: Commentary on Bird et al. (2024) Federico R. Leo ́n Graduate School, Universidad San Ignacio de Loyola According to Bird et al. (2024), racial hereditarian research (RHR) is scientific racism that should be curbed by the American Psychological Association. They presented an RHR bibliography in which I found eight works of Federico R. Leo ́n addressing cognitive performance. The eight studies were animated by a socioecological rather than RHR perspective and two of them explicitly contradicted the racial/hereditarian position. I conclude that Bird et al.’s design of the RHR bibliographic classification was erroneous and counterproductive to their own aims and should be modified. I also suggest alternative ways to strengthen anti-RHR positions.

The Moralistic Fallacy in a Selective Critique of Admixture Regression:
Commentary on Bird et al. (2024)
Gregory Connor1 and John G. R. Fuerst2
1 Dublin, Ireland
2 Department of Biotechnology, University of Maryland

Bird et al. (2024) propose an effective ban on admixture regression research that uses cognitive test scores as the dependent variable. Their core argument is moral and political, but they also offer a scientific critique of the methodology. Many highly regarded admixture regression studies examining a wide range of medical and psychological traits fall within their scientific critique, despite a lack of moral or political salience. Rejecting the scientific legitimacy of admixture regression analysis if the dependent variable is politically sensitive but accepting it if the dependent variable is politically painless may entail the moralistic fallacy.

The Moralistic Fallacy in a Selective Critique of Admixture Regression: Commentary on Bird et al. (2024) Gregory Connor1 and John G. R. Fuerst2 1 Dublin, Ireland 2 Department of Biotechnology, University of Maryland Bird et al. (2024) propose an effective ban on admixture regression research that uses cognitive test scores as the dependent variable. Their core argument is moral and political, but they also offer a scientific critique of the methodology. Many highly regarded admixture regression studies examining a wide range of medical and psychological traits fall within their scientific critique, despite a lack of moral or political salience. Rejecting the scientific legitimacy of admixture regression analysis if the dependent variable is politically sensitive but accepting it if the dependent variable is politically painless may entail the moralistic fallacy.

Applying Rigorous Standards Is Not a Ban or Censorship:
A Reply to Leo ́n (2025) and Connor and Fuerst (2025)

Kevin A. Bird1, John P. Jackson Jr.2, and Andrew S. Winston3 
1 Department of Plant Sciences, University of California, Davis
2 James Madison College, Michigan State University
3 Department of Psychology, University of Guelph

In their commentaries on Bird et al. (2024), Leo ́n (2025) and Connor and Fuerst (2025) misrepresent our position as supporting censorship or bans on racial hereditarian research. We explicitly rejected censorship and bans, and we warned against labeling researchers as β€œracists.” Instead, we argued for the application of stringent scientific standards from relevant disciplines. Connor and Fuerst’s argument for using admixture regression to find a genetic basis for racial differences in test scores is rejected. Their focus on this specific method fails to address the scientific and ethical issues of racial hereditarian research that we raised in Bird et al. (2024).

Applying Rigorous Standards Is Not a Ban or Censorship: A Reply to Leo ́n (2025) and Connor and Fuerst (2025) Kevin A. Bird1, John P. Jackson Jr.2, and Andrew S. Winston3 1 Department of Plant Sciences, University of California, Davis 2 James Madison College, Michigan State University 3 Department of Psychology, University of Guelph In their commentaries on Bird et al. (2024), Leo ́n (2025) and Connor and Fuerst (2025) misrepresent our position as supporting censorship or bans on racial hereditarian research. We explicitly rejected censorship and bans, and we warned against labeling researchers as β€œracists.” Instead, we argued for the application of stringent scientific standards from relevant disciplines. Connor and Fuerst’s argument for using admixture regression to find a genetic basis for racial differences in test scores is rejected. Their focus on this specific method fails to address the scientific and ethical issues of racial hereditarian research that we raised in Bird et al. (2024).

Two critical comments on our American Psychologist paper "Confronting scientific racism in psychology: Lessons from evolutionary biology and genetics." (doi.org/10.1037/amp0...) were published recently along with our reply. 1/

29.07.2025 19:25 β€” πŸ‘ 64    πŸ” 29    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Nice work. The type of people replying thrive in bad faith debates. The "Im not a race scientist, I just think only Europeans got the correct sun exposure for intellect and, no, I won't be providing mechanistic data", need not be taken seriously.

29.07.2025 19:34 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Even if government were supposed to run like a business, if NIH were a company it would be one of the richest in history *if* it took a corporate attitude towards health care. If the NIH gouged people for the drugs it created, it's stock price would top Apple. Of course, Tapper has no push back.

27.07.2025 18:06 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

they can only take what's pure from us if we let them

26.07.2025 12:58 β€” πŸ‘ 597    πŸ” 133    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 9

Then, someone in the Bari Weiss ilk will write something along the lines of "So 'Believe all women' applies when implicating powerful white men like Kavanaugh, but not when exonerating them, huh?"
WaPo and NYT will say "move on" and frame it as a partisan issue as if her testimony was truthful.

26.07.2025 00:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The play is obvious: coach Ghislaine Maxwell on what to say, have her testify that POTUS did/saw nothing wrong, implicate a few enemies of the admin, pardon her "for the courage to speak up", then watch GOP align on the claim that "we don't need the files since we heard from the horse's mouth".

26.07.2025 00:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

I think you would need to consider the extraction process. Getting from corn to HFCS is more involved than getting sucrose out of a sugar cane. So I'd agree that sucrose is the same molecule no matter its source, but don't think you could assume sucrose will be the only relevant molecule.

23.07.2025 17:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Well deserved!

21.07.2025 23:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Any semi-functional party would link the issues!
"Republicans want an America only for the rich. That's why they cut healthcare, defund education, ignore housing costs, & slash taxes only for the 1%. They worship the rich so much they'll let them get away with anything... including ped*philia!"

17.07.2025 19:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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